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Since the beginning of this year, the feed price of many varieties has risen by more than 1200 yuan / ton, and since September, feed prices have risen 9 times in
7 consecutive weeks.
It is understood that the price of soybean meal has nearly doubled in a year, from 3,000 yuan to a maximum of 6,000 yuan, repeatedly breaking new highs
.
So, what is the reason for the rising soybean meal? How can we reduce our dependence on soybean meal? In the past ten years, how has China's feed industry developed? In response to these problems, the dialogue column of the "Three Farmers and Three People's Talks" of the agricultural TV network interviewed Chen Shiyan, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, and Huang Qingsheng, director of the feed and forage department of the Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, to give professional interpretations
for everyone.
In the past decade, the price of soybeans has risen from 2,500 to more than 6,000 a ton
The spot price of domestic soybean meal has risen from the lowest 2,500 in the past 10 years to more than 6,000 yuan a ton, mainly because soybean meal almost depends on imports in order to meet domestic production needs, as long as the international grain market changes, it directly affects the price of
domestic soybean meal.
What is the use of soybean meal in feed?
Academician Shiyan: Soybean meal is one of
the main protein raw materials in animal feed.
With the development of industrial feed, the use of scientifically prepared compound feed has made great changes
in breeding efficiency.
Three years ago, soybean meal accounted for more than 18% of pig feed, and last year through some alternative technologies, it was about
15%.
How much does soybean meal price affect feed prices?
Director Huang Qingsheng: Soybean meal rose from 3,000 yuan a ton at the end of last year to 5,000 yuan a ton in September this year, a very large
increase.
Academician Shiyan: Last year, about 70 million tons of soybean meal were used, and other protein raw materials were about 20 million tons
.
Soybean meal is so important, why should it be reduced?
Director Huang Qingsheng: In recent years, due to the unpredictable international situation, the impact of extreme weather and other reasons for the poor supply chain, at the same time, domestic soybean sources mainly rely on Brazil and the United States imports, which are pressed into soybean meal at home, and the import volume of Brazil and the United States together accounts for 90%
of our imports.
High dependence on foreign countries and concentrated sources are the risk points
for imported soybeans.
Therefore, we must reduce the use of soybean meal in order to grasp the initiative
.
What is the current domestic supply of soybeans?
Academician Shiyan: Demand outstrips supply
.
The total output of soybeans in 2021 will be 16.
4 million tons, which is basically enough for China's consumption, such as making tofu and soy products
.
In the process of making soy products, no soybean meal is produced, basically all imported soybeans are used to squeeze the remaining soybean meal
after oil.
In this situation of supply chain uncertainty, we must find a way
.
At present, to meet the demand for soybean meal, we have calculated that we will take out about 800 million acres of arable land to grow soybeans, which is too much pressure for our country, so we will think of some ways to reduce its use
.
What is the proportion of feed grain in total food consumption?
From the perspective of food rations, China can achieve basic self-sufficiency in grain and absolute security
in food rations.
Then, from the perspective of feed grain, the main contradiction of food security is feed grain
.
Academician Shiyan: Last year, our total grain consumption was 820 million tons, and feed consumption was nearly 400 million tons, so the proportion of the entire feed grain in grain consumption is about 48%, a considerable proportion
.
People eat about 33%, and other industrial grains account for about 17%, so the proportion of our feed grain is quite high
.
Through the structure of imported grain in recent years, we imported 160 million tons of grain last year, of which soybeans were more than 96 million tons, sorghum was nearly 10 million tons, and barley was about more than 123 million tons, all of which were used as fodder grain
.
The main contradiction of food security is feed grain, and the main pressure of China's food security is also feed grain
.
Director Huang Qingsheng: From the statistical point of view, per capita food ration consumption has peaked in previous years and has been declining
year by year.
The consumption of meat, eggs, milk fish is slowly increasing, and now the total consumption of meat, eggs, milk fish has exceeded the consumption of rations, and animal products will continue to increase in
the future.
The production of animal products requires the use of feed, and the use of feed is inseparable from the use of food, so the feed demand for food will be higher and higher
in the future on the basis of the existing one.
Are different feed grains interchangeable?
Academician Shiyan Chen: Yes
.
Animals need a variety of nutrients and people, such as we need energy and protein, protein demand is the essence of amino acids, based on these principles, can be used to configure a compound feed
to meet animal nutrition.
As long as the nutrition is sufficient, like Canada has no soybean meal, all use wheat for feed, he has no soybeans, he grows rapeseed, which is the famous double-low rapeseed, so he uses rapeseed meal, which is what is left over from rapeseed oil pressing
.
Things like Europe are barley, like the continent's highland sorghum, and chickpeas to supply feed, so Europe rarely uses soybean meal
.
We divide the feed into two pieces, energy feed and protein feed
.
This part of energy feed imported last year, including corn, barley, sorghum, and cassava flour imported from Southeast Asia, accounted for about 20% of the total energy feed consumption, which is basically bearable
.
But soybeans can't, our 70 million tons of soybean meal are imported, so from this aspect, we must find ways to reduce, not too much dependence
.
At present, how much industrial feed is in China every year?
Director Huang Qingsheng: From the perspective of the past ten years, in 2012, the output of China's feed industry accounted for the first place in the world for the first time
.
Since then, we have been ranked No.
1 in the world and are the world's No.
1 feed country
.
In 2021, the domestic feed industry output reached 293 million tons, and the industrial output value was 1.
23 trillion yuan
.
It can be said that at present, China's feed industry is a large industry such as 10,000 enterprises, 100 million tons of output, trillions of output value, such as amino acids, vitamins, enzyme preparations, these industries are in a pivotal position in the
world.
The development of the feed industry has made great progress, what kind of thinking have we been using to move forward?
Academician Shiyan: For example, the nutritional value of feed, how to look at the nutritional value
of feed.
Because we study animal nutrition, we want to use the least grain, the least feed to produce the most meat, eggs and milk, which is our ultimate goal, which is what we now call the composition
of precision nutrition.
We must do a good balance of amino acids to minimize feed protein, including reducing the utilization of soybean meal, which is the goal
we have been pursuing.
Whether it is food security or the level of cost reduction and efficiency increase in livestock product production, we all need to change the previous dependence on soybeans and soybean meal and reduce these
amounts.
;
; Since the beginning of this year, the feed price of many varieties has risen by more than 1200 yuan / ton, and since September, feed prices have risen 9 times in
7 consecutive weeks.
It is understood that the price of soybean meal has nearly doubled in a year, from 3,000 yuan to a maximum of 6,000 yuan, repeatedly breaking new highs
.
So, what is the reason for the rising soybean meal? How can we reduce our dependence on soybean meal? In the past ten years, how has China's feed industry developed? In response to these problems, the dialogue column of the "Three Farmers and Three People's Talks" of the agricultural TV network interviewed Chen Shiyan, academician of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, and Huang Qingsheng, director of the feed and forage department of the Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, to give professional interpretations
for everyone.
In the past decade, the price of soybeans has risen from 2500,6000 to more than <>,<> a ton
In the past decade, the price of soybeans has risen from 2,500 to more than 6,000 a ton In the past decade, the price of soybeans has risen from 2,500 to more than 6,000 tons The spot price of domestic soybean meal has risen from the lowest 2,500 in the past 10 years to more than 6,000 yuan a ton, mainly because soybean meal almost depends on imports in order to meet domestic production needs, as long as the international grain market changes, it directly affects the price of
domestic soybean meal.
What is the use of soybean meal in feed?
What is the use of soybean meal in feed? What is the use of soybean meal in feed? Academician Shiyan: Soybean meal is one of
the main protein raw materials in animal feed.
With the development of industrial feed, the use of scientifically prepared compound feed has made great changes
in breeding efficiency.
Three years ago, soybean meal accounted for more than 18% of pig feed, and last year through some alternative technologies, it was about
15%.
the main protein raw materials in animal feed.
Soybean meal is one of
the main protein raw materials in animal feed.
How much does soybean meal price affect feed prices?
How much does soybean meal price affect feed prices? How much does soybean meal price affect feed prices? Director Huang Qingsheng: Soybean meal rose from 3,000 yuan a ton at the end of last year to 5,000 yuan a ton in September this year, a very large
increase.
Academician Shiyan: Last year, about 70 million tons of soybean meal were used, and other protein raw materials were about 20 million tons
.
Soybean meal is so important, why should it be reduced?
Soybean meal is so important, why should it be reduced? Soybean meal is so important, why should it be reduced? Director Huang Qingsheng: In recent years, due to the unpredictable international situation, the impact of extreme weather and other reasons for the poor supply chain, at the same time, domestic soybean sources mainly rely on Brazil and the United States imports, which are pressed into soybean meal at home, and the import volume of Brazil and the United States together accounts for 90%
of our imports.
High dependence on foreign countries and concentrated sources are the risk points
for imported soybeans.
Therefore, we must reduce the use of soybean meal in order to grasp the initiative
.
Domestic soybean sources mainly rely on imports from Brazil and the United States, and are pressed into soybean meal in China, and the import volume of Brazil and the United States together accounts for 90% of our imports
What is the current domestic supply of soybeans?
What is the current domestic supply of soybeans? What is the current domestic supply of soybeans? Academician Shiyan: Demand outstrips supply
.
The total output of soybeans in 2021 will be 16.
4 million tons, which is basically enough for China's consumption, such as making tofu and soy products
.
In the process of making soy products, no soybean meal is produced, basically all imported soybeans are used to squeeze the remaining soybean meal
after oil.
In this situation of supply chain uncertainty, we must find a way
.
At present, to meet the demand for soybean meal, we have calculated that we will take out about 800 million acres of arable land to grow soybeans, which is too much pressure for our country, so we will think of some ways to reduce its use
.
4 million tons, which is basically enough for China to eat the total output of soybeans in 2021 of 16.
4 million tons, basically enough for China to eat China's current demand for soybean meal China currently has to meet the demand for soybean meal about 800 million mu of arable land to grow soybeans about 800 million mu of arable land to grow soybeans
What is the proportion of feed grain in total food consumption?
What is the proportion of feed grain in total food consumption? What is the proportion of feed grain in total food consumption? From the perspective of food rations, China can achieve basic self-sufficiency in grain and absolute security
in food rations.
Then, from the perspective of feed grain, the main contradiction of food security is feed grain
.
.
The main contradiction in food security is feed grain
.
Academician Shiyan: Last year, our total grain consumption was 820 million tons, and feed consumption was nearly 400 million tons, so the proportion of the entire feed grain in grain consumption is about 48%, a considerable proportion
.
People eat about 33%, and other industrial grains account for about 17%, so the proportion of our feed grain is quite high
.
Through the structure of imported grain in recent years, we imported 160 million tons of grain last year, of which soybeans were more than 96 million tons, sorghum was nearly 10 million tons, and barley was about more than 123 million tons, all of which were used as fodder grain
.
The main contradiction of food security is feed grain, and the main pressure of China's food security is also feed grain
.
Director Huang Qingsheng: From the statistical point of view, per capita food ration consumption has peaked in previous years and has been declining
year by year.
The consumption of meat, eggs, milk fish is slowly increasing, and now the total consumption of meat, eggs, milk fish has exceeded the consumption of rations, and animal products will continue to increase in
the future.
The production of animal products requires the use of feed, and the use of feed is inseparable from the use of food, so the feed demand for food will be higher and higher
in the future on the basis of the existing one.
Are different feed grains interchangeable?
Are different feed grains interchangeable? Can different feed grains be substituted for each other? Academician Shiyan Chen: Yes
.
Animals need a variety of nutrients and people, such as we need energy and protein, protein demand is the essence of amino acids, based on these principles, can be used to configure a compound feed
to meet animal nutrition.
.
Yes
, you can.
As long as the nutrition is sufficient, like Canada has no soybean meal, all use wheat for feed, he has no soybeans, he grows rapeseed, which is the famous double-low rapeseed, so he uses rapeseed meal, which is what is left over from rapeseed oil pressing
.
Things like Europe are barley, like the continent's highland sorghum, and chickpeas to supply feed, so Europe rarely uses soybean meal
.
We divide the feed into two pieces, energy feed and protein feed
.
This part of energy feed imported last year, including corn, barley, sorghum, and cassava flour imported from Southeast Asia, accounted for about 20% of the total energy feed consumption, which is basically bearable
.
But soybeans can't, our 70 million tons of soybean meal are imported, so from this aspect, we must find ways to reduce, not too much dependence
.
At present, how much industrial feed is in China every year?
At present, how much industrial feed is in China every year? At present, what is the amount of industrial feed in China every year? Director Huang Qingsheng: From the perspective of the past ten years, in 2012, the output of China's feed industry accounted for the first place in the world for the first time
.
Since then, we have been ranked No.
1 in the world and are the world's No.
1 feed country
.
In 2021, the domestic feed industry output reached 293 million tons, and the industrial output value was 1.
23 trillion yuan
.
It can be said that at present, China's feed industry is a large industry such as 10,000 enterprises, 100 million tons of output, trillions of output value, such as amino acids, vitamins, enzyme preparations, these industries are in a pivotal position in the
world.
The development of the feed industry has made great progress, what kind of thinking have we been using to move forward?
The development of the feed industry has made great progress, what kind of thinking have we been using to move forward? The development of the feed industry has made great progress, what kind of thinking have we been using to move forward? Academician Shiyan: For example, the nutritional value of feed, how to look at the nutritional value
of feed.
Because we study animal nutrition, we want to use the least grain, the least feed to produce the most meat, eggs and milk, which is our ultimate goal, which is what we now call the composition
of precision nutrition.
We must do a good balance of amino acids to minimize feed protein, including reducing the utilization of soybean meal, which is the goal
we have been pursuing.
Whether it is food security or the level of cost reduction and efficiency increase in livestock product production, we all need to change the previous dependence on soybeans and soybean meal and reduce these
amounts.