The purchase of cottonseed is not active due to the poor efficiency of the oil plant

Introduction: before the Spring Festival this year, the sales of domestic cottonseed oil and cottonseed meal were not prosperous in the peak season The squeezing efficiency of each oil factory was poor, and some of them still suffered losses The startup rate was generally low, the purchase volume of cottonseed decreased, and the price fell Up to the end of the festival, under the situation of weak sales of domestic cottonseed oil and cottonseed meal, the operation situation of oil plants will be more difficult, the startup rate may still maintain the lowest level, and cottonseed acquisition will also be very cautious It is expected that the acquisition progress will be very slow, which will eventually affect the domestic cottonseed market transactions and keep it light With the increase of cotton price, farmers are reluctant to sell, and the supply of cottonseed is declining According to the monitoring, the lint sales market after the festival has shown signs of rising With the increase of textile exports due to the opening of quotas, cotton mills are scrambling to raise prices due to the shortage of resource supply The rise of lint price will also lead to the increase of seed cotton purchase price According to statistics, at present, the purchase volume of domestic seed cotton accounts for 70% of the total annual output, and the supply volume of domestic seed cotton has declined substantially At present, most cotton farmers are optimistic about the future market In the case of rising cotton prices, the enthusiasm for the sale of seed cotton will decline In the later stage, the purchase of seed cotton by cotton plants will become more difficult, followed by the decline in the supply of cottonseed, which is not conducive to the growth of the transaction volume of cottonseed Pressure from the soybean market at present, the purchase of domestic soybeans is stagnant, and the oil companies that maintain the purchase due to inventory pressure will also show a gradual downward trend In February and March, farmers in the production area will have the spring sowing season again Soybean farmers need to invest a lot of money to buy seeds and chemical fertilizers, which may lead to the phenomenon of concentrated soybean sales By March, new soybeans in South America will enter the stage of large-scale harvesting Despite the recent reports of drought and soybean rust, all prediction agencies agree that this year's high yield of soybeans in South America has become a fact At that time, soybean farmers from China, the United States and other countries with large soybean holdings will be likely to sell their products in a centralized way, and soybean prices at home and abroad will face a sudden drop at any time, which may directly affect the domestic cottonseed market and further depress it To sum up, after the Spring Festival, the sales of domestic cottonseed oil and cottonseed meal are depressed, and the squeezing benefit of oil plants tends to be further deteriorated, so the purchase of cottonseed will not be active; on the other hand, the rise of cotton price will arouse the cotton farmers' reluctance to sell, the supply of cottonseed will correspondingly decline, and the cottonseed trade in the domestic market will continue to be light In addition, the soybean market at home and abroad will also face greater price downward pressure, which will further depress the cottonseed market.