The price of pork has risen by more than 30% in five weeks because...

 　　"Winter wax is pickled in wind and stored to protect against winter
.
" Entering November, along with the upsurge of curing meat, pork also ushered in a wave of price increases
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

Data map: dried sausages
.
Zhang YuansheTfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Pork wholesale prices rose more than 30% in five weeksTfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in the 45th week of 2021 (November 8-November 14), the average weekly price of pork in the wholesale market was 24.
02 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 3.
8% from the previous month, which was a five-week increase, with a cumulative increase of 34.
9%.
This was 39.
0% lower than the same period last year
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The wholesale price has risen by more than 30% in more than a month.
Is there any big change in the retail price?Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　At a pork stall in a vegetable market in Xicheng District, Beijing, the big five flowers are priced at 18 yuan per catty, the front and rear tip is priced at 16 yuan per catty, and the front elbow is priced at 13 yuan per catty
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　"The meat has gone up a bit recently, like when the front and back tips were cheaper than before, it went up by two or three yuan
.
" The merchant said
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　A reporter from Chinanews.
com noticed that the price tag on the front and rear tip still left 15 yuan to 16 yuan, and the front elbow was directly changed from 12 yuan to 13 yuan
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In a supermarket in Xicheng District, Beijing, the front and back price is 15.
8 yuan per catty, and the pork belly is 18.
8 yuan per catty
.
In mid-October, the front and rear price here was still 11.
8 yuan per catty, and the price of pork belly was 17.
8 yuan per catty
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

A pork stall in a supermarket in Xicheng District, Beijing
.
Photo by Chinanews reporter Xie YiguanTfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　“Pork prices have risen a little while ago, but recently they have dropped
.
” Supermarket staff said, “In fact, pork can’t be too cheap.
No matter how cheap it is, farmers will have to complain.
After all, feed prices have gone up
.
”Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Benefiting from this wave of price increases, "Judging from the latest pig feed ratio data, the average profit of pig farmers in the future is 238 yuan, which has turned from loss to profit
.
" Zhuo Chuang Information analyst Niu Zhe revealed to reporters
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Why did pork prices rise?Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　"The main reason is that after the cold weather, demand has picked up, coupled with the slight decrease in the number of new born piglets this summer, the price has risen slightly under the influence of both ends of supply and demand
.
" Live pig industry analyst Feng Yonghui told reporters
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　"From the consumer side, the weather turned cold in November, and the enema in the north and the cured wax in the south began one after another, which supported the increase in live pig prices
.
" Niu Zhe said
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　"From the supply side, from June to August, there was a wave of African swine fever in the south, which caused the production of some live pigs to be damaged.
In addition, the live pig market had been at a loss in the early stage, and some retail investors and group pig farms began to reduce their slaughter weights.
Niu Zhe said that in the current peak consumption season, fat pigs of more than 140 kilograms are desperately needed, but the lack of stock in the market has pushed up the price of pigs
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

Data map: Breeding pigs imported from overseas in Jilin Province
.
Photo courtesy of Changchun CustomsTfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　What will be the price of pork in the later period?Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Seeing that the price of pork has returned to more than 10 yuan per catty, many people worry that the price of pork will continue to "climb the stairs
.
"Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In this regard, Feng Yonghui believes that pork prices have rebounded only because of the rebound in demand
.
"According to official data, this wave of rise is not cyclical and trendy.
The current pig production capacity is still at a high level, so it is only a phased rebound
.
"Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　"By December, the price of
pigs may be facing a trend of high decline .
" Niu Zhe predicted that at the end of the year, some leading companies and live pig listed companies, in order to complete the annual sprint task, may focus on increasing the volume in December
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In addition, “due to the recent increase in live pig prices, some retail investors are reluctant to sell them.
They may also wait until December when the overall supply of live pigs may increase
.
” Niu Zhe pointed out
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In Niu Zhe’s view, affected by the weather this year, the enema in the north and the cured meat in the south were opened almost a month in advance.
The consumption is in an early state.
The peak season for pork consumption may be concentrated in November or early December, to late December.
It is estimated to be at the end of consumption
.
When the time comes, the supply of pork will be oversupply, which may cause the price of pigs to show a trend of high decline
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Xin Guochang said: "The number of piglets born in August and September is still large.
Based on the 6-month fattening production cycle, the price of pigs may be suppressed to a certain extent in February and March after the Spring Festival.
It does not rule out that the price will be reduced to the cost limit.
Under
.
” Li Guoxiang believes that in the first half of next year, the market may be in a relatively balanced state of supply and demand
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Rising prices? The National Development and Reform Commission responded:Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　my country's prices will not rise across the boardTfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The pork supply is generally surplusTfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In recent times, due to adverse weather such as heavy rainfall and low temperature, vegetable prices in some areas have experienced periodic fluctuations; prices in some areas and some consumer goods have also risen to a certain extent
.
However, compared with the general price increase in other major economies in the world, China's price level is generally within a controllable range
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Guo Liyan, director and researcher of the Comprehensive Situation Office of the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomics, said that at present, China’s important livelihood commodities are abundant in supply, smoothly transported, and have the confidence to ensure supply and stable prices.
There will be no shortage of supply that will lead to a full-scale increase in prices
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　One is "there is goods in the ground"
.
This year, the national food production will stabilize at more than 1.
3 trillion catties for seven consecutive years, and the per capita food consumption will reach 474 kg, which is far higher than the 400 kg "safety line" proposed by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization
.
In terms of pork, since March, the number of new piglets per month has been more than 30 million.
It is expected that from the fourth quarter of this year to the first quarter of next year, the marketed fat pigs will increase significantly, and the overall supply will be surplus
.
The output of beef, lamb, poultry, and milk in the first three quarters increased by 3.
9%, 5.
3%, 3.
8% and 8% respectively year-on-year.
The annual output may hit a record high, and the market supply has a good production basis
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The second is "goods in the warehouse"
.
The current total grain inventory is sufficient and at a historical high level.
In particular, the two major rations of wheat and rice account for more than 70% of the total inventory, and the wheat inventory can meet consumer demand for more than one year
.
At present, frozen pork reserves at all levels can meet the consumption of urban permanent residents for about 10 days
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　The third is "goods on shelves"
.
There are sufficient supplies of grains, oils, vegetables, fruits, aquatic products, livestock and poultry meat, eggs, and dry condiments on the shelves of farmers’ markets and supermarkets, which can fully meet the consumption needs of the masses
.
Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Guo Liyan said that looking forward to the latter part of this year and next year, the supply of goods and services in the consumer sector in China is abundant, especially important livelihood commodities such as grains, oils, meat, eggs, milk, fresh fruits and vegetables, and the total supply of basic energy such as coal is sufficient to better satisfy the people.
Basic life needs and the overall price level will continue to maintain a stable operation
.
 Tfa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry