The price of animal products in Shandong fell back rationally in October

Introduction: in October, the price of livestock products in our province decreased rationally Among them, the price of pigs and chickens dropped significantly; the price of herbivore products fluctuated slightly; influenced by the listing of new grain, the price of various feed grains and compound feed decreased by different ranges In October, the piglet market in our province continued to heat up, and the prices of live pigs and pork decreased slightly The prices of piglets, live pigs to be slaughtered and boneless pork with skin were 12.40 yuan (per kilogram, the same below), 9.12 yuan and 14.62 yuan, respectively, up 2.06%, down 4.00% and down 3.82% compared with last month, up 41.55%, 15.59% and 10.09% respectively year on year After the double festival, the consumption of pork decreased and the production level gradually increased At the same time, the number of pigs transported by Southern merchants to our province decreased significantly In addition, the feed price continued to decline, resulting in a small drop in the price of pigs The purchase price of live pigs in Linyi, Dezhou and Weifang in some areas in the last ten days of this month has dropped to about 8.20 yuan From the current supply and demand situation, it is still in a balanced level Considering the production cost, the prices of soybean meal, corn, fish meal and other raw materials have all dropped, but the long-term feed price will not be lowered too much, and the breeding cost will not be significantly reduced Considering the limitations of transportation factors in pig transportation and the high cost of piglets, it is estimated that the pig price will still be maintained in the fourth quarter There is a downward trend in stability Piglet trade continues to boom During the double festival, there is a relatively concentrated market going out, which results in that at present, except some traditional farmers and farms have reserve sows, which can solve the problem, most of the other farmers still need to buy piglets to make up the market With the potential effect of new year's day and spring Festival in the future, it is expected that there will be a large high tide of making up the market, and the price of piglets will remain high In October, the price of various poultry products in our province decreased significantly Among them, the prices of live chicken and suit chicken were 7.53 yuan and 10.49 yuan respectively, down 5.52% and 1.69% respectively compared with last month, up 17.47% and 7.15% respectively year on year There are several reasons for the decline in the price of broilers: 1 The price of feed grain has decreased, and the cost of breeding has decreased; 2 The peak of festival consumption has passed, and the purchase of residents has declined Compared with the high price before the festival, the fall of broiler price is normal Commercial broilers were 2.09 yuan / chicken, down 5.86% from last month, up 109.00% year on year After the peak period of the last month, the price of nursery chicken decreased this month, which is estimated to be affected by the decrease of feed grain price At the same time, the weather is getting cold gradually, the breeding cost is increasing, and the chicken disease is increasing, which affects the enthusiasm of the breeding households to make up the market In late October, the price of broiler seedlings in our province has dropped to about 1.5 yuan per chicken The price of eggs dropped a lot This month, the price of eggs in our province was 5.54 yuan, down 11.92% from last month, up 12.60% year on year Some time ago, with the increase of egg prices, many farmers who were waiting for the bird flu began to take active actions to expand the scale Because the growth cycle of laying hens is 4-5 months, the new laying hens are mostly concentrated in April, and their laying is concentrated in September and October At the same time, the peak of laying of old laying hens is also coming along with the cool weather, which alleviates the shortage of egg supply The situation of higher prices Therefore, the price reduction of eggs is related to the arrival of the egg laying season At the same time, the increase of egg price in the previous period also partially affected the consumption, resulting in the decrease of egg sales Affected by the decrease of egg price, the price of commercial egg laying chicks began to fall, 1.85 yuan / chicken this month, down 5.61% compared with the previous month, up 15.63% year on year, mainly due to the decline of farmers' enthusiasm for fence mending There is a slight fluctuation in the price of herbivores in our province this month Boneless beef was 14.73 yuan, up 1.17% over the previous month, up 0.37% year on year; mutton with bone was 16.16 yuan, down 1.94% over the previous month, up 2.86% year on year; milk was 2.22 yuan, up 0.91% over the previous month, down 1.77% year on year; sheep hair was 7.25 yuan, down 6.45% over the previous month, down 29.06% year on year In addition to wheat bran, the prices of all kinds of feed grain and compound feed in our province decreased by different ranges this month Corn was 1.27 yuan, down 9.29% from last month, up 17.59% year on year The main reasons for corn price reduction are as follows: 1 The new grain is listed, the corn in Huanghuai North China north Hebei West Liaoning North Jilin and other regions is listed in turn, which has formed several successive big shocks, and the domestic corn price is going down all the way; 2 The market purchase is not active, which is generally bearish to the future market, and the purchasing enterprises have taken a wait-and-see attitude of reducing inventory; 3 The port stock is overstocked seriously; 4 The feed demand is not high 5 The railway transportation capacity is tight, and the circulation of corn in the production area is difficult Comprehensive analysis shows that the domestic corn market as a whole is in a weak pattern, and corn prices will continue to weaken Soybean meal was 2.79 yuan, down 6.06% from last month and up 1.82% year on year The reasons for the low price of soybean meal are as follows: 1 The scale of cultivation after the festival is gradually reduced, the market demand is at a low ebb, and feed factories have purchased a large number of soybean meal before the festival, resulting in the decrease of soybean meal market transactions in the near future; 2 The pressure of high yield of soybean, the market is generally bearish on the future market; 3 Some small and medium-sized oil factories in soybean production areas occupy the soybean crushing market by taking advantage of short transportation distance and low cost 4 Domestic soybean and soybean meal in Northeast China are affected by the shortage of railway transportation capacity and highway overload control, and the export transportation is blocked At present, it is in a correction period between the peak of the aquaculture industry The enthusiasm of the farmers is not very high, and the market is relatively bearish on the future market of soybean meal It is expected that the price of soybean meal in the later period will still be dominated by the decline, and there may be small fluctuations in some areas Wheat bran was 1.06 yuan, 0.93% higher than last month and 23.26% higher than last year The imported fish meal was 5.99 yuan, down 2.60% from last month and up 6.96% year on year The prices of pig feed, broiler feed and layer feed were 1.67 yuan, 2.00 yuan and 1.71 yuan, respectively, which were 4.57%, 2.91% and 3.39% lower than that of last month, and 17.61%, 19.76% and 15.54% higher than that of last month.