The pressure on domestic grain stocks is easing

Introduction: the domestic grain market in 2002 the domestic grain market in 2002, the auction can be called a very beautiful scenery From the scene of hammer rising and falling which is frequently performed in the media all over the country, from the high and excited auction voice of the auctioneer, the sale of China's grain, especially the aged grain, is playing a wonderful scene As a matter of fact, since the state started selling Chen Liang in October 2001, especially Chen Hua Liang, there have been lots of bids and sales all over the country It's not too much to describe it with your singing and my appearance According to incomplete statistics, in the past year alone, 25 provinces and cities across the country held more than 100 large and small auction fairs, selling more than 20 billion kg of grain In fact, GBW grain auction is only an effective way to promote grain sales and reduce inventory pressure In the mid-1990s, China's grain production continued to spread good news After breaking the 500 billion kg mark in 1996, it reached a historical peak of 512.3 billion kg in 1998 From 1996 to 1999, the four consecutive years of great harvest changed the situation of the shortage of grain supply in China in essence, and realized the historical transformation from the shortage of grain to the balance of total amount and the surplus of abundant years But the abundant harvest also made the domestic grain begin to appear the periodical and structural surplus of supply exceeding demand and large overstocked inventory Since 2000, under the climate of the reform of grain circulation system and the adjustment of grain planting structure, the planting area and output of grain in China began to decline In 2000, China's grain planting area dropped from 1.706 billion mu in 1998 to 1.607 billion mu, and the output dropped sharply to 462.68 billion kg In 2001, the grain planting area was 1.591 billion mu and the output was 452.64 billion kg Last year's grain output increased slightly on the basis of a substantial decline in two consecutive years, with a planting area of 1.56 billion mu and a yield of 457.1 billion kg, an increase of 4.5 billion kg compared with 2001 However, compared with the four years of great harvest, there is still a big gap At the same time, China's grain import and export pattern is also undergoing major changes As the world's major grain exporting countries reduce their output and exports, they have made a huge market space for domestic grain enterprises Local grain enterprises, especially those in production areas, seize this favorable opportunity to actively expand their export, especially in the past year, the three major grain varieties of corn in Northeast China, milled wheat in Huang Huai Hai region and rice in South China are constantly coming to the international market, greatly reducing the pressure of grain inventory According to the statistics of the General Administration of customs, China exported 13.78 billion kg of grain in 2000, imported 3.15 billion kg, exported 8.76 billion kg and exported 3.44 billion kg in 2001, exported 14.82 billion kg and imported 2.85 billion kg in 2002, and the net grain export in three years was 27.92 billion kg GBW, on the one hand, is a decline in grain production, a decrease in commodity volume and an increase in exports, on the other hand, an increase in population and consumption According to the statistics of relevant departments, the annual consumption of rations in China is about 276.5 billion kg In addition to feed consumption, industrial consumption, seed consumption and consumption, the total annual consumption of grain is about 488 billion kg, which has obviously exceeded the grain output in the past three years As the main grain producing province in Henan Province, GBW sold 12.35 billion kg of grain in the whole province from April to December 2002, reduced 6.865 billion kg of sales promotion and 2.85 billion kg of net reduction of commodity grain storage, which reduced the commodity grain storage to 19.5 billion kg, reversing the situation that the grain storage of the whole province has kept rising and remained high since 1997 In the past five years, Shandong has sold 48 billion kg of grain at a favorable price, an increase of 24 billion kg on a year-on-year basis, and basically achieved a balance between purchase and sale and a proper amount of inventory Anhui Province sold 9.9 billion kg of grain last year, 2.8 billion kg more than the previous year, and the inventory of commodity grain depots dropped by 1.25 billion kg, a drop of 10% By the end of November last year, the turnover grain sales in Jiangxi Province had reached 4.885 billion kg, of which the inventory of aged grain had dropped by nearly 3.5 billion kg, the best year for grain sales since 1998 Hunan has been selling more than buying for four consecutive years, and the commodity grain depots at the end of last year are the lowest since the grain reform According to the statistics of the State Food Administration, by the end of 2002, the purchase of grain by the state-owned grain enterprises had decreased by 8% compared with the same period of last year, while the sale of grain had increased by 43% compared with the same period of last year GBW shows that at present, China's high grain inventory is decreasing year by year, and the relationship between supply and demand is changing from supply exceeding demand to supply-demand balance (grain and oil market news) GBW