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;
Before the National Day, the market was still discussing whether the pig price could break through the 26 yuan mark, and only half a month later, the pig price had begun to sprint
to the 30 yuan high.
Cailian reporters learned from various interviews that the continuous rise in pig prices is mainly caused by tight supply and multiple market factors, and with the stable supply of pigs, pig prices are expected to maintain a high level of volatility
.
Yongyi Consulting data monitoring shows that on October 14, the price of live pigs started to rise again, and most areas of the country have exceeded 28 yuan, of which Fujian, Guangdong, Zhejiang and other coastal areas have approached the 30 yuan mark
.
(Image source: Yongyi Consulting)
Some industry analysts believe that the continuous rise in pig prices is mainly caused by tight supply, and other secondary fattening, pen pressing, etc.
are secondary factors, and the group's shrinkage and retail investors' reluctance to sell have a greater
impact on the trend of pig prices.
It is worth mentioning that the price department of the National Development and Reform Commission recently organized some industry experts to analyze and judge the recent supply and demand and price situation of the pig market, experts said that the recent increase in pig prices is important because some farmers have been in the market after the game, irrational excessive pressure on the fence and secondary fattening and other behaviors
, reducing the market supply.
In this regard, Wu Menglei, a pig analyst at the agricultural products division of Shanghai Steel Union, told the Cailian reporter: "The main reason for the current increase in pig prices beyond expectations is indeed the tight supply of pigs, especially the shortage of large pigs and pigs has obviously led to the continuous rise in the price of large pigs, which in turn has driven the price of standard pigs higher, while in the fourth quarter pig prices still maintained a high level of strong expectations stimulated by retail investors pressing fences, weight gain, reluctance to sell, etc.
, are also the factors contributing to the abnormal rise in pig prices in stages, and the phenomenon of secondary fattening, three fattening and even four fattening, etc.
It's just part of the driving force
.
”
For fat pigs to drive the price of standard pigs up, the Cailian reporter learned that the current standard fertilizer price difference is continuing to widen, close to 2 yuan / kg, the market is generally optimistic about the later market, and some farmers increase profits by pressing the fence to increase weight
.
A farmer in Shaoyang, Hunan Province, told Cailian reporter: "Today a slaughterer collected pigs, and the big fat pigs quoted me 30 yuan per kilogram, and I have more than 300 fat pigs of more than 170 kilograms, which is much
higher than my profit compared to standard pigs.
" ”
For the next trend of pig prices, Zhang Long, head of pig futures delivery of Jiangsu Linfanke Industrial Co.
, Ltd.
, told the Cailian reporter: "Pig prices may continue to fluctuate at a high level a year ago, and with the impact of emotions, it may rise beyond the ordinary, and it is more
likely to break through the 30 yuan mark.
" With the stable supply of live pigs, pig prices are expected to run at a high and volatile level, but if the previous year rises too high, there may be a sharp decline
in a short period of time after the year.
”
Galaxy Securities believes that pig prices have continued to rise rapidly since the November holiday and have refreshed the high point
of pig prices this year.
Considering that the supply side is still at a low level and the fourth quarter is the traditional peak consumption season, pig prices are expected to continue to run
strongly.
In terms of futures, the main contract of pig futures once exceeded 24,000 yuan / ton, reaching a maximum of 24,150 yuan / ton, a new high
in nearly 18 months.
"Spot and futures are now a period of high volatility, the main reason is that the breeding and slaughter can not keep up, the sales volume of white strips is actually not high, but compared to slaughter and slaughter, the recent white stripe market is still in a state of
rush.
" Zhang Long thinks
.
It should be noted that the National Development and Reform Commission recently said again that the current domestic stock of capable sows, newborn piglets and fattening pigs has risen for many consecutive months, and there is no shortage of pigs overall.
;
; Before the National Day, the market was still discussing whether the pig price could break through the 26 yuan mark, and only half a month later, the pig price had begun to sprint
to the 30 yuan high.
Cailian reporters learned from various interviews that the continuous rise in pig prices is mainly caused by tight supply and multiple market factors, and with the stable supply of pigs, pig prices are expected to maintain a high level of volatility
.
Yongyi Consulting data monitoring shows that on October 14, the price of live pigs started to rise again, and most areas of the country have exceeded 28 yuan, of which Fujian, Guangdong, Zhejiang and other coastal areas have approached the 30 yuan mark
.
(Image source: Yongyi Consulting)
Some industry analysts believe that the continuous rise in pig prices is mainly caused by tight supply, and other secondary fattening, pen pressing, etc.
are secondary factors, and the group's shrinkage and retail investors' reluctance to sell have a greater
impact on the trend of pig prices.
are secondary factors, and the group's shrinkage and retail investors' reluctance to sell have a greater
impact on the trend of pig prices.
It is worth mentioning that the price department of the National Development and Reform Commission recently organized some industry experts to analyze and judge the recent supply and demand and price situation of the pig market, experts said that the recent increase in pig prices is important because some farmers have been in the market after the game, irrational excessive pressure on the fence and secondary fattening and other behaviors
, reducing the market supply.
In this regard, Wu Menglei, a pig analyst at the agricultural products division of Shanghai Steel Union, told the Cailian reporter: "The main reason for the current increase in pig prices beyond expectations is indeed the tight supply of pigs, especially the shortage of large pigs and pigs has obviously led to the continuous rise in the price of large pigs, which in turn has driven the price of standard pigs higher, while in the fourth quarter pig prices still maintained a high level of strong expectations stimulated by retail investors pressing fences, weight gain, reluctance to sell, etc.
, are also the factors contributing to the abnormal rise in pig prices in stages, and the phenomenon of secondary fattening, three fattening and even four fattening, etc.
It's just part of the driving force
.
”
For fat pigs to drive the price of standard pigs up, the Cailian reporter learned that the current standard fertilizer price difference is continuing to widen, close to 2 yuan / kg, the market is generally optimistic about the later market, and some farmers increase profits by pressing the fence to increase weight
.
A farmer in Shaoyang, Hunan Province, told Cailian reporter: "Today a slaughterer collected pigs, and the big fat pigs quoted me 30 yuan per kilogram, and I have more than 300 fat pigs of more than 170 kilograms, which is much
higher than my profit compared to standard pigs.
" ”
For the next trend of pig prices, Zhang Long, head of pig futures delivery of Jiangsu Linfanke Industrial Co.
, Ltd.
, told the Cailian reporter: "Pig prices may continue to fluctuate at a high level a year ago, and with the impact of emotions, it may rise beyond the ordinary, and it is more
likely to break through the 30 yuan mark.
" With the stable supply of live pigs, pig prices are expected to run at a high and volatile level, but if the previous year rises too high, there may be a sharp decline
in a short period of time after the year.
”
Galaxy Securities believes that pig prices have continued to rise rapidly since the November holiday and have refreshed the high point
of pig prices this year.
Considering that the supply side is still at a low level and the fourth quarter is the traditional peak consumption season, pig prices are expected to continue to run
strongly.
In terms of futures, the main contract of pig futures once exceeded 24,000 yuan / ton, reaching a maximum of 24,150 yuan / ton, a new high
in nearly 18 months.
"Spot and futures are now a period of high volatility, the main reason is that the breeding and slaughter can not keep up, the sales volume of white strips is actually not high, but compared to slaughter and slaughter, the recent white stripe market is still in a state of
rush.
" Zhang Long thinks
.
in nearly 18 months.
It should be noted that the National Development and Reform Commission recently said again that the current domestic stock of capable sows, newborn piglets and fattening pigs has risen for many consecutive months, and there is no shortage of pigs overall.
