The market of pig industry began to climb

Introduction: according to the survey data of the Ministry of agriculture, in the third quarter of last year, there were 462 million live pigs in the country, an increase of 2.18% year-on-year, 38794900 breeding sows, an increase of 3.88% year-on-year, and the proportion of sows in the stock was 8.39%, exceeding the reasonable proportion In addition, the price ratio of pig to grain is around 6.00:1, which is in a profitable State, and the price of piglets is rising all the way In the third quarter, the price of piglets reached 8.22 yuan / kg By the end of November last year, the total number of pigs on hand was 182.294 million, a slight increase of 1.02% over the same period last year In terms of breed, there are 13.526 million male and female pigs, 31.087 million piglets, up 2.22% and 2.94% respectively on a year-on-year basis, and 137.017 million finishing pigs, up only 0.49% on a year-on-year basis From the regional point of view, except for the four provinces of Hebei, Shandong, Henan and Zhejiang, which increased by 7.9%, 10.8%, 3.2% and 1.6% respectively, the total pig stocks in Sichuan and Anhui were basically the same, and the other three provinces all decreased in varying degrees The above data can show that the number of live pigs on hand can fully guarantee the social demand It is expected that this year's production of live pigs will be dominated by stable development, but the momentum of replenishment will also be restrained to prevent a new round of supply and demand loss and the difficulty of selling pigs Because the pig industry is facing excellent opportunities, mainly in the following aspects: The price of commodity pig has a significant recovery, and it is speculated that there will be a rising trend, which indicates that the pig industry will usher in a good opportunity for price recovery again At present, the price of pig bulk feed raw materials (such as corn) is low, which can reduce the cost of pig raising, which is efficiency Because in the low tide of pig raising, a certain number of sows are slaughtered, which leaves a large space for pig raising, It's hard to meet the need to mend the railings for a while, which brings a good opportunity for the development of pig breeding This opportunity is mainly manifested in the shortage of sows and the rising price The lack of piglets also leads to an unprecedented good price trend The domestic market of pigs is active, and it's very difficult to sell pigs in the low tide of pig breeding in the early stage However, the current situation is that many local merchants look for pigs to buy and pig farms to buy Pig breeding and piglets have obviously formed a seller's market, which is a good opportunity that is hard to be found From the perspective of international market, China's pig export has occupied a certain international market, and the meat quality and price of pigs have basically reached the recognition of international consumers After China's accession to the world trade organization, according to experts' analysis, the price of exported pigs will probably be the same or slightly increased 。 In terms of the price of corn, the main raw material of pig feed, etc., the price of corn in China is very low at present If the price of main beverage raw material is lowered again, the cost of pig raising will be reduced and the benefit of pig raising will be improved How valuable is this opportunity While analyzing the favorable factors of production, there are also some noticeable problems First of all, last year's corn production reduction in China may have some impact on pig production It is said that in 1999, the national corn output was 128 million tons In 2000, due to the reduction of planting area and the severe drought in the northern region, the corn output was about 98 million tons, or about 30 million tons less than the previous year, a decrease of 23.4% The professional sector expects corn prices to rise by about 20% in 2001 compared with 2000 At present, pig production in China is still in the form of small-scale production, and the large-scale pig production accounts for only about 20% Although farmers can make use of multi-path aged grain and foot drink, some of them need to buy commercial feed If the feed price rises too much, it will have some impact on pig production, especially on large-scale farms Secondly, after entering the winter last year, the seasonal market of pig Dawang is not very prosperous, and the seasonal price has not fallen In some areas, there is a slight increase, especially in Sichuan and Hunan provinces, which account for 21% of the total number of pigs on the market in China In recent years, the production of pigs has declined This reflects that the current pig source is not very loose Secondly, domestic pork sales increased slightly In recent years, various media reported that the consumption of pork by high-income families decreased, but the proportion of high-income families in the whole society was very small In the majority of rural and urban families, pork is still the main meat consumption, and the sales of deep processed meat products in the market have increased Last year, the sales volume of pork in Shanghai increased by about 10% This time, some regions in the materials of each province also reflected the growth trend of pork sales.