The main reasons for the recent decline of rapeseed purchase price

Introduction: in recent years, the purchase price of rapeseed in China has dropped to a certain extent At present, the purchase price in Jiangsu and Zhejiang (to the factory) is at the level of 1.00-1.03 yuan / jin (2000-2060 yuan / ton), which is about 5% lower than the highest price of 1.07 yuan / jin (2140 yuan / ton) in the previous period In the current situation of oil shortage in China, why does the purchase price of rapeseed fall? Through the investigation and understanding of oil plants, the main reasons for the recent decline in the purchase price of domestic rapeseed are summarized as follows: 1 At present, the quality of domestic rapeseed is generally poor In the harvest season of rapeseed, there is continuous rainfall in the main production areas of our country In addition to affecting the yield of rapeseed (preliminarily estimated that the yield of rapeseed decreased by 30%), the harvested rapeseed generally has high water content and short storage time Generally speaking, the quality requirements of rapeseed purchased by oil plants are 38% of oil content and no more than 12% of water content However, according to the actual purchase situation this year, the water content of the purchased rapeseed is generally increased by oil plants all over the country, reducing the storage time of the rapeseed At the same time, after a period of acquisition, the oil plants around basically have a certain amount of inventory, so the enthusiasm of the oil plant acquisition has been reduced In addition, the limited liquidity of the enterprise also restricts the continued acquisition of oil plants, and the price of rapeseed acquisition has become a natural thing 2 Domestic oil plants should coordinate with each other to gradually control the purchase price After a period of disordered purchase, domestic oil plants have fully realized that this disordered competition is not good for all parties, and can only make the purchase price of rapeseed rise in a straight line Therefore, oil plants around gradually coordinate and control the purchase price of rapeseed, which also curbs the continued rise of the price of rapeseed 3 Weather hinders the purchase of rapeseed In recent years, there has been continuous rainfall in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, which is very unfavorable to the purchase, transportation and storage of rapeseed Oil plants have reduced the number of purchases, promoting the decline of domestic rapeseed prices 4 The price of domestic edible oil and oil meal fell After the rapid increase of the price of edible oil and oil meal in the early stage, the price of domestic edible oil and oil meal has continued to fall since the import of soybean resumed in the middle of June Taking Shandong as an example, the highest price of soybean salad oil in Shandong has reached 5250 yuan / ton (ex factory price), and the price of soybean meal has also reached 2000 yuan / ton At present, the price of soybean salad oil in Shandong has fallen back At 5000 yuan / ton, the price of soybean meal dropped to 1800 yuan / ton Affected by this, the price of domestic rapeseed meal also dropped from the highest 1050-1060 yuan / ton (ex factory price) to the current 1020 yuan / ton level In this case, domestic oil plants have been unable to continue to maintain a high level of purchase price Through the above analysis, we can see that the price of domestic rapeseed has lost the driving force of continuous increase, and the price drop has become an inevitable result However, due to the large reduction in production of domestic rapeseed this year, and the relatively tight oil supply, the price of domestic rapeseed will not fall significantly, except for the impact of domestic supply and demand In addition, it will depend on the cost and quantity of imported soybeans.