The inventory is not small, and it is a bit difficult for Nepeta to rise again!

In 2020, the new price of Nepeta production will be higher than that in 2018 and 2019.
In 2021, the planting area will be normal, but the price has suddenly and rapidly increased after the new production.
What is the reason? How long can the high price last? In this issue, Tiandi Yuntu's big data platform for the pharmaceutical industry will analyze the product market based on production and sales data
.
1.
Prices rise after new production Anguo market: This year, the output of new products of Nepeta is not large, coupled with weak inventory, the market after new production is strong, and the supply of goods has been purchased and sold normally in the near future
.
The market price of machine-packed goods is 13.
5 yuan (kg price, the same below), the price of chopped nepeta poles is 10.
5 yuan, the price of nepeta ears is 32 yuan, and the price of selected ears is 40 yuan.
The market outlook will continue to change
.
Bozhou Market: Nepeta in the market is empty.
In addition, this year's incoming volume has dropped significantly compared with previous years, and the market has risen significantly in the early days
.
The price has become firmer recently .
The market price of whole Nepeta is about 12 yuan, Nepeta ear medicine is 14 yuan, the price of good ears is 32 yuan, and the price of selected ears is 40 yuan
.
Merchants buy on-demand, and prices are unlikely to change much in the short term
.
Yulin Market: There are not many incoming goods from the Nepeta production area, and the market inventory is relatively empty.
In the early stage, there were merchants seeking purchases.
The market has risen significantly.
Recently, the market has risen
.
The current price of unified goods is between 12-13 yuan, the price of pole goods is 9-10 yuan, and the price of nepeta ears is around 30 yuan.
The price changes in the market outlook are worthy of attention
.
According to the businessmen of Nepeta domestica in Angola, the output of Nepeta in this year has decreased compared with last year, and the supply is basically exported.
After the new production, the price of the origin has risen rapidly.
The current price of all Nepeta in the origin is 12.
5 yuan
.
2.
The price fluctuates sharply 2016-2021 market price trend chart of Nepeta in the market From the historical price point of view, the price of Nepeta ears has fluctuated frequently in recent years
.
In 2010, the planting area of ​​Nepeta was the largest.
In 2011, the area was reduced by 20%-30%.
In 2012, the planting was reduced more, and the price was high in 2013.

.
In 2014, farmers' enthusiasm for planting increased sharply, and prices fell.
In 2015 and 2016, the output was small and prices rose again
.
In 2017, stimulated by the high prices of the previous year, the planting area increased, and prices fell that year
.
In 2018, the planting area began to decrease again, and the market rebounded again in 2019 and 2020
.
In 2021, the price of Chinese medicinal materials will generally rise, and the nepeta has also received enough attention after the new production, and the price will rise rapidly
.
3.
Concentration of production area Nepeta is mainly produced in surrounding counties and cities such as Anguo, Hebei.
It is one of the few real estate varieties that is still concentrated in the current production area
.
The production, processing and sales of Nepeta are based on the Anguo market
.
Nepeta has a short production cycle.
It is planted in June after wheat harvest, and new crops are produced in October of that year.
The growth period is only 3-4 months, which does not affect wheat planting.
The production efficiency is mainly compared with corn
.
Nepeta has low investment.
Seed seeds are common to commodities, so investment in seeds can be neglected
.
It does not occupy arable land, and the investment in chemical fertilizers and pesticides is not large.
The main cost of the growers lies in the processing and cutting stage.
Under normal circumstances, the cutting labor cost is 6-8 yuan/kg
.
The yield of ears per mu is 120-150 kg, and the yield of straw per mu is about 400 kg
.
According to statistics from the Big Data Platform of the Pharmaceutical Industry in Tiandi Yuntu, the medicinal output of Nepeta in 2020 is 6063 tons
.
4.
Dosage rigidity Nepeta is a commonly used Chinese medicinal material for clearing away heat and detoxification.
It has the function of sweating, relieving the surface and expelling wind.
It mainly treats cold and cold, fever, aversion to cold, and headache without sweating
.
Nepeta is an ingredient in many star products, such as compound cold capsules, vitamin C Yinqiao tablets, etc.
, all have Nepeta, which is a just-needed medicinal material of pharmaceutical factories
.
According to statistics from the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry in Tiandi Yuntu, the medicinal consumption of Nepeta in 2020 will be 5,500 tons
.
V.
Analysis of main products and enterprises in demand.
In terms of the demand for proprietary Chinese medicines, 7702 varieties of proprietary Chinese medicines monitored by the platform were screened.
At present, 209 proprietary Chinese medicines contain nepeta
.
The most demanded Chinese patent medicines for Nepeta are Ganmao Qingre Granules, Yinqiao Detox Granules, Pediatric Cold Antipyretic Syrup and so on
.
The leading Chinese patent medicine companies are China Resources Sanjiu (Zaozhuang) Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, Sichuan Fengchun Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, and Guangdong Shaxi Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd
.
.
VI.
Forecast of the market outlook 1.
Avoid repeating the growth of Nepeta, afraid of rain and high temperature after rain
.
The growing season of this variety happens to be concentrated in the rainy season of the summer months, which is prone to disasters, which makes the output unstable
.
2.
Nepeta ears are easy to change color
.
There is a large price gap between new and old nepeta ears .
If the nepeta ears are improperly stored, they are easy to change color, so even if the price of new ears increases, the price of discolored old ears will not increase, and it will be difficult for them to be sold
.
3.
Nepeta has light foam quality, it is not easy to store Nepeta, and it is easy to be mixed.
The quality gap is large, and it is difficult to attract large external funds to intervene in the speculation
.
In summary, Nepeta is an ultra-short cycle variety, and its price fluctuates drastically
.
The price of this variety has generally not been low in the past three years, especially after the new production in 2021, the price has risen sharply
.
But in the long run, the fundamentals do not support the long-term high price of this product
.
Stimulated by high prices, the planting area will continue to expand next year, and prices will also fall rationally
.