The future of Angelica deserves expectation

Business news on January 15 after a short period of calm at the end of the year, angelica prices rose strongly again Why does Angelica price rise again? How will the future market evolve? Here is a brief analysis Stable price for many years and digestion of inventory Since ancient times, there has been a cycle theory of "three years and one minor, five years and one major" According to the operation track of Angelica in recent years, since the high price of 100 yuan in 2007, it has lasted for another five years Although there is a relatively high price support between 20 and 30 yuan during this period, the production has been continued, and there is no sharp decline, but the continuous reduction since 2010 is obvious to all The three-year reduction has effectively digested the huge stock According to the statistics of the industry operators, the more recognized figure is that the inventory of the old goods before the end of 2012 is about 12000 tons Compared with the inventory of over 20000 tons at the end of last year, the reduction is not large Such a low stock makes the local market volatile and may change direction at any time Production is reduced due to disaster and supply is tight When the price of new products rises, the reduction of Angelica's production is the decisive factor The reduction of production makes the supply and demand of angelica, a giant, out of balance In the eyes of all businesses, the industry is very active At the beginning of the new production in November, the local operators of the spring river water warm duck prophet took the lead in suppressing the goods, while the unknown outsiders chose to look around For a while, the price of "Luoyang paper price" rose sharply, and some of them failed to keep up with it Most of the local businesses have completed their acquisition targets At the end of the year, the price of Angelica was slightly stable, and the fact of production reduction was confirmed again This year's per unit yield was reduced by 40%, and the total output was estimated to be about 20000 tons, far from the previous output of more than 30000 tons Foreign businesses began to choose the opportunity to start, and the number of people involved was increasing The number and dryness of goods sources in the main production areas of Min county and Huichuan were difficult to meet the demand Some businesses turned to Longxi warehouse for food In the new year's day period, we did not stop buying large quantities of goods Strong demand strongly stimulated the price, which rose by more than 5 yuan in a few days Up to now, the transaction price of pharmaceutical products has reached 34-35 yuan Gathering popularity and involving funds At present, the acquired businesses have gradually changed from the original local businesses to the foreign businesses, supplemented by the local businesses, with more and more people and wider regions At present, it is difficult to organize the better quality goods on the market According to the reaction of the peddlers who go deep into the place of origin, the small new goods in the hands of pharmaceutical farmers are basically processed and sold, the largest collection The market volume of dangguicheng in Minxian county is less than 100 tons per set, and the remaining new products are hard to meet the needs of drug dealers due to drug farmers' reluctance to sell From the perspective of the current acquisition team, in addition to the normal market operators in Bozhou, Anguo, Chengdu and other places, there are many large goods operators from Zhejiang, Fujian, Shanghai and other places A new acquisition war has begun Limited production and strong demand It is undeniable that the current market situation has two sections of market demand in the near future and the drug factory's feeding and stock up pull, because angelica is a dual-purpose medicine, especially the huge annual consumption of food supplement in the south, the soup and stew are mostly added, and there is little demand for vegetables in the north In winter, especially the new year's day and Spring Festival, the demand is strong, and local operators prepare goods in advance for sales At the end of the year, major pharmaceutical companies also increased their purchasing efforts to meet the production needs during the Spring Festival, which virtually increased the demand for goods At the same time, this year's reduction of Angelica production also affects Angelica seedlings According to the pharmaceutical farmers in the main production area, this year's production of Angelica seedlings is reduced by 50% - 60% due to the hail disaster and rainy weather, and the seedlings are generally small In the words of Min county people, they are called "Sisi" The quality of seedlings indirectly affects the production of Angelica next year, and the supply and demand situation of Angelica aftermarket is severe All kinds of signs show that it seems reasonable for angelica to increase its price, which is the general trend of the people At the same time, the rebound of the price of Dangshen, a large variety of real estate, has also injected confidence into the managers of angelica, and the managers who have the foresight will never miss a development opportunity It is worth looking forward to.