The fertilizer market is chaotic, and the peak season is not busy or reappears

Recently, the improvement of the urea market has brought a bit of vitality to the fertilizer market.
Compared with the monoammonium market, grassroots demand is slow and inventory pressure has doubled.
Some manufacturers choose to sell at low prices.
Under such circumstances, the market may have a peak season this spring.
The situation is not prosperous.
The urea market is loosening slightly.
Spring plowing is imminent, and the grassroots goods are beginning to be sold.
The urea market also began to see price loosening with the launch of the spring plowing market.
According to the reporter's understanding, the price of urea is relatively low in Northwest China.
From the perspective of Shandong, the urea market is unlikely to rebound.
Shi Zhongkui, general manager of Qingdao Sannong Fukang Fertilizer Co.
, Ltd.
, said that the current ex-factory price of small granular urea from Shandong manufacturers ranges from 1910-1950 yuan/ton.
However, the current purchasing enthusiasm of compound fertilizer manufacturers is not high, mainly because the purchase volume in the early stage is large and the demand is reduced.
He said that the price increase of urea in the later period is very limited.
Northwest Market Quotation Confusion According to Wang Chenggong, the current agricultural material market quotations in Xinjiang are relatively chaotic.
Taking 64% diammonium as an example, the difference in quotations between different markets can reach 150 yuan/ton.
He said: "As far as the supply of goods in Guizhou is concerned, the dealers' quotations are very confusing, and the manufacturers have no unified regulations on market sales, making disorderly competition more serious.
" In addition to the confusion of quotations and the misfortune of dealers, the direct sales of manufacturers are also Squeeze the living space of dealers.
Wang Chenggong told reporters that in recent years, the trend of flattening the circulation channels of agricultural materials has become more and more obvious.
It is more and more common for small and medium-sized enterprises to get rid of middlemen and directly connect with farmers, which has reduced the profits of dealers to a certain extent.
Despite the increasingly fierce competition among manufacturers, farmers did not buy it.
According to Wang Chenggong, according to previous years' experience, the current sales season should be entered, but the enthusiasm of grassroots distributors and farmers is very poor this year.
He said: “This year, farmers’ purchase of fertilizers is very poor.
On the one hand, there is sufficient supply, and on the other hand, because of the shortage of funds for large growers.
” Therefore, he believes that this year’s agricultural material market will be very difficult.
The price of compound fertilizer has fallen.
According to Shi Zhongkui, due to the different price drops in the market prices of monoammonium and potassium sulfate, the price of compound fertilizer has fallen sharply.
It is understood that the current price of 45% sulfur-based compound fertilizer has been lower than 2,300 yuan / ton.
The price of 45% of chlorine-based compound fertilizers has also fallen, and the current ex-factory price is lower than 2,000 yuan/ton.
There are many reasons for the decline in the price of compound fertilizer.
In addition to the decline in the price of raw materials, the pre-stock of compound fertilizer manufacturers is the main reason.
Shi Zhongkui said: "In the early stage, many manufacturers were too optimistic about the market, believing that the compound fertilizer market this spring will be better than in previous years, so the procurement of raw materials has been accelerated, and the output has also increased.
However, many manufacturers currently have too much inventory.
In order to digest inventory and return funds as soon as possible, some manufacturers had to cut prices and promote sales.
"Shi Zhongkui said that in recent years, Hubei enterprises have developed rapidly.
During the winter storage period, Hubei manufacturers have relatively large inventory and greater pressure in the later stage.
Based on the current inventory situation, Shi Zhongkui analyzed that there is still room for a fall in the compound fertilizer market.
Peak season Not prosperous or reappearing.
At present, both grassroots distributors and farmers are not very enthusiastic about getting goods.
In addition to Xinjiang farmers who are not very enthusiastic about getting goods, the enthusiasm of farmers in Shandong and other places is also sluggish.
Shi Zhongkui said: "Now many farmers have discovered that One problem is that the goods taken first are often more expensive than the goods taken when the fertilizer is used.
Therefore, in recent years, farmers are more willing to postpone the purchase of fertilizer.
"The dealers’ mentality is more practical.
The current price of compound fertilizers has fallen, and the prices of monoammonium and potassium sulfate have fallen.
The situation of urea thriving is difficult to support.
Under the mentality of buying up and not buying down, many dealers no longer have a lot of reserves.
Shi Zhongkui Said: "Distributors also had a lot of inventory last fall, and the overall fertilizer market is likely to decline, so they are buying in batches multiple times, which brings difficulties to market operations.
"Under this circumstance, Shi Zhongkui believes that the phenomenon of the peak season may not be prosperous again this year.
In summary, although the prospects of the fertilizer market are not optimistic, the domestic chemical fertilizer has changed from zero growth to negative growth of chemical fertilizers, and traditional chemical fertilizers have been suppressed, and utilization efficiency has been suppressed.
Gao's new fertilizers have a better market and policy environment.
Therefore, manufacturers should change their thinking and develop new fertilizers.