The competition for transportation capacity between soybean and corn will be alleviated

Introduction: the influence of corn export on price in 2002 is mainly reflected by the tension of railway transportation capacity The influence of corn export on price in 2002 is mainly reflected by the tension of railway transportation capacity At the same time, these two factors influence and promote each other It is expected that the tension of railway transportation capacity in Northeast China will gradually ease after the first quarter of this year, and the impact of export on price will continue to the first quarter of 2003 Meanwhile, the pulling effect of corn export on market price will be weakened correspondingly 3bu first of all, the soybeans produced in 2002 in Northeast China are expected to be basically shipped in the first quarter, the competition for transportation capacity between soybeans and corn will be eliminated, and the shortage of railway transportation capacity will be alleviated to some extent 3bu secondly, after the start of 2003 transport year, the situation that the railway sector contracted transport capacity at the end of last year to avoid increasing transport tasks in 2003 will be eliminated, and the number of grain wagons issued will increase 3bu third, after the end of the Spring Festival on February 25, the railway department will re adjust its moderate inclination from passenger transport to freight transport 3bu in the second quarter of 2003, the domestic corn price may fall to the lowest level of the whole year 3bu 1 After the tension of transportation capacity in Northeast China is relieved, the quantity of corn sent to Guannei by railway and South China by sea will increase, and the supply quantity of corn in the market will increase in the same period 3bu 2 After the first quarter, the sales volume of corn that farmers in Huanghuai area of North China were reluctant to sell due to the price rise in the previous year will increase with the local temperature rising, and the market corn supply will also increase 3bu 3 is that in the two months after the first quarter, the corn demand of domestic feed industry is at a low level in the year, and the market demand has decreased However, the survey of some storage enterprises in Huanghuai area of North China shows that the enterprises have a more positive attitude to the problem of purchasing some corn in next spring In the case of reduced demand for feed industry, the purchase volume of state-owned grain sector in North China's Huang Huai Region is likely to increase, which will to some extent limit the decline of corn price 3bU
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