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The latest forecast data released during the period showed that due to the severe impact of the La Niña phenomenon, the drought crisis in the central, western and southeastern parts of Brazil has been intensified.
The growth of Brazil's agricultural output value in 2021 is expected to be lowered from 2.
6% to 1.
7%
.
In agriculture, the growth rate this year is expected to be lowered from 2.
7% to 1.
7%
.
Among them, corn (-11.
3%), sugar cane (-3.
2%), and coffee (-21%) are expected to have reduced growth, while soybeans (9.
8%), wheat (36%) and rice (4.
1%) are expected to grow Maintain good expectations
.
The delay in the soybean harvest not only caused the next year’s crops to be planted on time, but also greatly adversely affected the corn output this year and became more dependent on rainfall
.
In terms of animal husbandry, Ipea is expected to be lowered from 2.
5% to 1.
8%.
Except for beef (-1%), the output value of other products is expected to grow positively: such as pork (7.
7%), chicken (3.
9%), milk (3.
1%) And eggs (4.
5%).
Among them, the good performance of pork is inseparable from the strong growth of Brazil’s exports to China this year
.
5% to 1.
8%.
Except for beef (-1%), the output value of other products is expected to grow positively: such as pork (7.
7%), chicken (3.
9%), milk (3.
1%) And eggs (4.
5%).
Among them, the good performance of pork is inseparable from the strong growth of Brazil’s exports to China this year
.
Researchers also predict that the GDP of agriculture and animal husbandry will increase by 3.
3% year-on-year in 2022, of which the growth rates of agriculture and animal husbandry will be 3.
9% and 1.
8% respectively
.
Conab said that the national output of soybeans, corn, cotton and other crops will maintain a good performance after a sharp decline this year
.
Soybean production is expected to hit a record high in 2022 .
Ipea Associate Researcher Garcia added that after two consecutive years of decline, beef production is expected to increase next year, but the relevant predictions will still face major risks such as the impact of climate issues and slower recovery of beef slaughter.
"However, The climate prediction model shows that the La Niña phenomenon will weaken in the second half of the year, the local summer rainfall in Brazil will be more regular, and the winter temperature will be milder
.
"
3% year-on-year in 2022, of which the growth rates of agriculture and animal husbandry will be 3.
9% and 1.
8% respectively
.
Conab said that the national output of soybeans, corn, cotton and other crops will maintain a good performance after a sharp decline this year
.
Soybean production is expected to hit a record high in 2022 .
Ipea Associate Researcher Garcia added that after two consecutive years of decline, beef production is expected to increase next year, but the relevant predictions will still face major risks such as the impact of climate issues and slower recovery of beef slaughter.
"However, The climate prediction model shows that the La Niña phenomenon will weaken in the second half of the year, the local summer rainfall in Brazil will be more regular, and the winter temperature will be milder
.
"
