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As the year closes approaching, pig prices and egg prices are falling, and raw soybean meal rises and falls, and remains at about 4600-4700 yuan / ton, how many people have made money this year, how many people have worked in vain, and how many people have debt?!
Domestic soybean meal stocks grew for five consecutive weeks
As Brazilian soybeans entered the growing season, its farmers also began to pre-sell soybeans in large quantities, which led to a decline
in the cost of imported soybeans in China.
At present, China's import of Brazilian soybeans in February shipping is at 209 cents, equivalent to a theoretical arrival cost of about 4928 yuan / ton, which is 260 yuan / ton lower than the cost of US soybeans in the same period, and the crushing profit of imported soybeans will continue to rise
in the future.
In order to avoid the loss of downtime during the Spring Festival holiday, the crush volume of soybeans in domestic oil mills has remained high in recent weeks
.
In the latest week, China's imported soybean crush volume was at 2.
11 million tons, exceeding the level of 2 million tons of high-pressure crushing for the fourth consecutive week, an increase of 30,000 tons from a week ago, an increase of 130,000 tons from the same period last month, an increase of 320,000 tons year-on-year, and an increase of 220,000 tons from the average value of the same period in the past three years
.
With the arrival of imported soybeans and the realization of profits, the crush volume of imported soybeans is still expected to exceed 200 tons
in the coming weeks.
The high level of crushing volume also led to the continuous growth
of domestic soybean meal stocks for five consecutive weeks.
Statistics show that up to now, the stock of soybean meal in the domestic coastal area is about 540,000 tons, an increase of 230,000 tons from a month ago, which is close to the level of the same period last year
.
Approaching the end of the year, as logistics continue to recover, feed breeding enterprises and traders open the pre-holiday centralized stocking mode under the condition that inventories are generally low, coupled with the oil mills will open the shutdown holiday mode after mid-January, the demand side of the demand to support the price of soybean meal strengthened, it is expected that soybean meal is expected to remain volatile and strong
.
For the first time, pig prices fell before the winter, and some farmers lost tens of millions this year
According to Times Financial News, pig prices began to continue to fall from late October, and the downward speed accelerated in December, and the pig price was still above 20 yuan / kg in early December, and fell below the "20 mark"
at the end of the month.
Generally speaking, near the Spring Festival, pork consumption demand is strong, and farmers will take the opportunity to sell at a good price
.
Unexpectedly, at the end of this year, pig prices did not rise but fell
.
A farmer named Uncle Chen, whose breeding cost is about 8 yuan / jin, although the current pig price can still cover the cost line, but he said that firstly, the past two years have been "lost", second, pig prices are unstable, breeding costs are getting higher and higher, "In the case of reducing manpower and reducing feed costs, I don't expect to make money, just as having work to pass the time
.
" Uncle Chen said
.
Another Li Jian is the head of a pig farm in western Guangdong, with a total breeding scale of about
300,000 heads.
He told Times Finance that when the market is good, you can earn hundreds of millions a year, but this year you have lost a mess, "Generally speaking, if last year's pig raising was a loss of money, this year's pig price rises, I can hedge last year's debt, but this year I have lost tens of millions
.
" ”
"But this year has been the most abnormal year
for pig prices.
In the past, pig prices basically went according to the law, if they went down, they would go all the way down, but this year's pig prices are extremely unstable, high and low, which is difficult to predict
.
Li Jian said that everyone thought that the pig price at the end of the year was good, they pressed the pigs not out of the slaughter, and fattened the second time, wanting to make a good price, who knew that the market was shocking, "I lost 10 million in this wave of market before the winter alone
.
" ”
In just 4 days, egg prices fell by 10%, and the average price in some areas fell below the cost line
Recent data from Shanghai Steel Union shows that since December 22, the national egg price has entered a rapid decline channel
.
As of December 26, the average price of the main producing areas in the country fell to 4.
36 yuan / jin in just four days, down 0.
47 yuan / jin from December 22, a drop of 9.
73%, and a decrease of 20.
15%
compared with the average price of the main producing areas at the beginning of the month.
Up to now, egg prices in Hebei, Sichuan, Yunnan, Chongqing, Shanxi and other places have fallen below 4 yuan, entering the 3 yuan era
.
As the year closes approaching, students in many places are on holiday, some catering terminals are closed, food factories stop work and production, terminal trading is light, inventory in each link increases, according to Mysteel statistics, as of December 26, the average inventory of the production link is 1.
60 days, the average inventory of the circulation link is 2.
31 days, the cumulative average inventory is 3.
91 days, the local inventory pressure is up to 5-6 days, and the shipping pressure is gradually increasing
.
According to Mysteel statistics, as of December 26, the average breeding cost of laying hens is 4.
35 yuan / jin, the average breeding profit is 0.
01 yuan / jin, since December, the cost of laying hen breeding has shown a downward trend, mainly corn, soybean meal and other raw material prices are weakly adjusted, so although the national average egg price in December is weakly running, but the breeding profit is still performing well, but in the past two days by the rapid decline in the average price of the main producing areas, the reduction of breeding profit is more obvious, especially in Hebei, Liaoning, The average price of key production areas such as Sichuan has fallen below the cost line, especially in local low-price areas, and the loss at the breeding end is gradually more obvious, and the sentiment of hope for growth has increased
.
;
;As the year closes approaching, pig prices and egg prices are falling, and raw soybean meal rises and falls, and remains at about 4600-4700 yuan / ton, how many people have made money this year, how many people have worked in vain, and how many people have debt?!
Domestic soybean meal stocks grew for five consecutive weeks
Domestic soybean meal stocks increased for 5 consecutive weeks, and domestic soybean meal stocks increased for 5 consecutive weeks
As Brazilian soybeans entered the growing season, its farmers also began to pre-sell soybeans in large quantities, which led to a decline
in the cost of imported soybeans in China.
At present, China's import of Brazilian soybeans in February shipping is at 209 cents, equivalent to a theoretical arrival cost of about 4928 yuan / ton, which is 260 yuan / ton lower than the cost of US soybeans in the same period, and the crushing profit of imported soybeans will continue to rise
in the future.
In order to avoid the loss of downtime during the Spring Festival holiday, the crush volume of soybeans in domestic oil mills has remained high in recent weeks
.
In the latest week, China's imported soybean crush volume was at 2.
11 million tons, exceeding the level of 2 million tons of high-pressure crushing for the fourth consecutive week, an increase of 30,000 tons from a week ago, an increase of 130,000 tons from the same period last month, an increase of 320,000 tons year-on-year, and an increase of 220,000 tons from the average value of the same period in the past three years
.
With the arrival of imported soybeans and the realization of profits, the crush volume of imported soybeans is still expected to exceed 200 tons
in the coming weeks.
The high level of crushing volume also led to the continuous growth
of domestic soybean meal stocks for five consecutive weeks.
Statistics show that up to now, the stock of soybean meal in the domestic coastal area is about 540,000 tons, an increase of 230,000 tons from a month ago, which is close to the level of the same period last year
.
Approaching the end of the year, as logistics continue to recover, feed breeding enterprises and traders open the pre-holiday centralized stocking mode under the condition that inventories are generally low, coupled with the oil mills will open the shutdown holiday mode after mid-January, the demand side of the demand to support the price of soybean meal strengthened, it is expected that soybean meal is expected to remain volatile and strong
.
in the coming weeks.
The high level of crushing volume also led to the continuous growth
of domestic soybean meal stocks for five consecutive weeks.
For the first time, pig prices fell before the winter, and some farmers lost tens of millions this year
For the first time, we encountered a decline in pig prices before winter, and some farmers lost tens of millions this yearAccording to Times Financial News, pig prices began to continue to fall from late October, and the downward speed accelerated in December, and the pig price was still above 20 yuan / kg in early December, and fell below the "20 mark"
at the end of the month.
Generally speaking, near the Spring Festival, pork consumption demand is strong, and farmers will take the opportunity to sell at a good price
.
Unexpectedly, at the end of this year, pig prices did not rise but fell
.
.
A farmer named Uncle Chen, whose breeding cost is about 8 yuan / jin, although the current pig price can still cover the cost line, but he said that firstly, the past two years have been "lost", second, pig prices are unstable, breeding costs are getting higher and higher, "In the case of reducing manpower and reducing feed costs, I don't expect to make money, just as having work to pass the time
.
" Uncle Chen said
.
Another Li Jian is the head of a pig farm in western Guangdong, with a total breeding scale of about
300,000 heads.
He told Times Finance that when the market is good, you can earn hundreds of millions a year, but this year you have lost a mess, "Generally speaking, if last year's pig raising was a loss of money, this year's pig price rises, I can hedge last year's debt, but this year I have lost tens of millions
.
" ”
"But this year has been the most abnormal year
for pig prices.
In the past, pig prices basically went according to the law, if they went down, they would go all the way down, but this year's pig prices are extremely unstable, high and low, which is difficult to predict
.
Li Jian said that everyone thought that the pig price at the end of the year was good, they pressed the pigs not out of the slaughter, and fattened the second time, wanting to make a good price, who knew that the market was shocking, "I lost 10 million in this wave of market before the winter alone
.
" ”
for pig prices.
I lost 10 million in this wave of market before winter alone
In just 4 days, egg prices fell by 10%, and the average price in some areas fell below the cost line
In just 4 days, the egg price fell by 10%, the average price in some regions fell below the cost line in just 4 days, and the average price in some regions fell below the cost lineRecent data from Shanghai Steel Union shows that since December 22, the national egg price has entered a rapid decline channel
.
As of December 26, the average price of the main producing areas in the country fell to 4.
36 yuan / jin in just four days, down 0.
47 yuan / jin from December 22, a drop of 9.
73%, and a decrease of 20.
15%
compared with the average price of the main producing areas at the beginning of the month.
Up to now, egg prices in Hebei, Sichuan, Yunnan, Chongqing, Shanxi and other places have fallen below 4 yuan, entering the 3 yuan era
.
36 yuan / jin, down 0.
47 yuan / jin from December 22, a drop of 9.
73%, and a decrease of 20.
15%
compared with the average price of the main producing areas at the beginning of the month.
Up to now, egg prices in Hebei, Sichuan, Yunnan, Chongqing, Shanxi and other places have fallen below 4 yuan, entering the 3 yuan era
.
As the year closes approaching, students in many places are on holiday, some catering terminals are closed, food factories stop work and production, terminal trading is light, inventory in each link increases, according to Mysteel statistics, as of December 26, the average inventory of the production link is 1.
60 days, the average inventory of the circulation link is 2.
31 days, the cumulative average inventory is 3.
91 days, the local inventory pressure is up to 5-6 days, and the shipping pressure is gradually increasing
.
According to Mysteel statistics, as of December 26, the average breeding cost of laying hens is 4.
35 yuan / jin, the average breeding profit is 0.
01 yuan / jin, since December, the cost of laying hen breeding has shown a downward trend, mainly corn, soybean meal and other raw material prices are weakly adjusted, so although the national average egg price in December is weakly running, but the breeding profit is still performing well, but in the past two days by the rapid decline in the average price of the main producing areas, the reduction of breeding profit is more obvious, especially in Hebei, Liaoning, The average price of key production areas such as Sichuan has fallen below the cost line, especially in local low-price areas, and the loss at the breeding end is gradually more obvious, and the sentiment of hope for growth has increased
.
