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In order to solve the shortage of feed grain, we should pay attention to both the immediate and the long-term, and solve the problem of "people and animals fighting for food" from the height of national food security.
to make full use of domestic and international two markets, two kinds of resources, with the stability of domestic market supply to deal with the uncertainty of the international market.
as the saying goes, pig food is safe in the world.
the rapid development of the pig industry and the bottom of the near-storage corn, so that the gap in corn production demand from implicit to explicit, corn prices rose rapidly last year.
feed enterprises and aquaculture enterprises in order to reduce costs, began to purchase rice and wheat instead of corn for feed, making the "human and animal competition for food" contradiction intensified.
must solve the contradictions in a multi-pronged manner and beware of the impact of "human and animal food competition" on the food rations of 1.4 billion people.
varieties such as rice, wheat and maize are alternative and have strong price linkage.
from experience, wheat prices are considered to be the "ceiling" of corn prices, corn prices will be constrained by wheat prices, wheat feed increases will inhibit corn prices.
many people are surprised that the current corn prices have broken the wheat price "ceiling", driving wheat prices together to rise, the formation of corn, wheat, rice prices linked up the situation.
in order to alleviate the problem of tight corn supply and demand, the relevant departments continued to put on the national policy wheat, last year in the autumn grain acquisition season to restart the national policy rice auction sales.
corn prices further stimulate demand for alternatives, feed enterprises consider the cost-effective wheat and corn, more willing to use wheat instead of corn as feed, to participate in the bidding for policy wheat is more active.
results of the three policy wheat auctions organized by the National Food Trading Center in January this year, the price of policy wheat auctions rose in volume, and the wheat turnover rate and premium range reached new highs.
in order to stabilize market expectations, the relevant departments adjust the trading rules, increase the margin limit, advance payment, shorten the payment period, curb speculative capital participation in bidding, the wheat market has played a significant cooling role.
, will replacing corn with rice and wheat as feed affect the safety of rations? China's rice and wheat production for many years in a row, inventory is at a high level, rations self-severity rate of more than 100%, to achieve the basic self-serfity of grain, rations absolutely safe food security goals.
and wheat are not only enough to eat, they are also under pressure to go into stock.
on the basis of ensuring the absolute safety of rations, replacing corn with stocks of rice and wheat as feed can not only alleviate the contradiction of feed grain shortage, but also help to reduce the pressure of stocking.
but not to be ignored, there is a land-competing relationship between corn and rice.
relevant departments have made it clear that this year in the Northeast, North China Huanghuai region and other major producing areas to increase corn cultivation area, may squeeze rice cultivation area.
, replacing corn with rice and wheat as feed is not a long-term solution.
to solve the shortage of feed grain, we should pay attention to the immediate, but also pay attention to the long-term, from the height of national food security to solve the "people and animals for food" problem.
to make full use of domestic and international two markets, two kinds of resources, with the stability of domestic market supply to deal with the uncertainty of the international market.
is to base on the domestic, in-depth implementation of grain in the land and grain in the technical strategy, and continue to improve the comprehensive production capacity of grain.
, on the basis of ensuring the absolute safety of rations, we should increase the area of corn cultivation, stabilize the area of soybean cultivation, expand the supply of feed grain, and strictly restrict the development of corn fuel ethanol; On the other hand, we should adjust the development idea of animal husbandry with "six animals and pigs first" moderately, vigorously develop forage-type animal husbandry, reduce the use of feed grain, and reverse the embarrassing situation of "people and animals fighting for food".
is to face the world, moderate imports of corn, barley, sorghum and other feed grains.
, the global epidemic of new crown pneumonia, food production and policy changes in exporting countries, the game between the major countries is becoming increasingly fierce, bringing greater uncertainty to food imports.
recently, the United States sharply reduced 2020 corn production, Argentina completely lifted the corn export restrictions, the domestic corn market caused by the linkage effect is obvious.
the long term, we need to continuously expand the diversified channels of grain imports, enhance the management capacity of the international food supply chain, and ensure the stability of grain imports.