Review on the trend of grain and oil market in Wuhu, Anhui Province from January to June 2004

Introduction: driven by the strong market demand in the first half of the year, the situation of Wuhu grain market, which has been declining for several years in a row, has been reversed, breaking through the historical highest price since the opening of the grain market in 95 years The market pattern of grain oversupply appeared in March Throughout the first half of Wuhu grain price change trend: mainly presents the inverted "V" trend The price of Wuhu grain remained at the end of last year, and the supply and demand of the market was relatively balanced Although the price of grain fluctuated, the yield was not large In late February, with the gradual increase of market purchasing power and demand, the grain price has stepped out of the shadow of downturn and kept rising to a new high, the highest price in 95 years In March, Wuhu grain price continued to go out of a new round of rising space driven by the increasing market sales After the end of April, under the influence of auction of old grain in stock all over the country, the grain price in Wuhu grain market has remained stable and slightly decreased 5、 In June, the grain price maintained a relatively stable running trend under the guarantee of sufficient supply in the market, and some varieties continued to fall Generally speaking, the average grain price in the second quarter after the fall is still higher than that before the rise Due to the approaching of Spring Festival in Wuhu grain market in January, the supply of all kinds of rice and high-quality rice with small package in the market is in short supply, and the sales volume is rising obviously Although the trading momentum is active, the grain price of Wuhu market in January is still stable, with little fluctuation After the previous round of rising market, the edible oil market is still in a small slide at the beginning of the Yuan Dynasty, but with the gradual increase of festival market demand, the price in the middle of the month has become stable Some of the sharp rise in food prices in the fourth quarter of last year was stopped at the end of the year After entering yuan month, the grain price of Wuhu market has maintained a stable running trend In terms of varieties: the price per kilogram of standard early indica rice was 1.80 yuan, flat in the same period last month; the price per kilogram of standard hybrid rice was 2.06 yuan, up 3% from the same period last month; the price per kilogram of standard japonica rice was 2.20 yuan, flat in the same period last month; the price per kilogram of high-quality small package rice was 2.40 yuan to 2.60 yuan, flat in the last month At present, the price of secondary rapeseed oil is 7.20 yuan per kilogram, which continues to decline on the basis of the end of last month However, due to the recent strong spot price of domestic soybean, the tight supply of rapeseed market and the strong market demand for the festival, the further decline of oil price will play a supporting role The main reasons for the recent stable grain price are as follows: the Spring Festival is coming, farmers are selling their surplus grain, and grain stations have increased the sales of old grain in stock Sufficient supply of goods is an important foundation for the stable grain price Wuhu grain market, which has been relatively stable since the end of February, has entered into a relatively strong rebound momentum with the increasing number of customers from the sales area to Wuhu for grain transfer and the increasingly active market transactions The increase of conventional varieties such as hybrid rice, japonica rice and early indica rice is obvious Although the sales of high-quality varieties are also increasing, the price increase is not significant Edible oil also showed a trend of recovery in late February, but the trend was not strong The main reasons for the rapid rise of market grain price in late February are as follows: to complete the task of grain storage, the state and local reserve in the sales area went to the production area to purchase grain, and after the year, colleges and universities, factories and construction sites successively opened schools and started construction, which led to a sharp increase in demand for rice, thus driving the rise of grain price From the price of grain varieties in late February, the price of early indica rice is 1.40 yuan per kilogram 6% higher than the beginning of the month; 1.46 yuan per kilogram of hybrid rice, 4.3% higher than the beginning of the month; 1.63 yuan per kilogram of Japonica rice, 5.8% higher than the beginning of the month; 1.94 yuan per kilogram of indica rice, 2.1% higher than the beginning of the month; 1.12 yuan per kilogram of standard one hybrid rice, 2.9% higher than the beginning of the month; 2.38 yuan per kilogram of standard one japonica rice, 5.7% higher than the beginning of the month; 2.60 yuan per kilogram of refined rice, 3.2% higher than the beginning of the month 。 Flour and second-class vegetable oil increased gradually this month along with the market sales volume, and the price also increased to some extent, but the increase was not large In March, Wuhu grain continued to walk out of a new round of rising space driven by strong market demand At present, the price of grain has broken through the highest price in 95 years, which is the highest price in history after the opening of grain market With the increase of the number of grain merchants from the sales area to the main production area, the grain trading momentum is active, and the sales volume is significantly higher than last month After entering the middle of the year, the share of grain purchasing and selling enterprises and grain reserves has increased the market sales of their own grain and old grain stocks, and sufficient supply of market goods will play a certain role in restraining the current rising grain prices Due to the reduction of grain production last year, at present, there are not many grain stocks in grain purchasing and selling enterprises and surplus grain in the hands of farmers The form of market supply and demand has changed, and strong market demand has resulted in a good sale of grain Some individual rice factories and dealers are reluctant to sell when they see the price of grain rising They are accumulating goods and raising the wholesale price of grain, which makes the current market price remain high From the price of grain varieties in the middle of March, the price of early indica rice is 1.56 yuan per kilogram, 7.6% higher than that at the beginning of the month; that of late indica rice is 1.70 yuan per kilogram, 6.3% higher than that at the beginning of the month; that of Japonica rice is 1.85 yuan per kilogram, 12% higher than that at the beginning of the month; that of early indica rice is 2.12 yuan per kilogram, 6% higher than that at the same time last month; that of standard one hybrid rice is 2.40 yuan per kilogram, 9% higher than that at the same time last month; that of Japonica rice is 2.80 Yuan, 16.6% higher than that at the beginning of the month; 2.04 yuan per kilogram, 7.4% higher than that at the beginning of the month The second grade vegetable oil is 7.20 yuan per kilogram Basically the same period last month In April, with the state's new grain and old grain going out of the warehouse in succession, sufficient market supply has played a restraining role in the rising grain price Affected by the rise of domestic grain prices in March, the relevant departments increased the quantity of grain imports in the second quarter With the continuous arrival of imported grain in the domestic market, the domestic grain supply was strengthened, thus stabilizing the domestic market grain prices In late April, driven by the gradual fall of grain prices in the sales area, Wuhu grain prices also showed a steady and falling trend, but the decline was not significant In May, Wuhu grain market has maintained a relatively stable running trend, grain prices have basically stabilized, and a small number of varieties still fall At present, there are a large number of rapeseed on the market Although the output is high this year, due to the relatively stable seed price, Wuhu edible oil market is relatively stable, and the price is lower than that in the first quarter With the state's new grain and old grain going out of the warehouse one after another, sufficient grain supply has stabilized the market price In addition, in late May, when rapeseed was listed, many rice factories and individuals sold their grain in order to free up funds and warehouses for the purchase of rapeseed The stable and falling of grain price also impels some grain traders to maintain their capital and even lose money A large number of grain listing is the main reason for the stable and falling of grain price According to varieties in June, the price of early indica rice is 1.60 yuan per kilogram, which is the same as that at the end of last month; that of hybrid rice is 1.64 yuan per kilogram, which is 1.2% lower than that at the same time last month; that of early indica rice is 2.32 yuan per kilogram, which is the same as that at the same time last month; that of hybrid rice is 2.46 yuan per kilogram, which is 1.1% lower than that at the same time last month; that of secondary vegetable oil is 7.40 yuan per kilogram, 1.3% lower than the same period last month: the bulk salad oil was 7.60 yuan per kilogram, flat last month