Reduction of production and price reduction of feed enterprises due to epidemic situation

Introduction: since the outbreak of avian influenza, live poultry trade has been stopped in Shanghai and Zhejiang, and poultry consumption has decreased nationwide, which also directly affects the production and sales of poultry feed in the upper reaches The reporter recently learned in an interview in Northeast China that under the influence of avian influenza, the major poultry feed production enterprises have to limit and reduce the production of feed Let's see our reporter's investigation in Heilongjiang Sun was supposed to be at work at two o'clock in the afternoon Entering a feed factory in Harbin, the reporter saw seven or eight workers playing basketball And the head of the enterprise, an Xudong, stood at the sideline and watched, but the expression on his face was not as happy as the workers who played on the field Recently, he told reporters, their enterprises have cut production by 20% and the work of workers is much less An Xudong, general manager of sun Harbin Lianfeng Feed Co., Ltd., "it's definitely not that the company started at full load and can reach 70% of the total It's better to clean up and clean up Now, the rest time is longer than before The former workers also work on Sundays Now, they can rest for a week on Sundays and sometimes stop in the middle." sun is a feed factory mainly made of poultry An Xudong told us that the current stock of layers and broilers is very high, which should have been the increase of feed sales Who knows that at the end of March, when the bird flu epidemic occurred in the Yangtze River Delta, the feed sales that should have increased suddenly decreased, and the price began to decline "The meat and poultry feed will definitely affect the meat and poultry feed that used to have to be halved by nearly 200 tons in the past and now 100 tons," said sun Chen Wenbin, general manager of sun Harbin Yuanda animal husbandry Co., Ltd., said: "it has dropped by about 100 per ton Sun in the warehouse of several feed factories, reporters saw that the amount of raw soybean meal is not much The person in charge said that soybean meal prices have been going down all the way in the near future, and after the outbreak of avian influenza, the market's expectation for future soybean meal prices has been further reduced Seeing feed prices falling, in order to avoid future risks, their current raw material procurement is also very cautious Wang Guangyu, general manager of sun Harbin herder animal husbandry, said: "all year round, at this time, we need to do more than 20 days of inventory and now we have about 7 days of inventory." Sun Chen Wenbin: "the amount of inventory has declined relatively Now it's 3000 tons, and it's better to be 5000 tons." sun's soybean meal price has been constantly lowered, and the bird flu has forced Sun, an oil pressing enterprise, to stop The reduction of feed production directly leads to the decline of soybean meal price, and what kind of impact will the downward soybean meal price have on the market? When interviewing in Heilongjiang Province, the reporter found that with the price of soybean meal falling, the local oil extraction enterprises seem to have a very poor business during this period, and many enterprises shut down directly In several soybean crushing enterprises in Heilongjiang Province, the reporter saw that all the conveyor belts were squeezed under a shed, which was covered with dust The whole factory is empty and almost no one can be seen Several workers are cleaning up the site, and others are repairing the equipment The person in charge told us that these factories are all in a state of shutdown Wu Chunyu, deputy general manager of sun Harbin Institute of technology, said: "when we produce, we should send cars, many of which line up to deliver food and then carry soybean meal and oil, many of which are very sluggish now." Wang Xin, general manager of sun Harbin Xincai grain and Oil Co., Ltd., said: "the staff will put it after the maintenance of the equipment and equipment over there, and the rest of the workers will have a holiday and go to the social enterprises and cannot afford the wages of the workers." Wang Xiaoyu, deputy secretary-general of the Soybean Association of Heilongjiang Province, said: "the number of construction starts before avian influenza has been pretty good for some time, and it can reach about 20% At present, there may be less than one Chengdu." In fact, the operating rate of soybean crushing enterprises in Heilongjiang Province after the Spring Festival is not high, and Wu Chunyu's enterprise is one of the few Originally, I wanted to stick to production, at least I could share some fixed expenses Unexpectedly, the price of soybean meal dropped 150 yuan per ton in an instant due to the outbreak of bird flu The last straw was pressed on the struggling enterprise, and finally I had to stop production Sun Wu Chunyu: "before the news of bird flu came out, we should have made a loss at about 4100 yuan, which is 4100 yuan But at that time, the enterprise could maintain the production of sun Now, if we want to produce a ton, we need to pay 300 to 400 yuan." Sun Wang Xin: "now after the product comes out, the market doesn't agree that we should lose money Sun has to pay a lot of money Recently, there has been a bird flu outbreak in the feed industry Our terminal is not good." Sun is not optimistic about the future market At present, the price of soybean meal is more than 3900 yuan per ton, and the price of soybean oil is down to more than 8000 yuan per ton A jin of soybean oil is not even as expensive as a jin of mineral water At this price, the cost of soybeans should be around 4200 yuan In fact, the current soybean price is 4800 yuan per ton However, with the aggravation of avian influenza, soybean meal prices are still falling, and the start-up of enterprises is far away Wu Chunyu: "it's impossible to predict that it will be impossible to produce in May or June in a short period of time." The delivery of sun Soybean Meal traders has dropped by 30% and the production of sun feed enterprises has been reduced, while the oil extraction factories have no choice but to close down This year's soybean meal market looks less optimistic With the continuous development of the avian influenza epidemic, the demand for feed in the market has become lower and lower The reporter learned in the interview that the circulation volume of soybean meal traders has decreased by 30% in the near future, and the income is expected to decrease by two fifths in the next month Sun Changyan has been working in the soybean meal trade for 15 years When she saw her, she was calling her clients to contact them Speaking of the recent outbreak of avian influenza, she was also helpless She took out two stacks of contracts, one for a week after the bird flu, and the other for a week before After the bird flu, the thickness of the contract was half thinner Zhou Changyan, a soybean meal trader in Harbin, said: "there are so many contracts in five days or so This is the contract five days ago There are so many contracts in five days now There are so many contracts in five days, almost half of them are missing." Sun Changyan told us that she used to be very busy, and she was busy with the transfer and contact business every day Now, not only the contract is less, but also the quantity of each order is much less Now her daily delivery is more than 30% less than usual "About 7000 tons a month ago, due to the killing of part of the bird flu and bad resistance market, it is estimated that about 4000 tons and 4500 tons are about 30% less." An Xudong, general manager of sun Harbin Lianfeng Feed Co., Ltd., "chickens are not included in the market, and a batch of white chickens are not raised for more than 40 days, and then they slowly come down." The number of sun requests decreased, and the volume of each time decreased At present, due to the decline of soybean meal price, the purchase of enterprises is slow, and the profit of soybean meal trade is also increasingly low The number of traders per month is also 40% less than usual Zhou Changyan: "before 15 bar, 10 yuan or about a ton, have you ever calculated that if the market is not good recently (it is expected) you can make 340000 yuan less every month, and the whole income of sun is 2 / 5 of that Wang Xiaoyu, Deputy Secretary General of the Soybean Association of Heilongjiang Province, said, "have you calculated how much less soybean meal circulation is after the bird flu? It's estimated to be about 30.40%." Sun