Provinces can breed sow storage column data disclosure experts: the second half of the pig price is W.
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Last Update: 2020-07-30
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Source: Internet
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Author: User
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First, the first half of the pig production capacity recovery situation since 2018 in Africa swine plague, pig production capacity across the country has declined to varying degrees, after a series of re-breeding expansion policies and measures implemented.36.29 million sows in the country at the end of June 2020, the first time in the year-on-year from negative to positive, an increase of 5.49 million from the end of last year, has returned to the end of 2017 81.2%;, the recovery of pig production capacity in the northeast and southwest provinces is relatively better than that of central, southern and eastern China provinces, on the one hand, because the northeast, southwest and other places are relatively small affected by the non-plague epidemic, on the other hand, thanks to the two-year recovery, expansion and financial preferential policies of support.overall, the current recovery of pig production capacity in all provinces of the country is relatively good, or by the end of next year to the level of non-plague.second-half pig price analysis forecast pig analyst Zhang Lili July 23 released a research report, according to the PROPHET data model forecast, the second half of the pig price sane overall or will be A W-shaped trend.Zhang Lili said that in mid-July, the domestic supply side is still relatively tight, coupled with the southern flood disaster, pig out of the column blocked, the market supply is difficult to improve, but the demand side continued to be weak, difficult to support prices again high.therefore, pig prices remain high.late, with the northern part of the secondary fattening pig source began to come out of the column, the market supply tension slightly eased, and the demand side still lack of good boost, so pig prices have a slight decline in the possibility.August, the northern region capacity release or began to accelerate, secondary fertility is expected to focus on the column at this time, and the weak pattern of demand will be difficult to change, pig prices may continue the downward trend.September, Southern's re-production capacity will begin to be released, and pig prices may continue to fall.however, later in the Year by the Mid-Autumn Festival, National Day advance demand for stock, the rate of price decline will be slowed, local or rebound.pig prices are expected to hit their lowest level of the year in October as the demand boost fades.November-December for the traditional domestic consumption season, pickled sausage, enemas on the demand side of the boost will be more obvious, coupled with prices or has been reduced to a relatively low, then pig prices are expected to usher in a low rebound, but due to the supply end of the production capacity release faster, pig price upward space is extremely limited..
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