Prospects of broiler industry in the second half of the year

Introduction: new page 1 the feed price in the second half of the year remains stable, with a slight decline: it is predicted that the corn price trend will remain stable in the second half of the year It should be a time when the price of grain begins to rise, and it is still stable at present, which shows that people have confidence in the market With the adjustment of the international market, the price of grain will slow down In the second half of the year, the high price areas are still concentrated in South China and southwest China, and the number is not expected to increase If autumn grain is harvested in South China, feed prices may fall steadily, which is beneficial to the chicken industry DTC 2 Protein feed has been stable: the price of soybean meal has been stable due to the adjustment of international market The price of soybean meal is 15% higher than that of the low price area Low price areas are mainly distributed in Northeast and North China, most of which are protein feed producing areas Due to the shortage of protein feed in China, the average price in the first six months was stable, but the regional difference between high and low prices was quite obvious, and the average price in the first six months remained stable But pay attention to the circulation channel of protein, which has an impact on the breeding industry In the third and second half of DTC, the price of live chicken will fall steadily: China's broilers have been in a state of high price The export price is also higher than that of other countries, which is a rare phenomenon in the world At present, it has been in a trough for 39 months, with an average of 9.017 yuan / kg In May, the price of live chicken was 8.75 yuan / kg, with a downward trend But it has good market conditions and strong support In the second half of 2002, due to the influence of corn price, the price trend of broiler slightly decreased The comprehensive forecast: it is estimated that the price of live chicken can keep between 8.31 yuan and 9.01 yuan in the near future 4 The price location of live chicken may keep stable The high price area is mainly distributed in Guizhou, Hunan, Yunnan, Sichuan, Jiangxi, Chongqing, Guangdong, Qinghai, Fujian and Hainan in southwest and South China In the past year, the price area is still distributed in northern cities, northeast and North China's corn belt Because it is located in the raw material production area, it is a major production province and export base in China Although it is 74% lower than the high price area, it is still profitable Looking forward to maintaining the existing price gap in half a year, enterprises can be used as a reference for market selection DTC v the profitability of broilers was stable in the second half of 2002: the profitability has been maintained for 43 months, with a price ratio of 8.738 Although affected by the price rise of corn, it soon returned to profitability At present, the price of jade and soybean meal is stable, and the profit of broiler is also stable The profit of broilers is also related to consumption habits The production of flavor broilers and processing exports remains stable From the perspective of data analysis, the profit situation of broilers is good It is expected that in the second half of 2002, if the grain price is stable, the profit situation will continue to be optimistic DTC 6 The profit area can be basically stable: the profit of broilers A year and a half have changed a lot The average price was stable in the same period last year, and the actual production profit has declined by 21.5% Due to the increase of corn price, the whole profit area of broiler increased The middle profit area is stable, mainly distributed in the south Guangdong, Guangxi Huangji area and the North Shandong, Jilin main product processing areas, with stable live chicken market and product processing industry as the backing, and also has resource advantages If the grain harvest is normal, it is expected that the provinces with high and low prices will remain stable in the second half of 2002 DTC 7 Although the price of broilers is in the trough, the trend is optimistic: in the near future, the price of broilers is stable Under the influence of the profit of live chickens, it is expected that the profit of broilers will still be optimistic in the second half of 2002, and the price of Broilers can slightly rise Short term price forecast: the price of young meat is between 2.01 yuan and 2.18 yuan, which is medium price, mainly distributed in North China, Northeast China and Beijing and Tianjin Low price areas are mainly large production provinces, such as Jiangsu, Hunan, Henan, basically unchanged Low price areas are also fresh chicken sales areas and processing areas, which is beneficial to broiler production DTC 8 There are two trends in broiler production: developing urban processing and flavor live chicken, and urban production will continue to lead, especially the leading enterprises in processing Therefore, rural production needs to pay attention to quality assurance, especially careful The production of flavor food is a feature of our country In general, we do not have a good heat in broiler production Entrepreneurs need to seriously study the decision-making of business direction DTC IX urban production still has advantages: Urban broiler enterprises still have advantages: including marketing, product processing, chicken breeding and other high-tech parts, as well as capital, technology, market, information, organization and other advantages Improve production efficiency, reduce costs, make the whole system, from compound feed, chicken, broiler feeding, processing, packaging to market sales, improve efficiency in an all-round way, so as to adapt to the new situation of WTO DTC Liu Shaobo Shi Youlong Ge Xiang Liu Nuo DTC