Price forecast of imported fish meal in January 2001 (12.29)

OA show ('918 '); in recent years, the price of fish meal in domestic ports has basically maintained the price of last week, but the import of fish meal in feed consumption area has maintained a rising trend, with an average price of about 495 US dollars / ton From the perspective of the total amount of imported fish meal for five years, it has increased year by year, but the price has decreased year by year, showing a downward trend in January It is predicted that in early January 2001, the price of Chinese fish meal will be stable, and it is unlikely to continue to rise The reasons are as follows: 1 The early purchase volume of EU in the international market is too large, coupled with the prohibition of adding fish meal to cattle feed in 15 countries on January 1, 2001, and the demand will be reduced Although the recent decline in the production of Peru's fish meal and the recent price increase offer, the total purchase volume decreased in January 2001, making the price stable 2 By the end of January, about 120000 tons of imported fish meal will be delivered to China At that time, about 50% of the signed price was $410 / ton, and the estimated sales price at the port was about $480 / ton In 2000, 1.1 million tons of fish meal were imported, an increase of 75% over 1999 3 In January, the stock of raw materials of feed enterprises was basically enough for one month, and the consumption of fish meal decreased due to the decrease of the feed for aquatic products and waterfowl used by large fish meal households in the south It is said that the monthly consumption of Guangzhou and Shanghai is less than 5000 tons 4 Due to the low price and high quality of domestic fish meal, the purchasing stock of domestic feed enterprises has increased recently, and the purchasing capacity of domestic fish meal continued to decrease in January In the near future, domestic fish meal is stable at 445 US dollars / ton, mainly concentrated in Zhejiang, Shandong and Hebei regions, and the stock of small and medium-sized feed enterprises mainly purchases domestic fish meal