Prediction of grain output of Heilongjiang Province in 2000 (8.22)

In 2000, the grain yield of Heilongjiang Province was lower than that of 1999, and the yield of soybean, wheat and corn were all reduced, among which, wheat and corn decreased greatly, and rice was expected to increase Corn: the sown area was 27 million mu in 2000, 39.7 million mu in 1999, 12.7 million mu less than that in 1999, a decrease of 46% The reasons for the decrease of corn planting area are as follows: 1 The price is low According to the grain purchase price, the corn purchase price was reduced to 0.80 yuan per kilogram in 1999, 18.4% lower than that in 1996 The market price is only about 0.55 yuan, and the benefit of corn per mu is only about 20-50 yuan 2 The quality is poor In 1999, the inertia of focusing on quantity and light quality still has a great influence on the planting The farmers have insufficient understanding of the promotion of high-quality varieties They still sow high-yield varieties with poor quality and lack competitiveness in the domestic market 3 Because of the high price, poor quality and uncompetitive, the market of corn in Heilongjiang is getting narrower and narrower, the market is getting smaller and smaller, and the corn in the hands of farmers can not be sold Before the Spring Festival from 1999 to this year, farmers were forced to sell corn in large quantities at low prices The farmers are bothered to sell their corn However, the rebound of corn price didn't appear until after sowing Facing the fierce soybean price, farmers naturally chose to reduce the planting of corn Due to the dry climate this year, it is estimated that corn production will be reduced by 30%, and the expected output will be 5.07 million tons, a decrease of 7.21 million tons or 58% compared with the previous year Soybean: in 2000, the sown area of soybean was 43.03 million mu, an increase of 10.7 million mu, or 33%, compared with 32.33 million mu in 1999 The reasons for the increase of soybean area are as follows: 1 High comparative benefit The benefit of soybean planting per mu is about 150 yuan; 2 The market price rebounds sharply to stimulate soybean production At the beginning of this year, the price of soybeans rebounded from 1.60 yuan / kg at the end of last year to over 2.00 yuan / kg after the Spring Festival, which stimulated the enthusiasm of farmers to grow soybeans Soybean planting area increased more The climate drought has an impact on soybean growth After July 16, the rainfall occurred in Heilongjiang Province The drought is relieved, which is favorable for soybean growth However, affected by the early drought, the soybean production will be reduced by 30%, with a total output of 3.5 million tons, 960000 tons less than the previous year's 4.46 million tons, a decrease of 21.5% Rice: in 2000, the rice planting area was 24.1 million mu, basically the same as that in 1999 The rice growth in other areas is good except that the middle area is affected by drought The total rice production will increase by 600000 tons compared with 1999 Wheat: in 2000, the sown area of wheat was 8.85 million mu, a decrease of 5.45 million mu compared with 14.3 million mu in 1999, a decrease of 30% Wheat suffered from severe drought, and some areas were out of production It is expected that the total output will be reduced by 50%, a decrease of 68%, or 1.94 million tons compared with 2.84 million tons in 1999 SKB (author:)