Prediction of corn market in China in 2002

Introduction: according to the analysis of the insiders, among the three regions of northeast main production area, North China Huanghuai (including northwest) production and marketing integration area and south main sales area, the time for the future recovery of corn prices in Northeast China may be the latest, and the driving force for the rise will come from the relative growth of market demand after the early exit of corn from the main sales area in South China Since the acquisition of new corn in Northeast China will start in the middle and late November, the export quantity of corn in Northeast China will be affected by the centralized acquisition from November to march to April of the next year and remain at a low level During this period, the relatively low purchase price of corn in Guannei and the short transportation distance with the main selling area in the South will also restrain the export of corn in Northeast China It is predicted that when corn prices rise in North China and Huang Huai Region from February to March 2002, corn purchase in Northeast China will still be in the peak period At this time, it is difficult to increase the quantity of foreign transportation, so corn prices in the region will rebound as a whole It is predicted that by March April 2002, when the price of corn in East China and South China will rise, the peak of corn purchase in Northeast China will be basically over, but due to the high water content of corn, the drying and drying of tide grain will become the focus of the work of northeast grain department at this time, and the export quantity is still difficult to increase significantly, so the price of corn in South China will rebound as a whole After the overall rebound of corn prices in Guannei and South China, the market prices in Northeast China will finally rebound It is expected that during April May 2002, the export quantity of corn in Northeast China will begin to increase Under the situation that the corn price in Inner Shaanxi and southern China has risen as a whole, the export price and port closing price of corn in Northeast China will rise accordingly Generally speaking, although the price recovery of corn in Northeast China may occur at the latest among the three major production and marketing regions, only when the price of corn in Northeast China rises, will the price of corn in Inner Shaanxi and southern China finally rise, thus completing the whole process of domestic corn price recovery It is expected that from June to July 2001, the import quantity of corn in China will begin to increase for the first time after China's accession to the WTO Since then, the change of domestic corn price trend will begin to be more affected by the international market (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: