Pigs will usher in the concentration of the column pig prices above the previous high is unlikely.

Pig prices above the pre-peak is unlikely since entering the main period, the southern region has experienced 5 rounds of heavy rainfall process, some of the main pig production areas flood disaster, coupled with the national pig priceist is still rising, people can not help but worry that pork prices will continue to rise? Recently, Jiangxi, Hubei, Hunan, Sichuan, Anhui, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guizhou and other places have experienced heavy precipitation, and floods, these areas in 2019 pig out of the column accounted for about 39% of the total national column.therefore, there is a view that this is the main factor affecting the rise in pig prices., Zhu Zengyong, an associate researcher at the Beijing Institute of Livestock and Veterinary Research of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, said that heavy rainfall in the south only affects pig prices in the short term, and that the tight supply of pigs is the main reason for the current rise in pig prices." this round of pig price increase sourcing is driven by the northern production areas, since July is the southern sales area to supplement the increase, Guangdong, Fujian and other places more than 40 yuan per kilogram of pig prices.," Zhu said.is understood that the price of pork in the national market from the third week of February 59.64 yuan per kilogram, after 14 consecutive declines, to the fourth week of May reached 45.98 yuan per kilogram, a cumulative decline of 23%. Since, pork prices in the national market have rebounded for seven consecutive weeks, reaching 54.54 yuan per kilogram in the third week of July, up 8.56 yuan per kilogram, or 18.6 percent. Zhu Zengyong,, said that pig and sow storage is the most important indicator of the supply of commercial pigs.since October last year, the national stock of sows has rebounded for the ninth consecutive month.from the production cycle, pig supply will resume growth in the fastest 10 months.pig storage column and piglet supply for the fourth consecutive month of recovery growth, indicating that the fastest five months of pig supply, that is, July commodity pig supply will bottom out rebound.especially the scale of leading enterprises, the third quarter of the column volume will increase significantly. Although the flood disaster in the south ofwill affect the progress of pig production recovery in some areas, it will have little impact on the overall production capacity recovery trend.in the third quarter of this year, the supply of commercial pigs will resume growth, but the tight situation is still higher than the same period last year. Heavy rainfall in the south of thehas exacerbated the tight supply situation and may affect the effectiveness of the outbreak of swine fever in Africa.on the later trend, Zhu Zengyong said that pork consumption in the second half of the year is generally about 2 million tons higher than the first half of the year, and consumer demand is expected to remain at 80% to 90% in the third quarter of the same period last year.under the premise that the outbreak of swine fever in Africa is effectively controlled, it is expected that pig and pork prices will have some room to rise before the National Day, and some areas of pig prices may rise rapidly in stages. "In the short term, the rise in pig prices will fall back." the current pig price has reached the psychological price of breeding end column, the northern production area of pig out of the column increased, to a certain extent to alleviate the needs of slaughter enterprises procurement. at the same time, with the relief of rainfall in the southern region, pigs will usher in a concentrated column, local pig prices or a correction. from the medium term, pig prices in the National Day before there is still some room to rise, some areas and time period may be a larger increase, but more than the previous high is unlikely. ," Zhu said. .