Pig production is generally stable, and pork prices in the future market are expected to increase little

What about pig production and pork supply recently? What's the next step in production? Recently, the reporter interviewed the relevant person in charge
of the Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs on the above issues.
YBr China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving livestock
Q: What is the current pig production capacity? Please make a pre-judgment
on the supply and price trend of pork during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival.
YBr China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving livestock Answer
: The breeding sow is the core indicator for judging the production capacity of pigs, and it is the "general switch"
of pig production.
At the end of August, the national stock of fertile sows was 43.
24 million, 5.
5%
higher than the normal number of 41 million heads.
Combined with the comprehensive analysis of pork imports and other factors, this production capacity is more reasonable
.
From January to August this year, 1.
07 million tons of pork were imported, a decrease of nearly 2/3 over the same period last year, and it is expected that the annual pork imports will be reduced by about 2 million tons, equivalent to the domestic production capacity
of 1.
5 million sows.
Therefore, the current pig production capacity is normally high, which is ideal
.
YBr China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on Feed, Serving Livestock The
supply of pork during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival mainly depends on the number
of newborn piglets in June-July this year.
According to monitoring, the number of newborn piglets in national scale pig farms in June and July increased by 8.
1% and 7.
5%
respectively year-on-year.
This indicates that the supply base of the pork market during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival is also relatively good, when the price of pork may be pulled up by holiday consumption, but the increase will not be too large
.
YBr China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving livestock
Q: What measures has the state taken to ensure the stable production and supply of pork, and what are the next steps? YBr China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving livestock A
: Since the beginning of this year, we have urged local governments to implement capacity regulation responsibilities in accordance with the requirements of the "Implementation Plan for Pig Capacity Regulation and Control"; Publish the pig industry chain data on a monthly basis, and timely release early warning information to guide production; Carry out supervision to maintain the stability of long-term support policies such as land, environmental protection and finance; Cooperate with relevant departments to carry out frozen pork storage, storage and release, and slow down seasonal fluctuations in
pig prices.
Although the pig farm losses in February and May this year are serious, but the pig price in late March bottomed out soon after the recovery, pig breeding in June to achieve a turnaround, can breed sow stock did not appear as a sharp decline in the past when the whole industry lost money, the basic production capacity has been better protected, for the stability of the pig production and supply of the market laid a solid foundation
.
YBr China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving livestock
In the next step, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will continue to do a good job in the work of stable production and supply of pigs, focusing on three things
.
The first is to focus on production capacity
.
Grasp the "general switch" of the number of fertile sows, continue to do a good job of monitoring and early warning guidance, and guide farm households to reasonably arrange the production rhythm
.
The second is to stabilize the policy
.
Continue to stabilize long-term support policies such as land use, loans, and environmental protection, implement the responsibility of capacity regulation and grading, and stabilize market expectations
.
The third is to prevent epidemics
.
Implement the normalization of African swine fever prevention and control measures, make overall plans for the prevention and control of common diseases in autumn and winter, and the current enthusiasm of pig farmers to supplement the fence is high, and the epidemic must not subvert the good situation
of pig production.
YBr China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving livestock
Q: Recently, pig farmers have reported that the price of soybean meal has risen sharply, how to help farm households save costs and increase efficiency? YBr China Feed Industry Information Network - Based on feed, serving livestock Answer
: Recently, the price of domestic soybean meal has exceeded 5,000 yuan per ton, and the feed cost per fattening pig has increased by 60 yuan
year-on-year.
The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs continued to promote the substitution action of soybean meal reduction, vigorously promoted the low-protein diet technology, and actively tapped the potential of domestic protein feed resources and increased the supply of alternative resources, with initial results
.
In 2021, the proportion of soybean meal in the feed consumed by the national aquaculture industry fell to 15.
3%, down 2.
5 percentage points from 2017, saving 11 million tons of soybean meal, equivalent to 14 million tons of soybeans, equivalent to more than 100 million mu of arable land output
.
The reduction of soybean meal by 2.
5 percentage points means that according to the current soybean meal price, the breeding cost of each fattening pig has been saved by at least 40 yuan
.
At the same time, it has promoted the reduction of environmental emissions in the breeding industry, and the nitrogen discharge of each pig can be reduced by 0.
5 kg, and the nitrogen discharge can be reduced by 350,000 tons according to the annual output of 700 million
heads.

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