Pig prices are likely to rise slightly

Introduction: in July, although the climate is very hot and the high temperature appears continuously, the live pigs in Shanghai market arrive normally, the pork supply is abundant, the market supply is abundant, and the purchase and sale price is stable Statistics show that in July, the purchase price of ordinary live pigs was 2.99 yuan (per 500g, the same below), and the purchase price of lean live pigs was 3.71 yuan, up 6.4% and 7.8% respectively year-on-year Compared with the previous month, the purchase price was roughly the same, up 1% and 0.8% respectively compared with the annual average price of last year The comprehensive wholesale price of fresh pork was 9273 yuan per ton, up 8.8% year-on-year, basically the same as the previous month, and compared with the annual average price of last year Up 1.8% Pig prices in Shanghai have been stable for more than half a year In the first seven months of this year, the basic characteristics of pig price in Shanghai market are as follows: first, the trend of pig purchase price is stable From January to July, the average purchase price of ordinary live pigs was 2.99 yuan, with little fluctuation The highest price was 3.03 yuan in January, and the lowest price was 2.96 yuan in May, with only 1% fluctuation Second, the price difference between varieties was the same as that of the same period of last year From January to July, the purchase price of common pigs and lean pigs was 2.99 yuan and 3.73 yuan respectively, and the price difference between varieties was 0.74 yuan, similar to that of the same period of last year Third, the retail price of pork of the same quality and position in each vegetable market has kept stable for seven months However, due to different sources, channels and quality specifications, the retail price of pork of the same position varies about 15% Under the condition of "cold chain", the retail price of "chilled pork" processed, packaged, transported and sold on shelves is about 20% higher than that of fresh pork However, due to the high technology content and good quality freshness, it is considered as the high-quality meat by the majority of residents, which is favored by consumers From January to June this year, the sales volume of "chilled pork" increased by 62.9% over the same period last year Pig prices are likely to rise slightly in August and September It is understood from some production areas and the industry in Shanghai that the purchase and sale prices of pigs and pork will rise slightly since August The main factors are as follows: (1) in terms of season, August is in the off-season of pig market August is still in the "fire autumn" season for most of the time, and the temperature is high, which has always been the off-season for pig listing Although in recent years, due to the adjustment of price, the off peak season factors are gradually shrinking, but the number of seasonal listing can not be completely avoided At the same time, in order to maintain a high survival rate of live pigs transported to Shanghai from other places, the loading capacity of trucks of the same tonnage is correspondingly reduced, and the cost is relatively high due to the increase of loss It is expected that the purchase price of live pigs will rise steadily, and the price of pork after slaughtering and processing will rise correspondingly (2) From the production point of view, the national pig production is stable, moderate and slight decline According to the typical survey materials collected by China Food Group Corporation and China Meat Association in 10 main production areas recently, the total number of pigs on hand in May was 180.2 million, down 1.29% year on year Among them, 134.68 million pigs were fattened, a year-on-year decrease of 2.27%; three provinces, Henan, Shandong and Jiangsu, which had the largest supply of live pigs and fresh pork in Shanghai, saw a decrease of] 56%, 1.60% and 5.22% respectively compared with the same period of last year, and the source of pigs was not loose (3) From the perspective of demand, pork sales in Shanghai are still steady and slightly increasing Due to many reasons, the quality of pork and pork offal supplied by Shanghai market is not satisfactory Some consumers have such and such concerns, but the total sales volume of pork in the first half of the year is still increasing steadily It is understood that from January to June this year, social retail sales of pork in Shanghai reached 239200 tons, an increase of 4.6% year on year (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: