New phenomena appear in Jilin Province: farmers hold grain for price rise, and state-owned grain depots are in trouble

Introduction: soybean, one of China's main imported agricultural products, was imported again in 2003, creating a new record Farmers kept a large number of corn at home and did not sell it, waiting for the price to rise The grain purchase of the state-owned grain system set a new low in history, which is a new phenomenon in Jilin Province, the largest corn commodity grain production base in China Bgd came to Erlongshan Township, Dongfeng County, Jilin Province for an interview on January 12 Li Shaojie, head of Erlongshan grain depot, said that at this time in previous years, the grain depot purchased at least 3000 tons of corn, but this year it received less than 1000 tons The market price of corn has been rising, and the government protection price of 0.9 yuan per kilogram can not purchase corn Yin Sheng's family and Che Minzhi, farmers of Shuangmiao village in Erlongshan Township, said that their two families harvested 15000 kg and 20000 kg of corn respectively last year Up to now, they haven't sold a jin of corn, all of which are stacked in the corn warehouse in the courtyard Of the 33 farmers in the village, only two or three sold part of it Bgd Dongfeng County is one of several pilot counties implementing direct grain subsidy in China Yin Shengjia and Che Minzhi farmers received direct subsidies of 290 yuan and 490 yuan respectively in 2002 They are very happy that the government has implemented direct subsidies without forced purchase and no one has closed the food market In the past, farmers could not live up to their old age and pay taxes without selling grain Nowadays, this situation has been greatly improved because of the increase of farmers' income, which has created conditions for farmers to choose their own opportunity to sell grain, and has become a prerequisite for farmers not to rush to sell grain Bgd had learned the same thing during interviews in Yushu, Nong'an, Gongzhuling and other places in Jilin Province Because the purchase price of autumn grain is lower than the market price, and the farmers do not sell grain, the state-owned grain storage enterprises are facing a "food shortage" that has not been encountered for many years According to the analysis of Liu Xiaoran, researcher of Jilin grain Research Institute, CHEN Si, director of Agriculture Department of Jilin Agricultural Committee, and Yuan Weisen, deputy general manager of Jilin grain group, as of January 15, the purchase volume of grain in the whole province has only completed 1 / 3 of the receivable quantity, which is 1 / 3 less than the same period of the previous year Most of the commodity grain dominated by corn has not been sold in the farmers' homes According to the statistics of relevant departments in Jilin Province, as of January 4, 2004, the province had put 1322000 tons of new grain into storage, a year-on-year decrease of 4.871 million tons Among them, 845000 tons of protected price grain were put into storage, accounting for 8.4% of the task, a year-on-year decrease of 4.25 million tons; 971000 tons of corn were put into storage, accounting for 8.7% of the task, a year-on-year decrease of 4.673 million tons The government and the food sector are concerned about several problems that may arise from the reduction of the state's grain harvest or the lagging of the state's grain harvest and storage First, the water content of corn is relatively large this year Once the market changes, when the temperature rises in April, the corn in the hands of farmers will not be sold, and bad grain may appear Second, because the market price of grain is higher than the protection price, it is difficult for grain enterprises to borrow and receive grain, which makes it impossible for the state-owned grain enterprises to improve the status quo and capacity in a short period of time Third, the reduction of food reserves may affect food security to some extent According to reports, last year, some state grain warehouses in Jilin sold hundreds of millions of kilograms of state grain However, due to the large increase in food prices, it is impossible to replenish the warehouses immediately this year, otherwise there will be a lot of losses Although from the perspective of open concept of food security, too much food reserve is also a burden, but the national reserve cannot be weakened Fourth, the reduction or lag of grain purchase has brought more difficulties to the production and operation of state-owned grain reserve, circulation and processing enterprises, and the loss may continue to increase Fifthly, many farmers have no bottom in their mind about the expected price, because corn is different from soybeans, the output of corn is large, there is no expected price in the futures market, and the degree of integration with the international market is relatively low.