New characteristics and trends of aquatic products market in 2005

Introduction: grain prices rose 3.1% in the first half of 2005, down 21.6 percentage points from the same period last year Due to the sharp changes in the export market of prawn products, the market price of export-oriented aquatic products has reached its peak in the Spring Festival this year The price index has dropped sharply from 15.9% to 1.6% A decrease of 90% In pig, cattle, sheep, poultry, eggs, fish and other animal derived agricultural products, the price index of fish ranks last There are two main factors that affect the price of aquatic products First, the production price of sea water products dropped sharply From January to June, the price index of sea water fish was 3.12%, 8.78% lower than the same period last year The sea shellfish price index was 1.8%, down 6.7% year on year The price of freshwater fish continued to rise by 9% at a high level of 12.57% in the same period last year, with a year-on-year decrease of less than 3% The price of middle and low-grade fresh water fish glided steadily on a horizontal line Second, the price index of freshwater shrimp and crab is 16.72%, down 11.83% year on year The decline of shrimp and crab prices is more than double-digit, which is one of the main reasons for the sharp decline of aquatic product prices in the first half of this year This year's market trend of aquatic products shows the following new features: 1 The price of shrimp products has dropped significantly Figure 2 shows the price trend of South American white shrimp in Nanjing huiminqiao aquatic product market Nanjing is located at the junction of southern and Northern Jiangsu Jiangsu is not only an important base for fishing and breeding of sea water fish and freshwater fish, but also a major province for production and consumption of aquatic products Therefore, the price of aquatic products in Nanjing huiminqiao market has a strong and extensive representation We have seen that since March this year, the market of South American white shrimp has started to decline In April and may, the price per kilogram has remained at the level of 46 yuan, 24% lower than the 60 yuan per kilogram in February and March This price has been maintained for three months After June, it began to decline again, down to the level of 24 yuan per kilogram in August In just two months, the decline was 48%, almost half Such a torrential situation gives people a shocking feeling It is expected that the price of South American white shrimp will drop, but the price will drop by a large margin and early time, which is not expected by all the people in the industry This price level is the peak level of South American white shrimp market in October last year, almost the bottom price of South American white shrimp This period last year was the period when the South American white shrimp exported by China experienced the anti-dumping investigation of the United States Affected by this, shrimp prices have been at a low level Due to the particularity of shrimp products, low-priced shrimp products, in the domestic market, create a separate market different from the aquatic product market Just as milk products and egg products are products with fundamentally different properties Shrimp products produce an irreplaceable product characteristics In other words, at the level of 20-25 yuan / kg, when consumers buy fish, it does not affect a large number of shrimp buying and eating In terms of the yield of food, the price of shrimp is cheaper than that of fish Different from this, when consumers buy sea water fish, they generally do not buy fresh water fish at the same time Because of the great substitutability between sea and freshwater fish Due to the particularity and market independence of shrimp products, the strong difference of taste between shrimp and fish products, and the eutrophication of shrimp products, the domestic market of shrimp products has expanded rapidly, and the shrimp products produced in China can not meet the needs of the domestic market Otherwise, from January to May this year, shrimp prices will never be at the level of 46-60 yuan per kilogram, hovering for five months, nearly half a year This information shows that in the past half year, the inventory of shrimp products (living shrimp storage + frozen shrimp storage) is far from enough Last year's shrimp price is the fair price given by the market Furthermore, it is the price that has been generally accepted by consumers At last year's prices, producers were profitable, operators were profitable, and consumers felt the same At this time, social average profit and social average price have been formed In this sense, this year's shrimp price is just a description, copy and continuation of last year's shrimp price The decision and choice of market is very clear: the market of South American white shrimp can only be dominated by domestic sales rather than export The export market of South American white shrimp lies not in the choice of exporting countries, but only in the upgrading of products, in improving the safety of products, and in the deep processing of products The market tells us that whether the United States is anti-dumping or whether Japan and the European Union raise the technical barriers to food safety, the export of South American white shrimp in the original sense should stop In fact, the consumption standard of the Chinese people is generally that the invisible is the net When your product is still inseparable from antibiotics, when your product is only a form of shrimp products, then you can only market in China Will shrimp prices continue to decline in the second half of the year? It should be said, No At least, in the peak period of shrimp products, shrimp prices will not decline too much The reason is that the price of shrimp products has been recognized by the market Do you agree with producers and operators? Have you made any money? If you don't agree, then please go away as early as possible Panning for gold in shrimp market is the average profit, but there is no imaginary opportunity profit There is no chance of getting rich Shrimp market has become a market different from the so-called "famous, special and excellent new" market We are very lucky that shrimp market has become a market far away from the so-called "famous, special and new", far away from the so-called high-tech market like peacock red or gem green It's a popular, very common, food consumer market on which human beings depend If the producer or operator really wants to make money, then please increase the inventory and make a balanced listing Please reduce the cost of living Please choose the off-season from January to May to put your products on the market in a planned way Then you can make more money The answer is given by the market Please take a closer look at the price trend of South American white shrimp Please believe in science Or, believe in the facts From the reality, all products covering the market are not "famous, special and excellent new" products, nor "high, refined and sharp" products It's a solid product close to mass consumption, a hard product with high quality For example, Coca Cola The scientific concept of development tells us that the formation of advantageous industrial belt is not determined by a single product Any product has advantages Even if it is a kind of ordinary water The so-called "famous, special, excellent and new" products of novelty hunting It should rest The advantages of modern products are: safety products, pollution-free products, environmental protection products, sustainable development products with quality No matter what kind of product, you only have to meet the above conditions, which is a good product, which will be recognized by the market sooner or later Those products that rely on opportunism and innovation will be eliminated by the market sooner or later In fact, it is a good thing that the gate of domestic market or international market is high We should take all available measures to keep inferior products out of the market Since shrimp market is a separate market from aquatic product market, shrimp market has formed a very broad consumer market In western countries, Americans consume 4 pounds of shrimp a year (2003) British people don't eat shrimp very much The per capita annual consumption of shrimps is about 2.7 pounds (2004), about 1.22 kg According to this level, the annual consumption of shrimps in China is 1.586 million tons This quantity is more than twice of the current shrimp production in China Therefore, please rest assured that if the price of existing shrimp products remains unchanged, the shrimp market is still a market where demand is slightly greater than supply, or that supply and demand are basically balanced So, please continue to rest assured shrimp farmers Of course, consumers want to consume cheap prawns and better prawns According to the market performance of shrimp products, the first place is the shrimp, followed by the grass shrimp, the third is the prawn of Roche, and the prawns with a lot of shrimp flavor, such as the prawns of hemp shrimp, green shrimp, lobster and red shrimp It's a pity that the last one is South American white shrimp [NextPage] 2 In 2005, the market trend of traditional freshwater fish was the most stable From the picture, we can see that the price of grass carp did not stay for a month at 7.6 yuan / kg in January, and it has been stable at 9 yuan / kg since February The price of bighead carp is almost the same as grass carp, although the fluctuation is more than grass carp After a year of market consolidation last year, the long-term downturn of the traditional freshwater fish market has been fundamentally changed The traditional freshwater fish market is starting to recover This recovery is not in its original sense It is a further change The modern thought represented by two characters of "taste" endows the traditional freshwater fish with a new trend One is the improvement of Tianjin's export-oriented freshwater fish species; the other is the "Chun brand" organic fish of Hangzhou Qiandao Lake Development Co., Ltd., the production, cultivation and marketing of brand-oriented pollution-free freshwater fish The traditional freshwater bighead carp and silver carp produced by Qiandao Lake Development Co., Ltd have been certified by the relevant departments of the state The products are sold well in Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou and other cities They are not star rated hotels and do not marry They have won good reputation and the products are in short supply The selling price of "Chun" brand organic fish is more than 30 yuan per kilogram, 3.3 times higher than that of ordinary fresh water fish Through the transformation of breeding and marketing methods, the original low-grade fish has become a high-grade fish This shows us a new direction of the development of traditional freshwater fish Tianjin has vigorously developed the traditional freshwater fish breeding industry and built the largest crucian carp export base in China The scale of the export-oriented Pengze crucian carp culture is more than 40000 mu, with an annual export volume of 30000 tons By the end of last year, a group of leading aquatic enterprises actively opened up export channels of Pengze crucian carp to South Korea, Japan and other countries By the end of last year, they had driven thousands of large aquatic households in the city to become rich by breeding Pengze crucian carp An important idea reflected here is that the formation of advantageous industrial areas is not unique to "high, refined and sharp" products Traditional products and national products have no advantages Some of the so-called "high, fine and sharp" products are actually just packaging For example, in reality, the hot spot Ascaris, actually in the United States, its name is: catfish It's just a catfish Catfish are found all over the rivers in Myanmar It's not new It's just a few whiskers missing Get it to China, change a name, become "famous, special, excellent, new" product Not in the quality of products on the real time, but just play with the concept, but also the state to pay for research funds to study This conceptual pseudoscience should be resisted The formation of a truly advantageous industrial belt does not depend on new varieties Practice has proved that new varieties are often unreliable Advantages can only be formed by the excellent quality of products Therefore, the market favors grass carp that grazes grass, and Bighead Carp and silver carp that swim and move in a large range in imitation of ecological culture It is not the fish that is cultured in precision, floating in cage, high-density breeding, and disease resistant by a large number of drugs 3 The middle-class fish in freshwater fish become the backbone of the market