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After a slight decline over the weekend, pig prices have once again ushered in a "flying red" across the board in the past two days, and the National Development and Reform Commission has also sounded the "first-level warning"
of excessive pig prices.
Cailian reporters learned from many interviews that pig prices have a certain possibility of falling after the "first-level early warning" and investment and storage, but the specific depends on the results
of the market game.
Recently, pig prices have risen again, and Yongyi consulting data shows that pig prices in many places across the country have risen today, with an average price of 28.
67 yuan / kg, of which Zhejiang has even broken through the "30 yuan mark"
.
The National Development and Reform Commission said today that according to monitoring, in the week of October 10-14, the average weekly retail price of lean meat in 36 large and medium-sized cities increased by more than 40% compared with the same period last year, entering the excessive increase level one warning range determined by the "Improve the Government's Pork Reserve Adjustment Mechanism to Ensure Supply and Stabilize Prices in the Pork Market"
.
According to data from the National Development and Reform Commission, in late September, pork prices continued to soar, and became an important factor
driving the CPI (consumer price index) in September.
In the past week, pork prices have risen further, and pork prices in many places have hit a new high
in the year.
In this regard, Zhang Long, head of pig futures delivery of Jiangsu Linfanke Industry, told the Cailian reporter: "The first-level early warning of pig prices is actually a relatively serious phenomenon, and at present, slaughterers and consumers have said that the price is too high, and the high pig price has the possibility of
further driving the rise of CPI.
" ”
A supermarket manager in southwest China told the Cailian reporter: "The recent continuous rise in pig prices has inhibited consumption in the market to a certain extent, and many consumers have complained about why pig prices have risen so high, and the decline in consumer enthusiasm is particularly strong
.
" ”
It is worth mentioning that while the National Development and Reform Commission announced that pig prices had entered the "first-level early warning" range, it also said that it would carry out the sixth round of pork reserve release
within the year.
Some industry analysts believe that this reserve release may have a good restraining effect on the rise in pig prices, but it also requires large-scale pig enterprises of the group to increase the volume to drive the sentiment
of retail investors.
If large enterprises take the lead in increasing the intensity of slaughtering, retail investors will follow suit at the same time, and with the assistance of the reserve policy, the pig price may be stabilized and maintained at a reasonable level
.
Looking ahead, there are market views that there may be a more obvious decline
at the end of October and the beginning of November.
If the current round of prices continues to rise, rising to 30-32 yuan / kg, it will stimulate a wave of farmers to go out of the market, thereby driving the price downward, if it causes panic on the emotional side, the downward range may be about 3-4 yuan / kg, and then the increase in the slaughter, and this time point if stuck in the south before pickling, consumption has not been boosted, then the downward trend will usher in the next wave of rise
.
In Zhang Long's view, this time after the early warning and storage of pig prices is more likely to decline, today's actual price has been downward, today's slaughter volume has been larger than a few days ago, but it may be temporary, but also depends on the game of slaughter and breeding
.
If the slaughter can be pressed down for two consecutive days, the price may fall, and there is no shortage of pigs in the market now, and the average weight of the slaughter is larger
than last month.
Zheng Lili of Yongyi Consulting holds the same view on this, "There may be a wave of decline in pig prices after the first-level early warning and reserve release of the National Development and Reform Commission, but the follow-up is not necessarily, and there is also the possibility of strengthening, depending on the results
of the game on the market side.
" ”
Zhang Long further pointed out: "The NDRC's regulation is also to protect farmers, if the pig price is too high, there is a risk
of a sharp fall.
”
It is worth mentioning that recently Pig "Mao" Muyuan Co.
, Ltd.
(002714.
SZ) said on the interactive platform that the recent increase in the price of pigs, the company according to market demand, take the initiative to increase the amount of slaughter, actively cooperate with the work of ensuring supply and stabilizing prices, and promote the smooth operation
of the pig market and price.
While increasing the volume of pig "grass", it is expected to drive the stable operation of
pig prices.
;
; After a slight decline over the weekend, pig prices have once again ushered in a "flying red" across the board in the past two days, and the National Development and Reform Commission has also sounded the "first-level warning"
of excessive pig prices.
Cailian reporters learned from many interviews that pig prices have a certain possibility of falling after the "first-level early warning" and investment and storage, but the specific depends on the results
of the market game.
Recently, pig prices have risen again, and Yongyi consulting data shows that pig prices in many places across the country have risen today, with an average price of 28.
67 yuan / kg, of which Zhejiang has even broken through the "30 yuan mark"
.
67 yuan / kg, of which Zhejiang has even broken through the "30 yuan mark"
.
The National Development and Reform Commission said today that according to monitoring, in the week of October 10-14, the average weekly retail price of lean meat in 36 large and medium-sized cities increased by more than 40% compared with the same period last year, entering the excessive increase level one warning range determined by the "Improve the Government's Pork Reserve Adjustment Mechanism to Ensure Supply and Stabilize Prices in the Pork Market"
.
According to data from the National Development and Reform Commission, in late September, pork prices continued to soar, and became an important factor
driving the CPI (consumer price index) in September.
In the past week, pork prices have risen further, and pork prices in many places have hit a new high
in the year.
In this regard, Zhang Long, head of pig futures delivery of Jiangsu Linfanke Industry, told the Cailian reporter: "The first-level early warning of pig prices is actually a relatively serious phenomenon, and at present, slaughterers and consumers have said that the price is too high, and the high pig price has the possibility of
further driving the rise of CPI.
" ”
A supermarket manager in southwest China told the Cailian reporter: "The recent continuous rise in pig prices has inhibited consumption in the market to a certain extent, and many consumers have complained about why pig prices have risen so high, and the decline in consumer enthusiasm is particularly strong
.
" ”
It is worth mentioning that while the National Development and Reform Commission announced that pig prices had entered the "first-level early warning" range, it also said that it would carry out the sixth round of pork reserve release
within the year.
Some industry analysts believe that this reserve release may have a good restraining effect on the rise in pig prices, but it also requires large-scale pig enterprises of the group to increase the volume to drive the sentiment
of retail investors.
If large enterprises take the lead in increasing the intensity of slaughtering, retail investors will follow suit at the same time, and with the assistance of the reserve policy, the pig price may be stabilized and maintained at a reasonable level
.
Looking ahead, there are market views that there may be a more obvious decline
at the end of October and the beginning of November.
If the current round of prices continues to rise, rising to 30-32 yuan / kg, it will stimulate a wave of farmers to go out of the market, thereby driving the price downward, if it causes panic on the emotional side, the downward range may be about 3-4 yuan / kg, and then the increase in the slaughter, and this time point if stuck in the south before pickling, consumption has not been boosted, then the downward trend will usher in the next wave of rise
.
.
In Zhang Long's view, this time after the early warning and storage of pig prices is more likely to decline, today's actual price has been downward, today's slaughter volume has been larger than a few days ago, but it may be temporary, but also depends on the game of slaughter and breeding
.
If the slaughter can be pressed down for two consecutive days, the price may fall, and there is no shortage of pigs in the market now, and the average weight of the slaughter is larger
than last month.
Zheng Lili of Yongyi Consulting holds the same view on this, "There may be a wave of decline in pig prices after the first-level early warning and reserve release of the National Development and Reform Commission, but the follow-up is not necessarily, and there is also the possibility of strengthening, depending on the results
of the game on the market side.
" ”
on the market side.
”
Zhang Long further pointed out: "The NDRC's regulation is also to protect farmers, if the pig price is too high, there is a risk
of a sharp fall.
”
It is worth mentioning that recently Pig "Mao" Muyuan Co.
, Ltd.
(002714.
SZ) said on the interactive platform that the recent increase in the price of pigs, the company according to market demand, take the initiative to increase the amount of slaughter, actively cooperate with the work of ensuring supply and stabilizing prices, and promote the smooth operation
of the pig market and price.
While increasing the volume of pig "grass", it is expected to drive the stable operation of
pig prices.
