National pig production capacity to restore, why pig prices have skyrocketed?

Since this year, the major breeding enterprises are frequently out of the news of expansion, even many other industries have begun to transition to the pig industry, it seems that the national pig industry production capacity is constantly restoringIn fact, since june, pig prices and pork prices show a rising state, this phenomenon in accordance with past experience seems abnormal, the past is to the hot summer, pork consumption should slow down, pig prices and pork prices should fallBut this year is different from the past, this year is the hot summer pig prices and pork prices are risingIt seems that there is a strange circle, but it is notI personally think there are several reasons:first, since the outbreak of the African swine fever virus in 2018, China's pig stock and sow stock have been broken and cliff-like landslideIn the first half of 2019 alone, China's pig stock fell by 25.8%, and the number of sows that could be breeding fell by 26.7%As a result of the outbreak of swine fever in Africa, many large farming enterprises suffered heavy losses, many small pig farms were almost destroyedAfrican swine fever has become an indelible pain in their hearts, which is a heavy blow to china's pig industryUntil now, the aftershocks of the outbreak of swine fever in Africa continue, according to incomplete statistics this year alone, there have been 17 cases, once the occurrence of the whole pig farm to kill, closed the fieldSo the price of pigs and pork prices are still due to the shortage of pigssecond, due to the new coronavirus outbreak showed a global spreadThe United States, Canada, Brazil and other countries due to the impact of the new coronavirus outbreak, nearly a third of pig slaughter enterprises and pig slaughter facilities businesses closedAbout 170,000 pigs are nowhere to go in the United States every day, and thousands of pigs are slaughtered or euthanized..Some experts believe that the supply of meat products in the U.Sdomestic market could be reduced by 30 percent and that the price of meat products could increase by 25 percent from 2019As a result of the direct lack of meat on the market, and the inability to process pork, on the farm is also a pile of pig carcasses This is America's "meat shortage" In addition, the media reported on June 17th that Germany's largest meat joint plant outbreak, there are now more than 400 infected Therefore, affected by the new coronavirus outbreak, domestic pork imports in June-July or a sharp decline, the decline or expand to 50%, or even more So relying on imported pork to ease China's pork shortage is also a slim hope This is also the reason why the price of pigs and pork prices have risen third, the current African swine fever is still continuing, many pig farms have not yet come out of the shadow of the African swine fever epidemic, although everyone is shouting for the resumption of production, but more is on the sidelines Mainly the African swine fever virus vaccine can not be applied to production, and the African swine fever virus also has no special drugs can be treated, blind recovery risk is too great That way, pig stocks won't be restored quickly, and the desire to return to the price before the outbreak in Africa is getting further and further away fourth, now many other enterprises in China began to resume work, many catering industry has also begun to operate, which is a great boost to pork consumption Especially in the hot summer, many barbecue catering industry, because of the high price of lamb began to use pork instead And the Dragon Boat Festival is coming, are driving the consumption of pork factors In this time of shortage of pork, huge consumption is bound to drive up prices, so the rise in pork prices is inevitable fifth, many large enterprises see the price of pigs at a high time, grasp ingest the column, which also reduces the number of pig out of the column And many other industries to switch to pig farming, such as real estate to Vanke, Guiyuan, etc , as well as the Internet industry to switch to pig-breeding Ali, JD.com and so on They are all stepping up the supplement, which seems to increase the number of pig-breeding enterprises, in fact, in the storage of pigs rather than in the release of pigs So the reduction of pigs, pig prices naturally rise, pork prices will naturally rise sixth, the new coronary pneumonia outbreak is still in china is still in an unstable stage, some areas have sporadic occurrence, which directly affects the transfer of pigs, so in some areas the price of pig pork is high is also inevitable So, this year's pig prices and pork prices are unusual for a reason, and many experts also predict that as soon as next year China's pig stock will be in line with the African swine plague before the occurrence That means prices will not stabilize until next year at the earliest