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What is the recent situation of pig production and pork supply? What has changed in price action? What's the next step in production? The person in charge of the Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs answered reporters' questions
on the above issues of public concern on the 27th.
Pork prices have generally been stable in the past two months
Q: How have pork prices changed recently?
A: This year's pig prices generally showed a "U" shape trend of falling before and then rising: the pig price fell at the beginning of the year, ran at a low level from February to March, began to rise in the third week of April, saw a wave of rapid rise from late June to early July, and entered a stable and slightly rising platform period
since mid-July.
In the fourth week of September, the national pork price was 36.
24 yuan per kilogram, up 5.
8% from the third week of July, which is basically the same as the
price trend in the third and fourth quarters of a normal year.
On September 27, the price of live pig trading online has begun to fall
.
Pork prices have been generally stable in the past two months, but the year-on-year increase is relatively large, mainly because the same period last year was the trough
of pig prices.
National pig breeding has experienced two losses from June to October last year and from February to May this year, and some farms have adjusted production, forming a relatively balanced situation
.
According to estimates, the average profit of a pig in the first 8 months was 77 yuan, and if the current price level is maintained, it is expected that the average profit of the whole year can return to the normal profit range
of about 200 yuan.
In the later stage, there are no conditions for a substantial price increase
Q: With the National Day holiday approaching, will pork prices rise sharply?
A: According to the law of pig growth, the general pig is raised for 6 months and is listed
.
According to monitoring, in August, the number of medium and large pigs in the national scale pig farm increased by 6.
2% year-on-year, and the recent secondary fattening of large fat pigs entered the market, and the live weight of the pen was also increasing, coupled with the successive release of reserve meat in various places, the supply of pork during the National Day will continue to increase
.
In the later period, pork prices do not have the conditions for
a sharp increase.
The supply of pork during New Year's Day and Spring Festival mainly depends on the number
of newborn piglets in June and July this year.
According to monitoring, the number of newborn piglets in national scale pig farms in June and July this year increased by 8.
1% and 7.
5%
respectively year-on-year.
This indicates that the supply base of the pork market during the New Year's Day and Spring Festival is relatively good, and the price of pork may rise by holiday consumption, but the increase will not be too large
.
In addition, market supply has been increasing recently, and the slaughter volume of pigs in pig slaughtering enterprises above designated size nationwide increased by 12.
5%
in the second week of September compared with the second week of August.
It also reminds pig farmers engaged in secondary fattening to correctly view the current market situation, arrange pigs out of the pen in time, and avoid market risks
.
Continue to do a good job in stable production and supply of pork
Q: How to continue to do a good job in stable production and supply of pork?
A: Since the beginning of this year, we have urged local governments to implement capacity regulation responsibilities in accordance with the requirements of the implementation plan for pig capacity regulation and control; Publish the pig industry chain data on a monthly basis, and timely release early warning information to guide production; Carry out supervision to maintain the stability of long-term support policies such as land, environmental protection and finance; Cooperate with relevant departments to carry out frozen pork storage, storage and release, and slow down seasonal fluctuations in
pig prices.
This year's pig prices quickly recovered after bottoming out in late March, pig breeding in June to achieve a turnaround, can breed sows inventory did not appear a sharp decline, the basic production capacity has been better protected, for the stability of pig production and supply laid a solid foundation
.
In addition, in response to the rising price of soybean meal reflected by pig farmers, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs continued to promote the substitution action of soybean meal reduction, vigorously promoted low-protein diet technology, and actively tapped the potential of domestic protein feed resources and increased the supply of alternative resources, achieving initial results
.
In the next step, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will continue to do a good job in ensuring the stable production and supply of pigs
.
Hold the "general switch" of the number of fertile sows, continue to do a good job of monitoring and early warning guidance, and guide the farm households to reasonably arrange production; Continue to stabilize long-term support policies such as land use, loans, and environmental protection; Implement the normalized prevention and control measures for African swine fever, and make overall plans for the prevention and treatment of common diseases in autumn and
winter.
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