Millennium health resources are exhausted, imports are declining, and prices are brewing!

Millennium Jian is a small variety of Chinese herbal medicines.
After the market bottomed out in 2018, the price has been rising all the way
.
How does the price outlook for this variety work? In this issue, the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry of Tiandi Yuntu makes an analysis of the market of this variety based on the production and sales data
.
1.
Small varieties, limited market attention Yulin market: Millennium Health is a small variety, and the market attention is not high, merchants buy according to demand, the overall supply of goods is general, the market remains stable, and the market price of goods is 28-30 yuan (kg price, The same below), the price changes little in the short term
.
Bozhou market: Millennium Health's market inventory is not large, the supply of goods can move around, and the market remains strong
.
In the market, the price of the Millennium Health System is between 27-29 yuan, and the price of the whole film is around 32 yuan.
The market demand is limited, and the price is mainly stable in the short term
.
Anguo Market: Millennium Health, the market is mostly operated by Guangxi merchants, the volume of imported goods is average, the market purchases according to demand, and it is not moving fast
.
The market has not changed much from the previous period.
The market price is 28 yuan for the unified product, and the price for the whole film is 32 yuan.
The market is expected to fluctuate little in the short term
.
According to the Yunnan Port Millennium Health dealer, in recent years, the domestic Millennium Health resources have been gradually exhausted, and many places have basically no output, and the supply of goods mainly depends on ASEAN's Vietnam, Laos, and Myanmar
.
In recent years, due to problems such as port restrictions due to the epidemic, the supply of goods cannot be imported in large quantities, and the market in the production area has basically shown a state of price and no market
.
2.
Prices show a slow upward trend Figure: 2017-2022 market price chart From the price trend of Millennium Health, it is mainly due to the reduction of resources or the reduction of incoming goods from ports, the price fluctuates, and the overall market is generally positive
.
The price of Millennium Health will remain stable for a period of time after each fluctuation
.
After the second half of 2011, the overall price fluctuated around the price of 12 yuan
.
In 2018, Millennium Health hit the bottom and rose against the market.
The main reason is that there are not many goods from Millennium Health ports, and there is less domestic attention to this variety, and these price factors are not related to the current drug market, which is also the opposite trend of this variety.
reason for the rise
.
There was another pullback as prices rose to high levels, stimulating domestic and foreign production
.
3.
In 2021, there will not be many goods coming from the port.
The domestic millennium health resources are mainly distributed in Guangdong, Guangxi, Guizhou, Yunnan and other southern and southwestern regions, and the imported goods are mainly from Southeast Asia, which are pure wild cold-backed varieties
.
At present, the millennium health in the domestic market is imported from abroad, only Yunnan and Guangxi still have output in China, and no shipments have been seen in other provinces
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry in Tiandi Yuntu, the output of Millennium Health in 2020 will be 994 tons
.
In 2021, due to the repeated epidemics, the port arrivals will be scattered, and the output will be reduced by more than 40% compared with 2020
.

.
4.
Little demand Millennium Health mainly treats rheumatic arthralgia, soft muscle and bone fistula, bruises, stomach pain and other diseases.
It is one of the three types of small varieties in the market.
At present, the original medicine is rarely used directly, but processed into decoction pieces
.
Since Millennium Health's main source of supply is almost entirely imported, domestic mining is less and domestic labor costs are getting higher and higher, so the import volume plays a leading role in the price of Millennium Health
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry in Tiandi Yuntu, in 2020, the consumption of Millennium Health will be about 585 tons, mainly used in decoction pieces and sparkling wine
.
V.
Analysis of Main Demand Products and Enterprises In terms of demand for proprietary Chinese medicines, 7,702 proprietary Chinese medicines monitored by the platform were screened.
Currently, 15 proprietary Chinese medicines contain Millennium Health.
Xinshu tablets, Guilong Jinguning tablets,
etc.
The Chinese patent medicine companies with the highest demand for Millennium Health are Jilin Jinghui Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, Jilin Jiatai Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, Jiangsu Kangyuan Pharmaceutical Co.
, Ltd.
, etc.

.
6.
Market outlook prediction 1.
High prices stimulate production In recent years, the market demand for Millennium Health has not increased significantly.
Although domestic resources have shrunk, foreign production can still meet the demand
.
Under normal circumstances, it is expected that in the next one or two years, Millennium Health will mainly digest inventory
.
2.
It is necessary to pay attention to the arrival of goods from the port.
This variety basically depends on foreign production.
Therefore, it is necessary to pay close attention to the arrival of goods from the port.
If the arrival of goods from the port is tight, the price will rise; if the arrival of goods from the port increases, the market will fall
.
To sum up, this product is a supply of wild resources, and the general growth cycle is 3 years.
But at present, the recovery speed of wild resources cannot keep up with the speed of resource mining.
With the reduction of resources, the supply will inevitably be tight, and the market is still optimistic in the long run
.