Measures to ensure growth are expected to continue to be introduced

 [China Epoxy Network (China Epoxy Industry Online)September 6, 2009: Zhang Liqun, Deputy Secretary-General of the Academic Committee of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said that there will be no "secondary" in my country’s economy in the future.
Exploring the bottom, targeted measures to "maintain growth" are expected to continue to be introduced.
At the same time, the main task of our country is to stimulate domestic demand to maintain growth, and inflation has not yet constituted obvious pressure.
Zhang Liqun said that my country has basically maintained an economic recovery trend, but the specific strength of the recovery is difficult to judge.
At present, internal demand and external demand are in a state of ebb and flow, and the degree of negative growth in external demand is relatively large.
Last year, my country's exports increased by 17.
2% year-on-year, and this year to July it was a negative growth of 22%, which was a difference of 30 percentage points.
Although the current domestic investment and consumption growth is accelerating, it is difficult to determine whether it can fully compensate for the lack of external demand.
Looking at it now, a large part of the policy-driven force has been released, and the force from the market to completely replace government investment, I am afraid that the strength is still not far away.
Credit growth was excessive in the first half of the year, and the monetary policy authorities have taken some slight measures to stabilize credit growth.
Moreover, the various businesses of commercial banks expanded very rapidly in the first half of the year, and there are fewer good investment projects available in the market than in the first half of the year.
In this case, credit growth began to slow down significantly, and its impact has been reflected in the stock market.
Everyone has expressed certain concerns about the future monetary policy and credit growth, and has also begun to express concern about the trend of economic recovery, and people's confidence has begun to fluctuate to a certain extent.
The combination of all these phenomena makes people suspect that the speed of economic recovery seems to be weakening.
Therefore, confidence is still very important.
As Premier Wen said, it is indeed a critical period to maintain growth.
If you do not advance, you will retreat.
Based on this analysis, I think that in terms of macroeconomic policies, there will be some targeted measures in terms of maintaining growth.
In general, the momentum of economic recovery will continue, and it is now in a critical stalemate stage.
Various forces are intertwined, and favorable and unfavorable conditions coexist.
However, if the policy continues to be maintained, the endogenous growth momentum of the Chinese economy will be more clearly released, and the Chinese economy will not "second bottom" in the future.

(Our reporter Wu Xi)

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