Market analysis of fish meal in the near future

Introduction: last week, Peru caught 400000 MT of fish, most of which were fish However, most of the fish caught were small fish, so the quality of the fishmeal produced was average, and the protein was between 60-64 As most of the fish caught are small fish, there was a rumor on the market that they would be banned after the experimental fishing on the 7th, but recently after the meeting between the Minister of fish industry and the Marine Association, and many adult fish gradually emerged, it was decided to extend the experimental fishing for 14 days after April 7th, but it is required that the fishing boat should be operated 20 nautical miles offshore If it is found to be operated within 20 nautical miles, the fishing boat will be detained for 2 weeks 。 The trend of fish meal will depend on the fish catch in these 14 days Favorable factors: 1) due to the recent concentration of fish catches in the south, the production of fish meal focuses on steam fish meal, and there are not many fish meal factories in the south, which are mainly concentrated in the hands of several fish meal factories However, due to the poor fish catches in the main FAQ fish meal production areas in the north, the production is much less than expected, which results in the arrival of many middlemen's ships and the shortage of spot goods, so we have to force the manufacturers with goods on their hands to cut In recent two days, the price has increased by USD30 / Mt 2) domestic fish meal is very few, and the price is high, which makes the price of domestic fish meal very strong, and it is expected that there will be no pressure in the short term 3) there is not much domestic stock, and the stock of each feed factory is very small In a short term (within one or two months), there will not be a large amount of supply to supplement the market It is estimated that in this one or two months, the domestic fish meal will still be tense and the price may be increased 4) the amount of fish meal will increase with the coming of aquatic season 5) the stock of fish meal is mainly in the hands of less than 10 distributors, and the price of fish meal is difficult to decline Adverse factors: water temperature decreased with the arrival of winter in the southern hemisphere, and fish catch increased in the main FAQ production areas in the north and central China.