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JAMA Sub-Journal: Changes in the pattern of cancer occurrence and death in the United States in the next 20 years

 Last Update: 2021-04-17
 Source: Internet
 Author: User

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It is estimated that there will be 1.

Malignant tumors are the main cause of death for people aged 45 to 64, and they are also the most important part of health care expenditures.

Onca.

JAMA

The estimation analysis of this cross-sectional study uses population growth projections and current population-based cancer incidence and mortality rates to calculate changes in incidence and mortality through 2040.

Estimated cancer incidence based on population changes and average annual percentage change (AAPC) of the ten most common cancers.

In 2040, the most common cancer in the United States will be breast cancer , with 364,000 cases, followed by melanoma, which is predicted to be diagnosed with 219,000 cases.

Estimates of cancer deaths based on demographic changes and average annual mortality percentage changes.

Lung cancer will continue to be the leading cause of cancer-related deaths in 2040, with an estimated 63,000 deaths, followed by pancreatic cancer (46,000 cases) and liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancer (41,000 cases), respectively, surpassing colorectal cancer (34,000 cases) ) Became the second and third most common cause of cancer-related deaths.

By 2040, cancer incidence and mortality will change significantly.

references:

Rahib L, Wehner MR, Matrisian LM, Nead KT.

com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2778204" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Estimated Projection of US Cancer Incidence and Death to 2040.

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