It's six or seven bucks! Pork off-season has bucked the trend of soaring business buyers.
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Last Update: 2020-07-27
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Source: Internet
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Author: User
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"Second Brother" is heaven again? In the past two months, pork prices across the country have risen, with the average wholesale price of pork in July at 47.75 yuan/kg, up 101.92 percent year-on-yearoriginally in the pork consumption off-season, however, during the outbreak backlog of large pigs have been basically digested, the supply end of the pig supplement column has not yet fully recovered, resulting in a rapid rebound in pork prices in the near futureindustry insiders say pork prices may peak in July, and the next could open a downward spiralin addition,, the large commercial banks recently carried out pig futures simulation trading, pig futures listing and trading or will bring a calming effect to the "pig cycle", several pig farming industry leaders have already taken action"basically all in the post money" 22 at 6:30 p.m., securities times reporter came to Shenzhen Shangsha farmers market to find out exactlythe market has two rows of pork shops, the prices of each family are similar, the price of meat is 28 yuan per kilogramwhen the time to come home from work, the butcher's customers are not many, five minutes about two people to ask for price" is the recent rise, two weeks on the rise of six or seven yuan, the cheapest months of the months when only a dozen dollars," a butcher here for seven years told reporters, "this time of year business is not good, because it is the off-season, but in previous years at least can afford to pay rent."prices fell for a while at the beginning of the year, but soon went up, and now most butchers are putting money in" pork prices have risen, and retailers and consumers at the end of the consumer chain are having a hard time", "the original summer temperature high meat is not good to put, this point has not sold out, we dare to raise the price?" I didn't have time to talk to you when you came here beforenow the shop has been set up, can only reluctantly support, and so when the price will come down", the boss saidthe boss next door pointed to the empty bunk opposite the finger, "Since last year, the two rows of butchers have gone four, the previous year since the swine fever, pork prices have been abnormal."" online platform pork is not cheap, Securities Times reporter inquiries found that a fresh platform rib price per catty 40 yuan, frozen ridge meat per catty also 30 yuanactually, the rise in pork prices began in mid-May According to the latest data from the Shenzhen Survey Team of the National Bureau of Statistics, in June 2020, Shenzhen CPI rose by 2.3% YoY, while livestock prices rose by 58.2%, with pork prices rising by 71.9% looking at the whole country, pork prices generally in mid-May to stop the trend of falling back According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of the Ministry of , the average wholesale price of pork in China as of July was 47.75 yuan/kg, up 101.92 percent year-on-year (the Rural Ministry of Agriculture announced the country's July pork wholesale prices, of which the most expensive Gansu reached 54.81 yuan per kilogram) from the pig supply side can also observe the upward trajectory According to the Ministry of Agriculture, in June this year, the average ex-factory price of lean white-striped pigs in 16 provinces was 43.65 yuan per kilogram, up 16.9 percent month-on-month and 90.7 percent year-on-year the five provinces with the highest ex-factory prices were Sichuan, Jiangsu, Shandong, Guangdong and Hunan, with the average monthly price of pork at 45.11 yuan, 44.80 yuan, 44.46 yuan, 44.25 yuan and 44.22 yuan, respectively, up 15 months from the previous month 2%, 11.9%, 19.1%, 8.1%, 11.4%, up 117.7%, 100.4%, 90.8%, 100.0%, 103.8% yoy, respectively, while provinces with lower ex-factory prices also showed upward momentum where did it rise, and when did it rise? ZhuoTron information analyst Wang Yanan told the Securities Times reporter, supply-side pig prices are the main driver the market is now in the consumption of the off-season, coupled with high pork prices, more inhibited consumption, so the demand side of the meat price boost effect is basically non-existent " in previous years the market should be slightly lower, but this stage will appear some seasonal absence of pigs phenomenon, because of the high incidence of winter diarrhea and other diseases, coupled with the summer pig appetite is not good growing slow, transport damage is also more, will cause a short-term reduction in supply ," Wang said " supply side is a major point of view of slaughterhouses, which, based on our daily monitoring data, are now operating at a rate that is down 40 to 50 per cent compared with the same period last year a typical example, a slaughterhouse that slaughters 3,000-5,000 pigs a day is now good enough to slaughter 1,000 a day ," Wang said back in March and April this year, pork prices fell for a while, falling to $38.93 a kilogram in May Wang Yanan explained that before the Spring Festival, there are some farmers optimistic about the market, deliberately pressed a part of the pig, but encountered a new crown outbreak "black swan." After outbreak, many of the big pigs out of the column were 150 kg or even 200 kg, resulting in the price of pigs going down However, after mid-May, the backlog of large pigs was largely digested, and the standard number of 115-130 kg of pigs has not kept up, pig prices rebounded in addition, Wang Yanan said that the southern floods will lead to some areas of transportation difficulties, but currently has no impact on prices this year's pork imports slightly larger than in previous years, although in June and July because of the outbreak banned some countries' import trade, but pork imports accounted for only about 4.4% of the country's total pork, the actual impact is not large July 21, China Storage Network issued a notice that on July 23, the Ministry of Commerce and other departments will organize the release of 10,000 tons of central reserve frozen pork , this is the 25th launch of the year, the cumulative delivery volume will reach 460,000 tons " African swine plague since the national stock of meat has become increasingly intensive, especially this year, almost every week, the number of 1-2 million tons range country is to reduce some pig prices through macro-control, from the news that pork is not lacking ," Wang said notable, according to the Ministry of Agriculture, pork factory prices also fell slightly last week (July 13-July 17), averaging 50.24 yuan per kilogram, down 0.7% month-on-month ministry of agriculture and rural areas announced the explanation, many local institutions have been on holiday, end consumption demand reduction, high-priced pork sales difficulty increased, slaughter enterprise orders decreased; affected by the two-way negative between supply and demand, the average weekly pork price fell slightly overall Yang Zhenhai, director of the Department of Livestock and Veterinary Medicine of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas of , said on July 13 that the supply of pig stocks and piglets in China has resumed for five consecutive months, indicating that the number of fatty pigs that can be exported from the column will gradually increase after July, and the supply of pork markets will continue to improve " July market has reached a high, pig prices should open a downward channel, the previous year's African swine plague-induced super-pig cycle may be over We predict that by the end of 2020, the recovery rate of sows in most parts of the country should reach more than 70%, the south will be slightly lower; at present all over the can breed sow's supplement situation is still relatively good, but reflected to the market still need some time ," Wang said pig futures listed in that, the leading action of domestic pig prices for a long time showcyclical fluctuations, on prices and production and life has a profound impact East Securities Futures Research Report pointed out that China's pig prices since 2006 formed four rounds of cyclical fluctuations, epidemic or environmental protection and other reasons brought about by a substantial reduction in pig production capacity is the main motivation for the formation of a cycle April 2020, the CSRC approved the development of pig futures trading On July 10, , the Dalian Commodity Exchange launched a pig futures simulation, including a recent contract and a forward contract East Securities Futures Research Report pointed out that the direct impact of pig futures listing on the pig cycle is not significant, but learn from the experience of the U.S pig market, the degree of breeding scale is the key to affect the length of pig cycle and amplitude, and pig futures listing helps to promote the development of pig trading scale, improve industrial concentration, so as to lengthify the pig cycle, to reduce the fluctuation of pig prices CITIC Futures Research Report, pig breeding enterprises can apply the price discovery function of pig futures to iron out price and industrial fluctuations, introduce long-term agreement price contract model; some of the industry leaders have begun to lay out in the field of pig futures Securities Times reporter noted that making the shares in April issued a recruitment announcement, covering the current analysts (pigs, grains, grease oil), delivery managers, futures trading posts recruitment scope basically covers the futures trading strategy, order, wind control, delivery and other processes, the maximum monthly salary of more than 40,000 yuan Muyuan shares in the interactive platform in response to investors said that the current Dalian Commodity Exchange pig futures subject matter for lean meat-type commodity pigs, the company's commodity pigs in line with pig futures delivery standards another leading New Hope interactive platform, said the company is highly concerned about pig futures related policies, and with the relevant departments and market institutions to maintain close communication and interaction company is preparing for future participation in pig futures most important, pig futures provide companies with a risk management tool that can avoid the risk of pig price fluctuations through futures .
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