Is it true that more than half of the farmers in 2021 are "reduced" or "abandoned"?

From the end of 2020 to the first week of 2021, the price of broiler chicken has risen across the scale! Fast, medium-speed chicken double broken "7"; "Overlord-class" cold wave hit, cold air after New Year's Day will also supplement the impact; CDC called for "do not buy live poultry", many "no live" policy continued to advance; The positive testing of domestic frozen products has re-occurred, and the authority of experts has been questioned.
chicken prices have risen across the scale! Fast, medium-speed chicken double break "7" since December 2020, the prices of various categories of chicken continued to rise.
by the 2021 New Year's Day holiday pull, the price quickly pulled up, fast big class, medium-speed national average national average price of chickens both broke through the 7 yuan / catty mark, slow chicken (earth chicken) price also reached 8.5 yuan / catty or more.
As of New Year's Day 2021, the national price index for fast and bone-chilled chickens has reached 115-120 (index 100 is break-even), while the price index for medium-speed and slow-moving chickens has also risen above 90, close to the 2020 high.
the chicken seedlings, it is still dominated by the downturn.
the "new crown pneumonia" and "bird flu" epidemic is still in a highly tense stage of prevention and control, broiler market trends are unclear.
In addition, the current season for the outbreak of high-risk period, feeding difficulties, feed prices are high, insomination and drug use and other breeding costs increased significantly, so that farmers are very cautious, basically wait-and-see attitude.
, however, some farmers want to use the gap period to preempt seedlings, coupled with the soil chickens corresponding to the Qingming Festival seedlings, south China's enthusiasm for seedlings has a certain rise.
, south-west China, with the start of de-warm chicken seedlings, chicken seedlings market may have a rising trend.
for the 2021 aquaculture planning, the industry as a whole to "stabilize the reduction" as a whole.
according to a recent survey of new poultry conditions, 31% of the industry plans to reduce the scale of breeding in 2021; 22 per cent said they had abandoned or planned to abandon their parents; 15% indicating that the scale of aquaculture remains unchanged; A further 21 per cent plan to increase the amount of aquaculture.
: What is your breeding plan for 2021?" Overlord-class "cold tide year-end" rush performance, cold air after New Year's Day will also supplement the impact of the morning of December 28, 2020, the Central Meteorological Station upgrade issued the first cold wave orange warning for the winter of 2020.
this is the highest level of cold wave warning issued by the Central Meteorological Station in four years since November 2016.
experts said that the cold wave is the strongest cold wave in recent years, cold air main strength and cold high pressure strength development is strong, and the outbreak is particularly rapid.
, this cold wave is also called by netizens "overlord".
two days, the cold snap swept across most of China from north to south, resulting in a rapid and significant drop in temperature, with 4 to 6 strong winds that lasted about two days, and temperatures plummeting by more than 10 degrees in more than 24 hours.
, will there be a cold snap after New Year's Day? The China Meteorological Administration said at a recent press conference that after analysis, cold air will become active again after New Year's Day.
January 4-7, 2021, there will be cold air affecting China, but the intensity can not meet the cold tide standards, the temperature in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River north of the region dropped 4 to 6 degrees Celsius, the local cooling range of more than 8 degrees Celsius.
, from late january to early mid-january, there will be cold air supplements affecting our country.
So, since the low temperature situation will continue until mid-January 2021, but the possibility of widespread extreme weather is relatively small, north and northeast China will be relatively long duration, there is a certain degree of extreme, but there will be no large-scale extreme cold conditions.
CDC called for "do not buy live poultry", many "no live" policy continued to promote recently, Chinese scientists online release of the latest research results on avian influenza in China's poultry market, revealing the trend of avian influenza virus epidemic in China's poultry market since 2016, and some of the potential threat of avian influenza virus subtypes put forward an early warning.
that the avian influenza virus-positive rate in the poultry market has dropped significantly compared to 2014-2016.
H9N2 replaced H5N6 as the main subtype popular among chicken and duck hosts nationwide.
since 2018, the positive rate of H7N9 has dropped significantly to zero, in line with the disappearance of human H7N9 infections.
, a new H7N3 highly pathogenic AIV (HPAIV) strain has emerged in the poultry market, as well as H9N9 and H9N6 low pathogenic AIV (LPAIV) strains.
, H7N3 HPAIV exhibits the ability to bind dual-subjects (birds and humans); The H9 separation strain is mainly combined with human subjects; H6N2 isolated strains have the ability to bind to dual-subjects, and some strains are more likely to bind to human-like bodies.
as the threat of the winter and spring outbreak continues, China's Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and some provinces and regions again urged citizens to avoid contact with live poultry or live poultry markets and not to buy live poultry.
the same time, Hunan, Guizhou, Sichuan, Shandong and other places to ban the sale of live poultry policy has continued to advance.
under the influence of "double epidemic", the poultry market has been severely challenged again! The positive testing of domestic frozen products occurred again, the authority of experts was questioned on December 30, 2020, the official WeChat public number of the Dongfeng Town People's Government of Zhongshan City, Guangdong Province, today Dongfeng issued "on the positive disposal of frozen packaging samples in the folk music market notice."
reported that on December 29, Dongfeng Town in the frozen food active sampling screening, found that Lu Yongjie frozen goods shop (the first floor of the folk music market 201 bunk) frozen chicken wing packaging new crown virus nucleic acid test results were positive.
this is the second time in China in the domestic frozen packaging detected a new crown virus.
to prevent the spread of the new crown outbreak, many experts say banning the sale of live poultry is one of the practical ways.
, however, there have been frequent positive incidents of frozen and packaged samples recently, and many netizens have questioned the authority of experts.
, the closure of the live poultry market in favour of fresh poultry has also been opposed by most in the industry.
a recent survey of new poultry conditions, 76% of industry participants said that closing the live poultry market would do more harm than good, and only 15% thought it would do more harm than harm.