Imported soybeans in the city

Introduction: at present, the most concerned topic in the grain market is soybean import In the second half of the year, will imported soybeans be a tide or a break in the domestic grain market? The author believes that imported soybeans will soon come to the city, and the arguments supporting the above views are as follows: 1 There is a large gap in domestic soybean production and demand, which needs to be made up by imported soybeans Data shows that the annual output of soybeans in China is about 15 million tons, of which about 7-7.5 million tons of domestic soybeans are used for oil extraction With the rapid development of China's economy in recent two years, the demand for soybeans is also increasing According to experts, this year's demand for soybeans will be 29.657 million tons, an increase of 1.295 million tons compared with 2001 / 2002, and the domestic demand gap will be about 14 million tons 2 The import of soybeans was blocked and the price of soybeans in China soared all the way, which has achieved the purpose of stimulating farmers to sow soybeans in spring In recent two years, due to the pressure of imported soybeans on the domestic soybean market, the domestic soybean market price has been in a low state, which has greatly reduced the enthusiasm of farmers to grow soybeans; this spring sowing season, due to the import of imported soybeans blocked, the domestic soybean demand is greater than the supply, resulting in the soybean price rising all the way Take Heilongjiang Province, the main soybean producing area, as an example, the purchase price of Longjiang soybean was from 164 in early March 0-1660 yuan / ton soared to the current 1880-1900 yuan / ton, an increase of 14%, 2% higher than the purchase price in the same period of last year The increase of soybean price greatly improved the enthusiasm of soybean farmers At present, the spring sowing in the main production areas has ended, and the Chinese government has also achieved the goal of stimulating farmers to sow soybeans in spring 3 The demand of domestic soybean market is greater than the supply, and the raw materials for pressing are in short supply Some large-scale pressing plants have "no rice for cooking" Since March 20, China has implemented the strict regulations on genetically modified safety management and three supporting measures, and recently promulgated the measures for the inspection and Quarantine of entry-exit food and feed, a series of "multiple locking procedures" have basically brought the imported soybean to a standstill According to the statistics of the customs, China imported 2.29 million tons of soybeans in the first quarter of 2002, but no soybeans arrived after March 20 Data shows that at present, there are more than 400000 tons of soybeans available for sale in Heilongjiang national reserve, 600000-800000 tons of imported soybeans in port, while the average monthly demand of soybeans in China is about 2.4 million tons, and the monthly pressing capacity of soybeans is about 1.8 million tons The raw materials used for pressing in China are in short supply, which makes large-scale crushing plants in East China and South China step up the purchase of soybeans to ensure production Which further leads to tight soybean supply 4 Import license has been issued and soybean import is expected to resume in the near future On the one hand, it is reported that the AQSIQ has issued about 23 soybean import licenses since April 30 The first batch was issued 7 at the end of April, the second batch was issued 8 at May 8-9, and the third batch of genetically modified soybean import license of this year was issued on May 23, with the issuing date of May 20 The remarks indicate that the validity period of soybean arrival in port is within 30 to 90 days after the issuance of the certificate Based on the current soybean market situation, AQSIQ has considered to issue an additional import license in the near future On the other hand, the Ministry of health has clarified the import management of genetically modified soybeans recently It is clear that the evaluation and verification of the edible safety and nutritional quality of genetically modified soybeans implemented since July 1 is only applicable to edible soybeans, so as to reduce the threshold of importing genetically modified soybeans into the domestic market and alleviate the concerns of domestic soybean processing manufacturers and importers about soybean import Various signs show that soybean imports are expected to resume in the near future 5 The international side is paying close attention to selling soybeans to China The first batch of 78000 tons of U.S soybeans was sold to China in the week ending April 25, while another 35000 tons was sold to China in the week ending may 2, according to the U.S Department of Agriculture Export Report Argentina also sold 200000 tons of soybeans to China in the second half of April, and Brazil's soybean sales to China have also accelerated significantly recently According to Reuters, 7-12 soybeans ships are scheduled to set out from the United States and South America soon According to time estimates, imported soybeans will arrive at the end of the month at the latest To sum up, in the second half of the year, imported soybeans will flow into the domestic soybean market Some experts have analyzed that the import of soybeans this year may be slightly lower or equal to the import of soybeans in 2001, which is 13.94 million tons, and the import of soybeans has been under attack (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: