How long can this round of "pig money" be made? The three variables affect the amount of columns.

Sichuan pig production accounts for about one-tenth of the country, long-term ranking in the country's "pig breeding of the largest province", there is "Chuan pig all over the world" saidIn 2018, more than 66 million pigs were produced in SichuanIn 2019 by the impact of the african swine fever epidemic, the number of column fell by nearly 30%, not only failed to "safe world", even their own supply and stability are facing difficultiesthis year, Sichuan will complete 60 million pigs out of the column, basically returning to pre-swine fever outbreak levels in AfricaOut of the column task has been issued all over, the local pressure is not smallWu Xiaoyong, party secretary of Wanyuan City, told Lookout Newsweek: "Now every week I have to monitor the details of pig breeding, it is no exaggeration to say that pig production is now as important as poverty alleviation and economic development." Thethe main risk at present is the shortage of sows, the shortage of piglets supply, swine fever prevention and control still variableSome experts said that if the outbreak of swine fever in Africa, Sichuan and even the national pig breeding market will be greatly affected, prices may rise to "heaven"On the other hand, many farmers worry that after the first half of next year, when production capacity resumes, pigs are concentrated in the column, and the price fallshigh profitsare accompanied by high-risk.With the price of pigs rising, Zhou Jianjun, a farmer in Liuhe village in Fangjia Township, Renshou County, Sichuan Province, tasted the sweetness of pig farming: "There are currently 30 sows in the pig farm and 168 fattening pigs." In March this year sold 14 fat pigs, making more than 30,000 yuan"
According to the Sichuan Province pig monitoring early warning system monitoring, the average price of pig out of the column in May is still around 31 yuan / kg, up 96.5% from the same period last year, the average income of a fat pig out of the column is at a high of 1500 yuan to 2,300 yuanAffected by the outbreak of swine fever in Africa, pig-breeding profits are high, but also from price fluctuations, capital chain and other aspects of the risk is also very largeZhou Zubin, a farmer in Longfeng Village, Guyi Street,, said: "In March this year, 180,000 yuan spent on 100 piglets, the new crown pneumonia outbreak increased the cost by 10%, want to expand the scale and lack of funds, but also worried about environmental protection and pig prices fell." "
many scattered, small breeding entities can not buy piglets and sows, coupled with poor ability to resist risks, has withdrawn from the marketIn order to reduce the risk, some medium-sized farmers rely on large-scale aquaculture enterprises to follow the "company and farmers" modelWang Bo, owner of Bowei Family Farm in Wanggu Village, Longma Township, Renshou County, invested 4 million yuan in cooperation with Dekang Company, transferred 300 acres of land and built three units of breeding grounds, each unit producing 1200 piglets per yearReporters see, the current column of 180 sows, more than 500 fattening pigs, surrounding land planted peppers, watermelons, citrus and so on, to explore the breeding cycle modein the process of re-filling the fence, remodeling the enclosure and carrying out biosecurity protection input, some medium-sized farmers encountered financial difficultiesHan Honglin, general manager of Sixiang Agricultural Co., Ltdin Zhongjiang County, said: "The cost of feed and epidemic prevention increased due to the outbreak of swine fever in Africa, costing at least 200,000 yuan a month." Can not mortgage financing there is no cash flow, can only rely on the sale of fat pigs to maintain expenses"
" is now highly profitable and riskyEpidemic prevention is the first, in case of infection is a bamboo basket watering an emptyWang Bo said that he strictly in accordance with the company's requirements to invest in the construction of pighouses, piglets, feed, technology and so on all by the company, the company buyback pig, the average pig has a stable profit of about 300 yuanChengdu Wangjiang Agricultural and Pastoral Technology Co, LtdGeneral Manager Jiang Tengtao has invested 110 million yuan in raising pigs, recently had a loan that would have been hoped to lend 5 million yuan, but the bank thought the risk is too great, after the assessment only loaned 1.5 million yuan "My real estate, car, equity all pledged to the bank, this is a limited liability company, but they have to bear unlimited liability If the price of pigs falls sharply, I will go bankrupt Jiang Tengtao said since the second half of last year, policies to encourage pig production have been introduced intensively, and production capacity has steadily recovered According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the national pig stock increased by 3.9% month-on-month in May, the fourth consecutive month of growth the workers concerned that the cost of raising pigs has now gone up, if the planned large-scale resumption of production capacity, the national pig market in the first half of next year may start to large-scale concentration of the column, prices may fall sharply, farmers fear a loss risk three variables affect the of the column volume.　　Yang Xiubin, director of the Sichuan Agriculture and Rural Affairs Department, said: "For the first time in so many years, Sichuan has refined the task of pig production to each county, but also must be the county party secretary personally supervise the war." "
can breed sows to expand the risk of insufficient breeding is the impact of this year's pig out of the column task of the largest "pig nose." Farmers reflect that raising a sow from birth to breeding needs 10 months, pregnancy needs 114 days or so, childcare pigletweight to 30 kg takes 2 months, breeding sow effect needs more than 14 months In other words, the pig farms that are now starting to resume production will have a hard time getting a large number of outofings this year can breed sows are not enough, but also to work hard to complete the task, some pig farms can only let the soon-to-be-phased "old sow" regeneration for a year, or let the not yet fully mature "little sow" ahead of the breeding piglets "a pig difficult to find" is another "pig nose" that affects the task of column Piglet prices are too high, some small and medium-sized farmers worry about risks, dare not raise, can not afford to raise Tongjiang County, Fu fu modern agricultural professional cooperative head said that the cooperative recently prepared to fill the column 1500 piglets, commodity piglets in short supply, the price is too high, some retail farmers can not buy piglets, make up the column difficult the greater variable is still the risk of spreading the outbreak in Africa, particularly the illegal transfer of pigs Not long ago, the Nanjiang County Agricultural Law Enforcement Brigade of Bazhong City intercepted two illegally transferred pig vehicles at the temporary checkpoint for the export of African swine fever in the two towns of Nanjiang County at the Bashan Expressway The two vehicles contained more than 200 pigs, worth more than 1 million yuan, both have no quarantine certificate, no animal immunization mark Wang Shilin, director of the department of animal husbandry and veterinary medicine of the Agriculture and Rural Affairs Department of Sichuan Province, , said that so far this year, a number of cases of illegal transfer of pigs across provinces have been detected several times positive for the Nucleic acid of the African swine fever virus, the situation of african swine fever prevention and control is serious accurately crack the "pig cycle" Sichuan Provincial Institute of Livestock Science, said that Sichuan pig production accounted for about one-tenth of the country, if the outbreak of swine fever in Africa is not well controlled, the outbreak will have a huge impact on the market He Zhiping suggested, continue to implement the introduction of seed reporting approval, origin quarantine supervision, landing report isolation, out-of-column quarantine report and other series of normative practices, strengthen the scale of farms in Africa swine plague self-test measures, regularly carry out disease detection and diagnosis and grid supervision and management, to ensure timely detection and timely disposal the outbreak of African swine fever found in the cross-provincial transfer of piglets, Wang Shilin suggested that as soon as possible to study and formulate the inter-provincial highway toll station after the abolition of pig transfer supervision policies and measures, overall consideration of the construction of designated channels throughout the country, at the national level on the illegal transfer of pigs, piglets behavior to further strengthen the investigation and punishment efforts in order to enhance the confidence of small and medium-sized farmers, Wang Shilin suggested that the price of piglets from the national level to control for farmers worried about the resumption of production and then the emergence of "pig base injury farmers" problem, some farmers said that the state can strengthen monitoring in pig farms around the country, through scientific calculation of feed prices, breeding costs, column volume and other "pig ledger", to help farmers in advance to play a good "pig abacus", take similar industrial enterprises to stabilize production, limit production measures, accurate lying to reduce the "pig cycle" destruction He Zhiping believes that pig farming has obvious time law, the market consumption situation can be basically determined, so we should speed up the promotion of pig futures trading, flattening or even break the "pig cycle." In addition, , for large-scale farmers and farms, the state has introduced pig price index insurance as a policy insurance tool, the current coverage in Sichuan is still relatively low, many farmers, especially small and medium-sized farmers look forward to a broader range of this policy to promote the landing .