High temperature and drought in Yunnan, Guizhou and Sichuan continue, can the market of fragrant sand usher in a turnaround?

　　Fragrant sand belongs to both medicinal and edible varieties, and the social demand is not large, and the market has been declining in the past 10 years
.
In 2022, the high temperature and drought in the main producing areas will continue.
Can the fragrant sand market usher in a new turn? In this issue, the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry of Tiandi Yuntu makes an analysis of the market of this variety based on the production and sales data
.
1.
Fragrant sand market and movement of production areas Bozhou market: Many merchants went to the production area to find goods, which led to faster sales of goods.
Due to the poor growth of plants in the production area this year, merchants were more reluctant to sell , and the market rose steadily.
The current market price of fragrant sand is 17 -18 yuan (kg price, the same below)
.
Anguo market: The drought in the production area continues, and the attention of many parties has increased.
Recently, many foreign merchants have organized the supply of goods, and the supply of goods has been sold smoothly.
Due to the obvious reluctance of sellers to sell, the market has risen slightly.
The current market price of fragrant sand is 16-18 yuan
.
Lotus Pond Market: It is currently in the green and yellow market.
Recently, many merchants have organized the supply of goods.
Due to the tight supply of high-quality goods, the sellers are asking for firm prices, and the market is steadily rising.
The current market price of fragrant sand is 15-17 yuan
.
Yulin Market: Affected by the high temperature and drought in the production area recently, the attention has continued to increase, and the bulk transaction of the market supply has accelerated.
Due to the reluctance of many businesses to sell, the market is firm and rising.
The current market price of fragrant sand is 15-16 yuan, and the opening rate is 5%-8%.
The price of sand is 16-17 yuan
.
According to a fragrant sand operator in Sichuan Province, Junlian County and Yibin County in Yibin City have a lot of inventory.
Affected by the continuous high temperature and drought, the supply of goods has been sold significantly faster.
Due to the poor growth of the plants, the reluctance of many businesses to sell is strengthened, and the market is stable.
There are liters; the current price of fragrant sand in producing areas is 13-14 yuan
.
2.
The declining market ushered in a temporary rebound Figure: 2010-2022 Fragrant Sand Market Price Trend From the perspective of price changes, the Fragrant Sand market has ushered in a long period of market decline after experiencing a historical peak
.
From 2010 to 2022, there are two obvious staged market prices for Xiangsha
.
The first stage: From 2010 to 2014, fragrant sand ushered in a rising cycle
.
As the low price at that time brought a devastating blow to the growers, coupled with the unfavorable weather factors for several consecutive years, the production of fragrant sand dropped significantly, attracting the attention of many businesses
.
Under the circumstance that many merchants actively stocked up, the market began to fluctuate upwards.
The price climbed from 16 yuan in 2010 to 105 yuan in 2014, and the price rose 5.
56 times
.
In 2013, stimulated by high profits, the growers in the production area not only worked hard to maintain the original planting area, but also actively expanded the planting area, and the planting area of ​​fragrant sand increased significantly
.
In 2014, the price of fragrant sand reached a sky-high price of 105 yuan, which further stimulated the development of the production area, and the planting area more than doubled compared with 2013
.
The second stage: From 2015 to 2022, Xiangsha entered the downward channel
.
In 2015, the first batch of newly planted fragrant sand began to enter the harvest period.
With the deepening of new production, the supply of goods continued
.
In the face of the sudden increase in production capacity, some hoarding merchants began to actively dump their goods, and the market experienced a diving market
.
The price of fragrant sand dropped from 90 yuan in 2015 to 15 yuan in August 2022, a drop of 83.
33%
.
Although there has been a small rebound in the middle, but in the face of the huge inventory, it is still unable to stop this wave of decline
.
3.
The distribution of origin is relatively concentrated Fragrant sand is the fruit or seed of the perennial ginger plant, with a pungent and cool smell, and is often used as a spice
.
This variety belongs to both medicinal and edible varieties, and as a spice, the sales account for the largest share, accounting for more than 70% of the overall demand
.
The main producing areas of fragrant sand are mainly distributed in Yibin County, Xuzhou District, Gao County, Pingshan County, Leshan County, Qianwei County, and Rong County in Zigong County in Yibin, Sichuan; Zhaotong and Dali in Yunnan Province; Luo County in Guizhou Dian
.
Among them, Yibin, Sichuan is currently the largest producing area of ​​fragrant sand, with an annual output of over 10,000 tons in recent years
.
Most of the varieties are large, plump and small in opening rate.
The market will also evaluate the quality according to the particle size and opening situation.

.
Sichuan products are of the best quality and are favored by drug dealers, followed by Yunnan products
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry in Tiandi Yuntu, the national production of fragrant sand will be about 8,690 tons in 2021, and the decline will be more obvious
.
4.
The consumption of edible and Chinese veterinary medicines has increased.
Amomum glutinosa used to be a local traditional medicine in southwest China and Southeast Asia .
Later, it was mainly used as a seasoning and consumption of Chinese veterinary medicines.
It is used as a seasoning in Chengdu, Sichuan, Nanning and Yulin in Guangxi, and Zhengzhou in Henan.
The market is the main channel of its circulation, and every year buyers will also go to the production area to buy in large quantities
.
The efficacy of Amomum fragrans is similar to Amomum vulgaris, which has the effect of dispelling dampness and appetizing, warming the spleen and stopping diarrhea, but at present, domestic Chinese medicine companies have not used Amomum fragrans as medicinal raw materials
.
According to the statistics of the big data platform of the pharmaceutical industry in Tiandi Yuntu, the national demand for fragrant sand will be about 9,100 tons in 2020, and the consumption of fragrant sand will be about 9,800 tons in 2021, showing a significant growth trend
.
V.
Prediction of the market outlook 1.
There is a large amount of land on the ground and sufficient supply of production capacity The domestic fragrant sand planting areas are relatively concentrated.
Due to the large land area and long harvest period, the production capacity has continued to increase in recent years
.
Since the actual output of fragrant sand is far greater than the social demand, the accumulated inventory has continued to increase in recent years, which is also the fundamental reason for the long-term downturn of fragrant sand prices
.
2.
The demand is limited, and the attention is also obviously limited.
From the historical data, the price of fragrant sand has continued to fluctuate in the range of 11-23 yuan in recent years, and the market sentiment has not been high
.
In 2021, due to abnormal weather, production capacity will decline slightly
.
In 2022, with the continued blessing of high temperature and drought, the popularity will increase slightly, but the overall attention is still limited
.
To sum up, Amomum fragrans is mainly used for food and veterinary medicine.
It is a perennial plant.
It does not occupy arable land and does not consume too much labor.

.
This drought may lead to a slight rise in the price of Amomum glutinosa, but if there is no capital to participate in the speculation, the market outlook will have limited room for growth
.
1.
Fragrance sand market, movement situation of origin 2.
The declining market ushered in a temporary rebound 3.
The distribution of origin is relatively concentrated 4.
The consumption of edible and Chinese veterinary medicine channels has increased .