Four "unprecedented" in this round of pig cycle, how to iron the "pig cycle"

 　　It will take 5 to 10 years to basically form a new development pattern for the pig industry with efficient output, product safety, and resource saving.
Periodic market fluctuations have been effectively alleviated, and the pork self-sufficiency rate has been maintained at around 95%
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　How to smooth out fluctuations in the "pig cycle"? In order to promote supply and price stability and enhance the ability to ensure safe pork supply, six departments including the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the National Development and Reform Commission, and the Ministry of Finance have recently jointly issued the "Regarding Promoting the Sustainable and Healthy Development of the Pig Industry" Opinions
.
The "Opinions" proposes to establish a counter-cyclical regulation mechanism for pig production with timely warning, precise measures, and efficient response.
It will take 5 to 10 years to basically form a pig with efficient output, product safety, resource saving, environmentally friendly, and effective regulation and control.
With the new pattern of high-quality industrial development, cyclical market fluctuations have been effectively alleviated, and the pork self-sufficiency rate has been maintained at around 95%
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Since the beginning of the new century, China's pig production has experienced five major fluctuations.
Especially in the last time, the number of pigs and the number of breeding sows has been greatly reduced, and the impact of the African swine fever epidemic and the new crown pneumonia epidemic has been superimposed, and the recovery is very difficult
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In accordance with the decisions and deployment of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, and with the joint efforts of various localities and relevant departments, the production of live pigs has been fully restored, the pork market is relatively abundant, and the price has dropped significantly
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　"Compared with the previous round of 'pig cycle' occurs four 'unprecedented'
.
" Secretary of Agriculture Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Rural SOCIETY OF said, one is large and deep capacity decline of the price increases of unprecedented
.
Monitoring data shows that when production capacity is low, the stock of reproductive sows and live pigs has decreased by about 40% year-on-year.
In the fourth week of February 2020, pork prices have increased by 165% year-on-year
.
The second is the unprecedented level of policy support
.
The central government clarified the requirement that the province be responsible for the stable production and supply of live pigs.
The relevant departments have intensively introduced 19 supporting policies, and major breakthroughs have been made in policies such as breeding land, environmental assessment and credit
.
The third is the unprecedented speed of production recovery
.
It took about one and a half years to recover from a severe landslide, and the average recovery time from the previous "pig cycle" was 2 years
.
Fourth, the effect of industrial transformation is unprecedented.
A large number of high-level large-scale pig farms have risen rapidly, and a number of small and medium-sized farmers have been transformed and upgraded into the ranks of large-scale breeding
.
In 2020, the scale-up rate of pig breeding will reach 57.
1%, an increase of 4.
1 percentage points over the previous year and faster than the average rate of 2 percentage points in the past year
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In addition, in response to the severe decline in live pig production capacity, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has made the restoration of live pig production a major task in agricultural and rural work for three consecutive years
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　At present, the production of live pigs has been fully restored, and the targets and tasks established in the "Three-year Action Plan for Accelerating the Recovery and Development of Live Pig Production" have been completed ahead of schedule
.
According to statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics, the number of pigs in the country was 439 million at the end of June, returning to 99.
4% at the end of 2017
.
Among them, the number of breeding sows was 45.
64 million, which was restored to 102.
1% at the end of 2017
.
In the first half of the year, the output of pork was 27.
15 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 35.
9%
.
In the last week of July, the price of pork in the national bazaar was 25.
93 yuan per kilogram, which was 33.
71 yuan lower than the highest price in this round of "pig cycle"
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　It is worth noting that recently, pork prices have fallen rapidly, pig breeding has suffered losses, and the enthusiasm of farms (households) to develop production has been frustrated
.
Some places have also reported that the policies on land use, environmental protection and insurance introduced in 2019 are well received by farms (households), but there is a trend of tightening.
Some places have made a “swift turn” in policy, which may further amplify the market downturn.
The impact of hog production has once again caused a sharp decline in production capacity, coupled with the increase in breeding costs and the uncertainty of the African swine fever epidemic, the task of stabilizing pig production and ensuring market supply is very arduous
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　"The establishment of a counter-cyclical regulation mechanism for pig production is to set the'master switch' for live pig production and market supply, and use the monthly year-on-year change rate of the breeding sow stock of plus or minus 5% and 10% as the control benchmark.
Establishing an automatic triggering regulation mechanism for abnormal changes, with the focus on avoiding an excessive drop in the number of breeding sows and
burying hidden supply hazards .
” Yang Zhenhai analyzed
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Monitoring data shows that since 2009, there have been 4 major fluctuations in the production of pigs in China, which coincided with the 4 occasions when the number of breeding sows fluctuated more than 5% year-on-year on a monthly basis
.
Therefore, the "Opinions" proposes to establish a counter-cyclical control mechanism with the stock of reproductive sows as the core indicator, improve and strengthen control policies and measures, and smooth out fluctuations in the "pig cycle"
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In the next step, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs will formulate an implementation plan for the regulation and control of pig production capacity, reduce the number of breeding sows and the number of large-scale breeding farms (households) and other indicators to the provinces, and guide the provinces to formulate detailed implementation plans, as soon as possible.
The hog production capacity control measures proposed in the Opinions have been implemented
.
At the same time, the production capacity control plan will work in concert with the government pork reserve plan issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments to form a pattern in which production capacity regulation and market regulation are coordinated, and source pre-regulation and product terminal regulation complement each other, so as to better promote stable production of live pigs.
For
.
7Xa China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry