Feed strange circle aggravates the risk of loss

Introduction: according to the data released by the price monitoring center of the provincial Price Bureau, as of the end of March, the price of live pigs in Shandong Province fell below 7 yuan / Jin for the first time in the year, to the lowest price since May last year In the face of the reality that the price of pork is falling, many scattered farmers can't hold up Since March, many scattered farmers in Qingdao have started to clear the market The price of pork in Qingdao fell all the way after the Spring Festival The retail price of pork fell from a high of 32 yuan / kg to about 22 yuan / kg According to the statistics of Qingdao Municipal Bureau of Commerce, in March this year, the market volume of pork continued to increase and the price continued to decline The market volume of pork in the urban area is 2420 tons The wholesale price and retail price of pork are 21.6 yuan and 28.2 yuan per kilogram, respectively, down 6.7% and 4.9% on a month on month basis On April 13, the reporter went to some pig farms in Laixi City to find out In Hujiagou village, Rizhuang Town, Laixi City, there is a breeding community covering an area of more than 200 mu, where there are more than 500 sows on the stock and 3000 pigs on the market every year Pig farms across the country are local leaders, with an annual output of 1000 pigs In 2009, pigs were raised all over the country Over the past few years, some rules have been gradually explored YX2 he told reporters: "the profit and loss critical point of pig breeding is 7 yuan per catty, and the purchase price of pigs is now hovering at this point A piglet is about 600 yuan, and the feed cost is between 750 yuan and 950 yuan, generally growing to about 200 Jin, and the income of pigs is 1400 yuan, which is basically equal to the price of piglets plus feed cost, which is also equal to busy work ”According to the data released by the price monitoring center of the provincial Price Bureau, as of the end of March, the price of live pigs in Shandong Province fell below 7 yuan / Jin for the first time in the year, to the lowest price since May last year YX2 according to the analysis of relevant people, the price of domestic pigs and pork reached a record high from the end of last year to the beginning of this year, attracting many farmers to make up for the market From the central government to local governments at all levels, policies and measures to promote pig production, ensure market supply and stabilize pork prices have been introduced in succession After several months of restorative production, the scale of pig marketing has generally increased, resulting in sufficient market supply of pigs and inevitable decline in pork prices YX2 "feed strange circle" aggravates the risk of loss Compared with the price drop caused by the sharp rise of pig output, the reporter found in the interview that the high rise of feed price has a greater impact on pig farmers and directly eroded the profit space of pig breeding YX2 calls the interaction between feed price and pig price a "strange circle" in the whole country, so what's wrong with this phenomenon? He told reporters: "the price of pork has fallen, which means that there are more pigs, so the demand for feed production enterprises is greater These enterprises can be sold at a price, and those who give more money can sell it to others, but pig farmers can't do without feed, This leads to higher and higher feed prices; on the contrary, when pork is expensive, feed manufacturers have competitive price reduction, but the loss caused by the stop of production line is far greater than the loss caused by price reduction, so they prefer to lower the price and let the production line continue to operate " YX2 according to the observation of the whole country, the influence of pig price on feed price is irreversible Pig price can affect feed price, but feed price can not cause the fluctuation of pig price in turn The strange circle is that the price of pork is often expensive, feed cost is low, and the profit space of pig farmers is high; on the contrary, it may bring loss YX2 took out a feed purchase contract in the whole country and told reporters: "in order to ensure the quality of our farms, I have cooperated with some big feed companies such as Zhengda, and this year's feed cost has increased from 2600 yuan / ton years ago to 3340 yuan / ton, which means that this year's increase in feed cost will be good." Feng Yonghui, chief analyst of YX2 China pig warning network, believes that the current decline in pork prices is only a temporary fluctuation, and pork prices should be relatively stable in the future He said that the current price drop of 0.5 yuan may be the bottom line of pork price, and the decline will last until around May 1 at most, when there may be a small rebound, and may continue to rebound into the summer In the face of the fact that the price of pork is falling, many scattered farmers can't hold up Since March, many scattered farmers in Qingdao have started to clear the market In this regard, relevant experts said that the mentality of the pig breeders is very strong, which is not conducive to the healthy development of the market: This is what the breeders are like, as soon as the market is good, they will keep more sows; as soon as they lose money, they will not keep sows or raise them YX2 large-scale breeding is considered to be the most effective way for farmers to deal with the fluctuation of pork price So, several years later, there are many pig farms around the country Why is there such a "behavioral impulse"? YX2 also said in the whole country: "the meaning of large-scale breeding is actually not understood by many people This is not only a simple way for several farmers to raise pigs together, but also includes intensive and modern breeding methods It should be 1 + 1 > 2 " For example, in the case of epidemic prevention, once swine disease breaks out, treatment is totally impossible Epidemic prevention pays more attention to prevention If there are no preventive measures, the more pigs there are, the more likely they are to be infected " YX2 from the perspective of the pig insurance pilot project that Qingdao is expected to carry out this year, the support for large-scale farms is self-evident: according to the current standard for consultation of this policy, it is necessary to reach the annual output of more than 500 pigs, and the breeding environment of pig farms meets the relevant standardization requirements In this way, the survival pressure of the scattered and small households will face further tests YX2