Experts predict that lysine will weaken in the future

Introduction: the price of lysine, once in high demand and high price, has declined significantly in the near future, with a soft trend At present, the price of domestic lysine is about 32-33 yuan / kg, and the main transaction price is between 30-31 yuan / kg The market transaction is not active and the volume is not satisfactory According to relevant experts, in the past decade, the production scale and output of lysine in the world have been expanding In 1991, the global lysine output was 200000 tons, and it is estimated that the global lysine production capacity will reach 1 million tons and 85 tons by 2005 Lysine production in China is also developing rapidly In 1980, only one company in Dalian pharmaceutical factory produced lysine At present, there are more than 30 enterprises that have obtained the approval documents for the production of lysine pharmaceutical raw materials nationwide, and the lysine produced is mainly used for the infusion of medicine However, due to the rapid growth of market demand for lysine for feed additive, the production of lysine for feed additive has developed rapidly in China In the early 1990s, the annual production capacity of lysine in China was more than 10000 tons, reaching 100000 tons by the beginning of the 21st century, and now it has reached 200000 tons It is predicted that the production capacity of lysine in China will reach 350000 tons by 2005 With the rapid expansion of lysine market, import and export are booming Among the imported varieties of APIs in China, lysine has been in the forefront of import volume for many years In the mid-1990s, China imported more than 900 tons of lysine and exported more than 1000 tons of lysine In recent years, the export volume has increased greatly, but it is still lower than the import volume In 2003, China imported 14789 tons of lysine, exported 7000 tons and had a trade deficit of 7689 tons In the first quarter of 2004, among the top 40 importations of pharmaceutical APIs in China, lysine and salt ranked second, only next to methionine As the demand for lysine in our country has been increasing year by year, it has aroused the interest of foreign businessmen in our market Enterprises from South Korea and other countries enter the lysine market of China with low price strategy The original lysine market was in short supply, but now the imported goods are constantly driving in and quickly flowing into the users' hands, which alleviates the shortage of supply Experts believe that in addition to the impact of imported lysine on China's market, the recent downturn in the feed industry is also one of the factors contributing to the decline in lysine prices As feed raw materials continue to rise in price, but the rise in price is far from the level of other feed raw materials, most feed production is in a break even operation, which has a great impact on the trading volume of lysine Experts predict that lysine will continue to weaken in the future In the current situation of adequate supply and weak demand, lysine is difficult to get rid of the shadow of weakness.