Early warning of Cordyceps crisis: rarely listed prices stop rising, merchants take care of goods

Chen Gang (not his real name) has been doing Cordyceps (hereinafter referred to as Cordyceps) business in Guangzhou for more than ten years, which is regarded as a famous person in the industry According to his introduction, he can sell more than 500 Jin of Cordyceps annually, but his business is very clear around the National Day this year "I made only 30% of last year's money this year, and I can make a living in the industry." Chen Gang said that the sales season is from the Mid Autumn Festival to the Spring Festival every year Affected by the policies this year, the sales volume has dropped sharply, and the price of high-end Cordyceps species has dropped by about 20% In fact, Chen Gang's caterpillar fungus is only a microcosm of the current situation of the industry "Cordyceps is" don't buy what you eat, don't buy what you buy " Now many first-hand suppliers are worried about their hoarding, and the dealers in the middle are also waiting I estimate that the high price of Cordyceps will probably collapse in three years So says one industry observer Listing price stops rising Related research report on cordycepin in China 2013-2018 in-depth market survey and development trend analysis of the industry competition pattern and investment risk analysis report on China's Ganoderma cordycepin tea industry 2013-2018 development status and investment prospect in the next five years 2013-2018 development status and investment prospect analysis on China's Ganoderma cordycepin tea industry 2013-2018 Report 2013-2018 China Cordyceps pollen capsule industry market in-depth research and investment strategy research is divided into more pharmaceutical industry analysis in Chen Gang's memory Since the opening of the Chinese medicine market in the 1980s, in addition to the fall in 2008 due to the financial crisis, the price of Cordyceps is generally on the rise According to some dealers of Cordyceps, in the early 1990s, the average price of Cordyceps in the domestic market was about 2000 yuan per kilogram, and in 2003 it rose to about 50000 yuan per kilogram In 2007, it soared to a historic high of about 200000 yuan per kilogram In 2008, affected by the global financial crisis, prices began to soar again after 2009 They were bullish all the way In 2012, they climbed to 200000 yuan / kg again However, this year's situation is particularly abnormal A variety of data show that the price of Cordyceps sinensis has encountered a turning point, showing a significant fall, with an average drop of 20000 yuan per kilogram It is reported that Cordyceps prices fell in May and June this year when it was first revealed In recent years, the price of Cordyceps in the main producing area has to rise a little "inertia" every picking season, but this year, this law has been broken, an industry insider engaged in the trade of Cordyceps told reporters According to a survey conducted by Gansu statistics department in May this year, since the beginning of May this year, Cordyceps sinensis has been listed in the cooperative city According to the survey, the price of Cordyceps sinensis basically remained at the level of the previous year, with 38 yuan for high quality, 25 yuan for medium quality and 13 yuan for the first time It is the first time that the listed price stops rising It is understood that the cooperative city is one of the important distribution centers of Cordyceps in Gannan and even the whole Qinghai Tibet Plateau According to the data provided by the price of 2000 Cordyceps from Tibet at the beginning of this year reached 250000 yuan / kg, but recently it has dropped to 220000 yuan / kg, a drop of 12%; the price of 2000 Cordyceps from Sichuan dropped from 210000 yuan / kg at the beginning of this year to 180000 yuan / kg in the near future, a drop of 14.29% According to the data of Chengdu China Herbal Medicine index network, the weekly price fixing index of Cordyceps has basically declined since April, with a significant decline At present, the price index in October is 150.30, down 0.42% from last month "This decline is mainly reflected in the wholesale market, with little change in retail based prices." One industry person, who declined to be named, said According to statistics, the total annual output of Cordyceps is between 80 tons and 130 tons This year, however, most Cordyceps merchants are worried about their "soft gold" Unlike the price slump in 2008, this time it was accompanied by a shrinking market demand In the May and June of each year, when Cordyceps is on the market, Chen Gang will organize local people to dig grass at the contracted hills, and sell it in Qinghai and Guangzhou It can basically sell 500 Jin of Cordyceps a year But this year, he estimated that he could only sell more than 100 Jin, mainly small varieties, and almost no high-end varieties It is understood that the Mid Autumn Festival to the National Day is the peak season of Cordyceps sales, which is also a good time for prices to go higher Many big bosses often take the new Cordyceps when it comes to market, and then lend it to the Mid Autumn Festival, Spring Festival and other festivals at high prices But this year, big spendthrift bosses are also cautious The head of a chain drugstore in Shenzhen, which makes high-end Tibetan medicine, told the daily economic news that he has slowed down the frequency of purchase, mainly to digest last year's inventory If the key customers have orders, they will help to transfer the goods At the same time, the staff of Caizhilin, Jianmin drugstore, haiwangxingchen and other drugstores told reporters that in order to reduce the risk, they do not have high-end Cordyceps in stock at present If necessary, they must place an order before taking the goods The owners of Cordyceps in Qingping Chinese herbal medicine trading market in Guangzhou generally said that the market supply is sufficient now and the price is lower than that in previous years Only the varieties with lower price can be sold Chen Gang also said that although the retail price of Cordyceps does not fluctuate much this year, when new products come on the market next year, the imbalance between supply and demand may cause an "avalanche" of Cordyceps prices "Unlike gold, Cordyceps can keep its value Its shelf life is only two years It is uncertain whether there is any effect after two years In addition, every year there are new products on the market If there is too much inventory in hand, it will be very difficult to sell And the price of Cordyceps will continue to decline