Domestic rice market remains good in the medium term

Introduction: the closer the Spring Festival is, the larger the market demand for rice is, but it is not as good as expected After a small increase in the early stage, the market has shown a stable trend in the near future In recent days, the price of domestic rice market is as follows: the price of Japonica rice is stable, with a large increase in some parts The ex factory price of Heilongjiang japonica rice is 2480 yuan / ton, up 20 yuan / ton; the ex factory price of Jilin ordinary rice is 2500-2520 yuan / ton, the same as last week; the ex factory price of Anhui Wuhu standard one japonica rice is 2500-2600 yuan / ton, down 30 yuan / ton compared with last week; the ex factory price of Nanjing special class japonica rice is 2620 yuan / ton, up 60 yuan / ton compared with last week, the wholesale price of standard one japonica rice is 2660 yuan / ton, the same; the local standard one night Japonica Rice in Wuhan is 2560 yuan / ton, It is 40 yuan / ton lower than last week; 2700 yuan / ton northeast rice in Hangzhou, 20 yuan / ton higher; 2800 yuan / ton northeast rice in Fuzhou, 30 yuan / ton lower than last week The price of Japonica Rice remained stable The purchase price of Heilongjiang Jiamusi japonica rice is 1710 yuan / ton, up 20 yuan / ton compared with last week; Jilin japonica rice is 1790 yuan / ton, flat; Nanjing medium japonica rice is 1767 yuan / ton, Yangzhou medium new japonica rice is 1820 yuan / ton, flat; Anhui Chaohu 3 class Japonica Rice is 1820 yuan / ton, Xuancheng 3 class japonica rice is 1800 yuan / ton, flat last week The trend of late indica rice was stable The wholesale price of one night indica rice in Fuzhou, Jiangxi Province is 2460 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of ordinary late indica rice is 2360 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of hybrid late rice is 2460-2500 yuan / ton, all of which are equal; the wholesale price of Nanjing special indica rice is 2260 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of Yangzhou special indica rice is 2520 yuan / ton, all of which are 20 yuan / ton lower than last week; the wholesale price of Taizhou late indica rice is 2140 yuan / ton, the wholesale price of Suqian is 2300 yuan / ton, all of which are equal; Wuhu, Anhui Province The standard one late indica rice is 2240 yuan / ton, the same as last week; Zhejiang Wenzhou Anhui hybrid rice is 2445 yuan / ton, Jiangsu hybrid rice is 2555 yuan / ton, Jiangxi late indica rice is 2835 yuan / ton, the same; Fuzhou Jiangxi "65002" price is 2460-2540 yuan / ton, the same Late indica rice fell slightly The wholesale price of grade 3 Late Indica Rice in Wuhu, Anhui, and Siyang, Jiangsu were all the same, while the wholesale price of grade 2 late indica rice in Yicheng, Hubei, was 1560 yuan / ton, down 20 yuan / ton; the train board price of grade 3 Late Indica Rice in Jiujiang, Jiangxi, was 1640 yuan / ton, down 20 yuan / ton Early indica rice rose and fell The wholesale price of early indica rice in Fuzhou, Jiangxi Province is 2300 yuan / ton, up 40 yuan / ton compared with last week; that in Wuhu, Anhui Province is 2250 yuan / ton, down 30 yuan / ton compared with last week; that in Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province is 2190 yuan / ton, flat Early indica rice fell slightly In 2001, the ex warehouse price of medium conventional early indica rice in Fuzhou, Jiangxi Province was 1400 yuan / ton, down 20 yuan / ton; that of Jiujiang grade 3 early indica rice was 1600 yuan / ton, down 40 yuan / ton; that of Quzhou grade 3 early indica rice in Zhejiang Province was 1510 yuan / ton, up 10 yuan / ton At present, the influencing factors on the domestic rice market are as follows: first, farmers' reluctance to sell is weakened, and the effective market supply is increased At present, the Spring Festival is getting closer and closer In order to meet the needs of goods preparation and realization before the festival, farmers are reluctant to sell, and the market supply of rice is slightly increased 2 Suppliers' willingness to purchase before the festival weakens With the improvement of people's living standard, people's food consumption tends to be more rational The basic necessities such as rice are bought as you eat, and the influence of festivals, price increases and other factors is getting smaller and smaller This year's Spring Festival residents' enthusiasm for rice purchase is not as high as the dealers think, which slows down the purchase of suppliers, and the wait-and-see mood begins to show 3 The supply of domestic rice market is still tight Although China's grain output may exceed 455 billion kg in 2004, there is still a big gap compared with the demand of 480-490 billion kg in China This year, the domestic rice inventory is still in a downward trend, and the supply-demand relationship of domestic rice is still in a "tight balance" state, so there is little downward space for domestic rice 4 International rice supply is tight, and rice prices continue to rise In recent years, the international market supply is scarce, the demand is strong, and the price of rice is firm and upward Vietnam's 5% broken rice price is US $264, and Ho Chi Minh's FOB price is US $9 higher than last week; 25% broken rice price is US $248, US $3 higher than last week; Thailand's 100% class b Rice (Bangkok's FOB price) is US $295-300 per ton, and 5% broken rice price is US $290-295, US $3-6 higher than a week ago It is expected that the domestic rice market will maintain a stable trend in the later period, with little room for upward and downward trend In the medium term, driven by the tight domestic supply and the continuous increase in international rice prices, domestic rice prices still have the ability to soar