Domestic corn market analysis and future forecast in February

Introduction: overall situation: in February, the domestic corn price rose as a whole The purchase price of corn in the north of Henan and Hebei is 900-920 yuan / ton (moisture content 16-17%), and the price of car board is about 980-1000 yuan / ton, about 20 yuan / ton higher than that in the first ten days Zhejiang Jinhua wholesale price was 1120 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month and 1140 yuan / ton at the end of the month, up 20 yuan The price of corn in Shanghai port is 1080 yuan / ton, 20 yuan / ton higher than that in the earlier stage; the average increase in Jilin Province, the main production area, is 15 yuan / ton Corn prices in other regions also rose slightly The price of corn in Fujian is 1150 yuan / ton, and that in Shenzhen Shekou port is 1090-1100 yuan / ton From the perspective of sales price: prices in Fujian, Sichuan, Hunan, Jiangxi, Guangdong, Guangxi, Beijing, Tianjin, etc basically remained stable and constant Corn prices were around 1160 and 1140 yuan per ton, down from January Among them, Shandong corn was 1020 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, 1040 yuan / ton at the end of the month, up 20 yuan But compared with January, it also shows a downward trend The main reasons of NWP are as follows: first, the supply of NWP in Northeast China is a little tight Before the festival, the railway tension has been eased, the corn volume has returned to normal, and the price has increased with the increase of trading volume Most of the grain receiving points began to replenish the inventory of the state-owned warehouses Local distributors and state-owned grain purchasing and marketing companies have resumed their purchase and increased their use, leading to a slight shortage of external supply NWP 2 Due to the reduction of corn production in North China and the decrease of available supply, the price difference between the purchase price and the northeast corn gradually widened, resulting in the loss of the original transportation advantage Most dealers turn to northeast corn Third, due to the rising price, farmers are reluctant to sell seriously and the supply is greatly reduced It is also one of the factors that cause the price rise NWP 4 Corn market in the Southern Sales Area: the price is lower than that before the Spring Festival At present, the price is stable The reason is that in February and March after the festival, it is the off-season for the production and marketing of the breeding feed enterprises Before that, the breeding, brewing and other enterprises have sufficient supply In the near future, the demand for corn is not large, which drives the price down NWP analysis and prediction: the fundamental factor determining the price trend of corn market is the relationship between supply and demand Domestic corn prices are expected to rise slightly in March Although the breeding industry is in the off-season after the festival, most of the corn stocks of feed manufacturers are purchased before the festival At present, there is not much left With the start of a new round of breeding period, corn demand will pick up At present, the purchase price of corn in the Northeast production area is rising, which will drive the price of corn in the sales area to rise NWP