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Recently, feed raw materials continue to rise, coastal soybean meal exceeded 4000 yuan / ton, many areas of corn also stood at a high of 3000 yuan / ton.
two major raw materials are up more than 50% from last year, which is a rare event in history.
prices of other raw materials have increased, the feed market continues to increase prices.
Upstream: the main production area in the last 3 months corn price increase of about 20% Qiqihar City Agricultural and Rural Bureau Deputy Director Tang Haibo told the Daily Economic News reporter, the current average price of corn to the library acquisition is about 1.295 yuan per kilogram (2590 yuan / ton), and about 3 months ago, the price per ton of corn is still between 2000 to 2200 yuan, in other words, a short three-month increase of about 20%, or even close to 30%.
Chen, who is the head of the raw grain acquisition department of a grain-processing listed company, told the Daily Economic News that he is mainly responsible for the acquisition of corn in Heilongjiang, mainly from farmers, followed by national policy corn and traders.
he introduced, now Harbin second-class corn mainstream sales price (out of the bank price) at about 2820 yuan / ton, third-class corn about 2770 to 2780 yuan / ton.
a Hebei farmer told the Daily Economic News that the current purchase price of corn for grain enterprises in Hebei is 1.4 to 1.5 yuan per kilogram (2800 to 3000 yuan per ton).
a pig farming enterprise in Nanping, Fujian Province, told reporters that the local corn price has risen to 3050 yuan / ton.
Mid-range: feed prices in the past two months has been "up three or four waves" of the company responsible for the procurement director of greater North China, Wei Fei told the Daily Economic News reporter, from the second half of 2020 since the new corn market, bulk raw material prices are basically in an up-and-down process, resulting in the entire feed product prices are also following the up.
" to say how many times, from last September is not too good number, these two months there are about three or four waves.
" Wei Fei explained that the bulk of raw materials as a whole is driven by the rise in corn prices.
say they received corn, before and after New Year's Day prices are still around 2700 yuan / ton, has now risen to about 3100 yuan.
the price increase is also soybean meal.
" Wei Fei introduced, feed raw materials are probably divided into energy, protein and some other core additives.
energy category representative is corn, soybean meal (a by-product of soybean oil) is the representative of protein, soybean meal is also from New Year's Day around the rise.
" New Year's Day before the low point in 3000 yuan a little more than 3100 yuan / ton, now 43 soybean meal (according to protein content is divided into 43/46, etc.) factory price in 4150 yuan / ton, up more than 1000.
" some feeding enterprises 9 days feed prices rose three times, some feeding enterprises 3 days rose 900 yuan / ton, some enterprises clearly do not make advance payments, do not give the transition material Zhengda Feed (Mianyang Yu) Co., Ltd. from January 13 to 22 in 9 days time announced price increases: Kunming Kaizhi Feed Co., Ltd. from January 18 to 20 three days two big increases, concentrate two increases of up to 900 yuan / ton ... Downstream: feeding costs of aquaculture enterprises increased by at least 20% Dabei farmers responsible for the procurement director of Greater North China, Wei Fei said, pig enterprises feed is the most important two bulk raw materials: first, protein soybean meal, one is energy corn.
corn than around New Year's Day rose about 400 yuan, less than 20%; Soybean meal than before and after New Year's Day rose more than 1000 yuan, up 34%, calculated, pig feed costs increased by at least 20%.
about the price increase, they say... Zhao Wei, an analyst at Agricultural Credit Interconnect, said downstream traders and grain-using enterprises were worried about the shortage of corn supply after the Spring Festival and increased corn purchases ahead of schedule, which is also a major reason for the rise in corn prices.
" soybean meal prices, in addition to the same strong demand with corn, the main reason is because of the sharp rise in foreign soybeans, driving domestic soybean meal continued to rise in price.
, the impact of the new crown outbreak, leading to downstream enterprises generally in advance of the start of raw materials stocking.
" Wei Fei said, on the one hand, it is indeed the impact of the epidemic superimposed Spring Festival factors, resulting in the entire feed processing industry chain (farms, feed factories, traders) all parties are centralized stock; On the other hand, the more important factor is that the structure of supply and demand has changed, coupled with traders hoarding, otherwise it will not rise so fast.
Chen, head of the raw grain acquisition department of a grain deep-processing listed company, said that in previous years, corn oversupply, prices continued to fall, the state in order to protect farmers' income, the introduction of a temporary corn collection and storage policy, lasted several years, by 2015, corn stocks close to 125 million tons, inventory is too large, stop the acquisition and start to promote destocking.
so in recent years, the corn storage is in the process of decreasing.
" in fact, in recent years the country is committed to the adjustment of the structure, one is to adjust the planting structure, reduce the supply of planting end; First, adjust the industrial structure and improve the production capacity of deep processing.
," Wei Fei said.
Chen also mentioned that the production capacity of grain processing enterprises has increased year by year over the years.
,000 tons of capacity in Heilongjiang has nearly doubled from more than 11 million tons in 2012/2013 to nearly 22 million tons today.
Chen admitted that corn production in 2020 is indeed lower than a year ago, while the demand for capacity of deep processing enterprises remained unchanged, or even a small increase, so that the contradiction between supply and demand is apparent.
the market should be a gradual stabilization trend, supported by the cost of grain collection and the cost of keeping it.