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Presumably, people in the industry still have fresh memories of the compound fertilizer market from November 2015 to the first three quarters of 2016.
After experiencing this cold wave of ultra-long standby, the price of compound fertilizer was driven by the sharp increase in the price of raw materials.
Finally, it boils again, but the compound fertilizer market has been slightly weak recently.
Although the quotation has not been directly lowered, some companies have also introduced some appropriate preferential policies.
The compound fertilizer market seems to have once again entered the early spring of warm and cold.
1.
Look at the raw materials: the price of urea continues to decline, and the market for monoammonium and potash fertilizers is slightly weak.
Since mid-February, the price of urea has continued to decline steadily.
Taking Shandong as an example, the quotation of small granular urea dropped from the high-end price of 1,730 yuan (ton price, the same below) after the Spring Festival holiday to 1,610 yuan, and the overall decline reached 120 yuan.
The actual transaction price in the feedback market may only be around 1,590 yuan, which is evident in the weak market.
In terms of raw materials, not only the price of urea is declining, but the market of monoammonium and potash fertilizer is also relatively weak after the return of the Spring Festival.
The mainstream ex-factory price of 55% powdered monoammonium in Hubei is around 1950 yuan.
The actual ex-factory price of some large factories has fallen below 1900 yuan.
The acceptance ex-factory price of individual small factories is as low as 1800-1830 yuan, which is also lower than the mainstream price of about 2,000 yuan in the previous period.
It fell back by about 50-100 yuan.
Potassium chloride market in the port is not good.
The 60% red powder is quoted at about 1930-1980 yuan.
The demand release is slow and the supply is relatively sufficient.
It is expected that the price of potassium chloride may fall slowly in the short term.
At present, only the price of potassium sulfate remains strong .
Second, look at the demand: the demand in various regions has begun, and the purchase volume has increased slowly.
Entering the end of February, crops such as wheat, fruits, vegetables, tea, and medicinal materials have entered the top-dressing stage.
The market demand in various regions has begun to start.
Overall, the demand in the southern region is slightly better than the northern region.
However, it is still too early to start a large amount of fertilizer demand for grain crops such as corn and rice.
Some areas may start around the end of March, and later areas may not use large amounts of fertilizer until April or May.
Therefore, the current market The demand is in a short intermittent period.
Moreover, it is understood that most of the compound fertilizers circulating in the market are the low-priced sources of supply in the early stage, and the high-end prices have not yet been fully accepted by the market.
3.
Fertilizer prices fluctuate frequently, and dealers and end users are more cautious in purchasing.
In the early winter fertilizer reserve stage, some distributors have reserved some inventory during the period of low compound fertilizer prices, but after the price has risen sharply, they often adopt a wait-and-see attitude.
Recently, the price of raw materials has fallen, and some distributors also said that downstream customers are sluggish in purchasing enthusiasm and are waiting for the price of compound fertilizer.
Fertilizer quotes fluctuate frequently, There are frequent fluctuations of tens to 100 yuan.
In some areas, dealers have to sell urea upside down, and the profit of compound fertilizers is constantly shrinking.
At the same time, end customers have formed that they are not eager to purchase fertilizers before the fertilizer season.
Habit, the overall purchasing psychology in the market is very cautious.
"Things will be reversed, and profits will be lost".
The long-term continuous rise is not necessarily conducive to the overall development of the compound fertilizer market in 2017.
Currently, it has entered a period of calm and consolidation.
I look forward to the low tide of 2015-2016.
, The compound fertilizer market will develop well in 2017.
After experiencing this cold wave of ultra-long standby, the price of compound fertilizer was driven by the sharp increase in the price of raw materials.
Finally, it boils again, but the compound fertilizer market has been slightly weak recently.
Although the quotation has not been directly lowered, some companies have also introduced some appropriate preferential policies.
The compound fertilizer market seems to have once again entered the early spring of warm and cold.
1.
Look at the raw materials: the price of urea continues to decline, and the market for monoammonium and potash fertilizers is slightly weak.
Since mid-February, the price of urea has continued to decline steadily.
Taking Shandong as an example, the quotation of small granular urea dropped from the high-end price of 1,730 yuan (ton price, the same below) after the Spring Festival holiday to 1,610 yuan, and the overall decline reached 120 yuan.
The actual transaction price in the feedback market may only be around 1,590 yuan, which is evident in the weak market.
In terms of raw materials, not only the price of urea is declining, but the market of monoammonium and potash fertilizer is also relatively weak after the return of the Spring Festival.
The mainstream ex-factory price of 55% powdered monoammonium in Hubei is around 1950 yuan.
The actual ex-factory price of some large factories has fallen below 1900 yuan.
The acceptance ex-factory price of individual small factories is as low as 1800-1830 yuan, which is also lower than the mainstream price of about 2,000 yuan in the previous period.
It fell back by about 50-100 yuan.
Potassium chloride market in the port is not good.
The 60% red powder is quoted at about 1930-1980 yuan.
The demand release is slow and the supply is relatively sufficient.
It is expected that the price of potassium chloride may fall slowly in the short term.
At present, only the price of potassium sulfate remains strong .
Second, look at the demand: the demand in various regions has begun, and the purchase volume has increased slowly.
Entering the end of February, crops such as wheat, fruits, vegetables, tea, and medicinal materials have entered the top-dressing stage.
The market demand in various regions has begun to start.
Overall, the demand in the southern region is slightly better than the northern region.
However, it is still too early to start a large amount of fertilizer demand for grain crops such as corn and rice.
Some areas may start around the end of March, and later areas may not use large amounts of fertilizer until April or May.
Therefore, the current market The demand is in a short intermittent period.
Moreover, it is understood that most of the compound fertilizers circulating in the market are the low-priced sources of supply in the early stage, and the high-end prices have not yet been fully accepted by the market.
3.
Fertilizer prices fluctuate frequently, and dealers and end users are more cautious in purchasing.
In the early winter fertilizer reserve stage, some distributors have reserved some inventory during the period of low compound fertilizer prices, but after the price has risen sharply, they often adopt a wait-and-see attitude.
Recently, the price of raw materials has fallen, and some distributors also said that downstream customers are sluggish in purchasing enthusiasm and are waiting for the price of compound fertilizer.
Fertilizer quotes fluctuate frequently, There are frequent fluctuations of tens to 100 yuan.
In some areas, dealers have to sell urea upside down, and the profit of compound fertilizers is constantly shrinking.
At the same time, end customers have formed that they are not eager to purchase fertilizers before the fertilizer season.
Habit, the overall purchasing psychology in the market is very cautious.
"Things will be reversed, and profits will be lost".
The long-term continuous rise is not necessarily conducive to the overall development of the compound fertilizer market in 2017.
Currently, it has entered a period of calm and consolidation.
I look forward to the low tide of 2015-2016.
, The compound fertilizer market will develop well in 2017.