Chinese soybean also has "drama"!

Introduction: soybean imports have increased substantially for several years in a row, and this year's imports are even closer to domestic production In the face of WTO, the problem of soybean is a reflection of agricultural industry Is soybean really out of the question? No, Chinese soybean has "drama"! The import volume is close to the annual output This is a heavy data report: China, once a net soybean exporter, has been a soybean importer in recent years Last year, the import reached 10.4 million tons This year, according to the statistics of the customs, 11.17 million tons had been imported in the first three quarters, costing us $2.25 billion Industry insiders estimate that the annual import will not be less than 14 million tons this year, and some believe that the annual import will be as high as 17 million tons, which will directly push the annual output of soybean in China Not only soybean, but also soybean oil In 2002, the import tariff quota of soybean oil will be increased to 1.7 million tons while the import of soybean will be unimpeded In 2005, the tariff quota will be increased to 3.3 million tons In 2006, the tariff quota will be cancelled This means that in addition to directly facing the impact of soybean imports, domestic farmers should also bear the pressure of import quota soybean equivalent to 8.5 million tons to 16.5 million tons Besides soybean oil, there is soybean cake Every year, our country imports 34 million tons of soybean cake, a by-product of soybean processing used as feed This will not only consume a lot of foreign exchange, but also bring a serious blow to the farmers in the main soybean producing areas On the one hand, "foreign soybeans" are imported in large quantities On the other hand, a large number of soybeans are hard to sell in China, and "golden soybeans" have become "worried soybeans" If this situation does not fundamentally change, including the northeast, North and South emerging soybean producing areas are also affected Dr Huang Shouhong, a researcher of the State Council who is engaged in agricultural research, worries that if measures are not taken, the soybean industry of this ancient soybean country in China will probably be destroyed So a question is put forward: what about soybeans when the WTO comes? It is necessary to abide by the rules of the WTO when the non GMO countries join the WTO It is not only impossible to prevent soybean import by tariff quota and other barriers, but also impossible to subsidize the production of farmers and the export of enterprises So WTO is coming, is soybean "dead"? Some people pointed out that, after careful analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of domestic soybeans and "foreign soybeans", domestic soybeans still have its "bright spot" Where are the highlights? The consumption orientation of soybean in the world is beneficial to China, and the production of non transgenic soybean in China is large and wide In recent years, a large number of "foreign soybeans" have come from the United States, Argentina and Brazil Last year, China imported almost 99% of the total soybeans from these three countries, and the statistical results in the first three quarters of this year are roughly the same Industry insiders pointed out that most of these "foreign soybeans" are genetically modified soybeans In today's world, there are widespread disputes on the safety of genetically modified soybeans The European Union, the world's largest soybean consumer market, basically prohibits the import of genetically modified soybeans; Japan, South Korea and other major soybean consumers are also very cautious about the import of genetically modified soybeans Therefore, in the international soybean market, the price of non transgenic soybean is 15% - 20% higher than that of transgenic soybean However, China has not realized this problem for a long time There is no safety management for genetically modified crops and no relevant detection means for a long time Therefore, in the import and export trade, domestic soybeans have no prominent advantages and often suffer losses Experts believe that European Union and other soybean consuming countries have doubts and repels on genetically modified crops, which undoubtedly provides a huge potential market space for China's soybean export Because the soybeans produced in China are traditional non GMO soybeans, with a large amount and wide range, the former output is second only to the United States, ranking second in the world Later, due to the depression of domestic soybean industry, the area has decreased dramatically, but now it still ranks fourth in the world This will become a strong competitive advantage of domestic soybean in the international soybean market after China's accession to WTO If China's abundant non transgenic soybean resources can be fully utilized, it will not only reverse the extremely passive situation of China's soybean industry, but also bring great opportunities for China's soybean export In fact, this advantage has emerged In the first three quarters of this year, China's soybean exports increased by 1.1% over the same period of last year, but foreign exchange earnings increased by 14.2%, indicating that the price of China's exported soybeans is rising.