China's rapeseed market is basically stable after China's accession to the WTO

Introduction: Xinhua news agency, Wuhan, April 27 (reporter Shen Qing) recently, information was uploaded at the 2002 Jingzhou high quality rape development seminar and production and marketing linkage meeting In 2002, the price of commercial rapeseed in China will not fluctuate too much Although the gap of edible oil still exists, the domestic market can basically form a balanced pattern of supply and demand through the adjustment of oil and grease imports, It is not suitable to expand the rape planting area blindly China is the largest oil-bearing country in the world Since 2000, the planting area has exceeded 110 million mu, with a total output of over 11 million tons, accounting for more than 50% of China's oil-bearing crops Rapeseed oil is one of the main edible vegetable oils in China Rapeseed meal is a potential feed protein source next to soybean meal Experts at the meeting said that with the improvement of people's living standards and the adjustment of dietary structure, the demand for oil and its products in the domestic market will continue to maintain a strong momentum in the next 20 years Although rape production in China has grown rapidly in recent years, it still cannot meet the growth of consumption In the past five years, the consumption of domestic protein cake increased by 1.6 million tons annually, and the consumption of edible vegetable oil increased by 600000 tons annually, respectively by 35% and 29% in five years In the same period, although the domestic oil production increased by 21%, the gap was further widened, and the import of oil and its products increased significantly In the past five years, the import of oil and its products increased by 51%, from 10.776 million tons in 1997 / 98 to 16.39 million tons in 2001 / 02, 1.45 times of the total output of rapeseed in the same period in China After China's accession to the WTO, the import of rapeseed and rapeseed oil will increase gradually This is because the price of soybean oil and rapeseed oil in China is more than 30% higher than that in the international market After China's accession to the WTO, the import quota of rapeseed oil will gradually increase until the quota limit is completely removed, and the tariff rate will gradually reduce to 9% Even after the 9% tariff is imposed, the price of soybean oil in China is still 10% higher than that in Argentina In addition, in the future, the contradiction between the supply and demand of edible oil in China tends to be tense, and the situation of heavy dependence on imports will exist for a long time; the export volume of rapeseed meal will gradually increase China's rapeseed meal is a primary processing product with low original value Japan and other countries import from China and have high appreciation profits after deep processing Moreover, it is difficult for China to change the backward situation of deep processing capability of rapeseed in a short period of time Therefore, the export of this primary processing product will increase greatly The implementation of agricultural genetically modified organisms safety regulations will Effectively restrain the import of Canadian rapeseed About 50% of the canola products produced and sold in Canada are genetically modified products, while those produced in China are non genetically modified products This not only provides a market basis for the rapid development of China's canola industry, but also wins time for China's canola industry to cope with international competition In the long run, it provides a huge market space for China's canola export expansion Between According to the analysis of experts, the basic form of international rape industry in 2001-2002 is that the global rapeseed output is stable, while the prices of rapeseed, rapeseed oil and rapeseed meal in the international market are generally on the decline Affected by the decrease of rape production in Canada and Australia, the main rapeseed producing countries last year, the international rapeseed price is basically stable and has increased According to the prediction of relevant international agencies, the increase of Canadian rapeseed area is limited in 2002, and the price of rapeseed in the international market will be higher than that in the same period last year Therefore, domestic processing enterprises will have advantages in price compared with imported ones As long as domestic rapeseed is reliable in quality, it will promote the price of domestic high-quality rapeseed It is estimated that China's rapeseed imports will continue to decrease in 2002, mainly to make up for the processing demand gap As a part of the whole oil market, rape is also affected by the import of soybean and other oil in 2002, as well as the international and domestic market trends, so it is not suitable to expand the area blindly in planting (author:) share to feed Weibo share to: