China's poultry meat market supply, demand and price analysis in the first half of 2021: poultry meat

　　From July to August, the supply of commercial broilers continued to increase at a high level, the supply of poultry meat continued to increase, the summer school holidays, the demand for meat consumption fell, the price of superimposed pork fell sharply, and the substitute consumption of poultry meat continued to decrease
.

　　Based on the overall judgment, the supply of poultry meat will continue to increase, and the demand will decline.
It is expected that the price of poultry meat will continue to fall in the short term
.

 fnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

Data source: Ministry of Rural AgriculturefnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　(1) Poultry meat prices continue to fallfnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　Poultry meat production continued to grow, supply pressures increased, and consumer demand continued to be sluggish, and the decline in poultry meat prices expanded
.

　　From the perspective of weekly prices, the price of poultry meat mainly fell, and the decline continued to expand
.
In the fourth week of June, the market price of live chicken was 19.
08 yuan per kilogram, down 1.
1% from the previous month, and the market price of white striped chicken was 21.
15 yuan per kilo, down 0.
7% from the previous month
.
From the perspective of breeding efficiency, the number of white feather broilers on slaughter continued to increase in June, the price of feather chicken continued to fall, and the profit of white feather breeding was losing money again
.
The market price of yellow feather broilers continued to fall, the breeding continued to lose money, and the enthusiasm for replenishment was low
.
fnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　(2) Imports of poultry meat decreased and exports increased from January to MayfnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　According to customs statistics, from January to May, the import volume of poultry meat was 105,000 tons, a month-on-month decrease of 17.
5% and a year-on-year decrease of 12.
9%.
The import value was US$233 million, a month-on-month decrease of 14.
5% and a year-on-year decrease of 12.
4%; the export volume was 19,300 tons, a month-on-month decrease.
An increase of 4.
0%, a year-on-year increase of 16.
3%, and the export value was 55.
674 million US dollars, an increase of 4.
2% month-on-month and a year-on-year increase of 21.
2%
.
fnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　From January to May, the import volume was 595,900 tons, an increase of 13.
0% year-on-year, the import volume was US$1.
273 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.
1%; the export volume was 85,300 tons, an increase of 19.
6% year-on-year, and the export volume was US$242 million, a year-on-year increase of 19.
2%
.
The main sources of imports are Brazil (accounting for 41.
1% of total imports), the United States (35.
5%), Russia (7.
5%), Thailand (7.
2%), Argentina (4.
9%) and Chile (2.
0%)
.
Poultry meat is mainly exported to China's Hong Kong and Macao regions, Malaysia, Mongolia, Cambodia, and Afghanistan.
The export volume to the above 6 countries and regions accounted for 96.
6% of the total export volume
.
fnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　(3) Poultry meat prices are expected to continue to fall in the short termfnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In terms of production, when the ancestral generation stock is running at a high level, the supply of parent-generation chicken fry has increased, the volume of commercial broiler chickens has continued to increase at a high level, and the supply of poultry meat has increased
.
In terms of consumption, high temperature weather and summer vacations in schools have led to a decline in meat consumption demand, a sharp drop in the price of superimposed pork, and a decrease in alternative consumption of poultry meat
.
fnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry

　　In terms of cost, affected by the high cost of raw materials, rising feed costs have pushed up breeding costs, and meat and poultry farming has maintained losses
.
Based on the overall judgment, the supply of poultry meat has increased and the demand has fallen.
It is expected that the price of poultry meat will continue to fall in the short term
.
fnX China Feed Industry Information Network-Based on feed, serving animal husbandry